Result
1:2
12/04/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga 3 - Relegation Group - Round 7
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Portugal | Canal 11 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 13', Palmerio M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', Vieira J. ↓, Chaves G. ↑,
- 46', Palmerio M. ↓, Januario ↑,
- 52', Monteiro E. 🟨,
- 60', 1 - 0, Semedo D. ⚽,
- 63', Lopes D. ↓, Fernandes D. ↑,
- 64', Pires Gomes J. R. ↓, Gata J. ↑,
- 67', Lopes M. ↓, Furtado E. ↑,
- 68', Barros G. 🟨,
- 70', 1 - 1, Chaves G. ⚽, Clemente D. (A),
- 71', Barros G. ↓, Marques F. ↑,
- 71', Teixeira P. ↓, Costinha ↑,
- 84', Chaves G. 🟨,
- 85', Clemente D. ↓, Carreira R. ↑,
- 88', Maneta D. 🟨,
- 88', Pala F. ↓, Wendel ↑,
- 90+1', 1 - 2, Chaves G. ⚽, Fernandes D. (A),
Chances of winning
Amora
35.7% | Draw
32% | Caldas
32.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Amora has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)Caldas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Amora than the current prediction. (-1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caldas than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
Amora - Caldas Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.53 ↓
(2.72) |
2.82
(2.82) |
2.8 ↑
(2.71) |
10.7%
(9.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Amora won 2.
- Amora is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- In recent matches, Caldas has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Amora won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 21:17. (average 1.5:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Amora won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:7. (average 1.5:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Amora won against Caldas?
Amora has won 4 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Caldas won against Amora?
Caldas has won 2 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Amora - Caldas were as follows:
28.02.2026
Caldas
-
Amora
2:1
30.11.2025
Caldas
-
Amora
1:2
16.08.2025
Amora
-
Caldas
0:1
13.04.2024
Amora
-
Caldas
1:1
17.03.2024
Caldas
-
Amora
1:2
Portuguese Liga 3 Table
Promotion Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Amarante | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 12:7 | 5 | 20 |
| 2 | Os Belenenses | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 16:9 | 7 | 18 |
| 3 | Academica | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 13:8 | 5 | 17 |
| 4 | Vitoria Guimaraes B | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 11:8 | 3 | 14 |
| 5 | Mafra | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 9:14 | -5 | 10 |
| 6 | Varzim | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 7:12 | -5 | 9 |
| 7 | Trofense | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 6:10 | -4 | 8 |
| 8 | Santarem | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 8:14 | -6 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal 2
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal 2 (Promotion: )
