Result
2:1
28/02/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga 3 - Relegation Group - Round 3
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Portugal | Canal 11 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 26', 0 - 1, Oliveira J. ⚽, Lopes M. (A),
- 29', 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Farinha L. ↓, Fernandes D. ↑,
- 48', Palmerio M. 🟨,
- 56', Tarzan ↓, Isaac Djei B. A. ↑,
- 56', Monteiro E. ↓, Gata J. ↑,
- 61', 1 - 1, Gata J. ⚽,
- 69', Cruz H. ↓, Pala F. ↑,
- 69', Buby ↓, Furtado E. ↑,
- 80', 2 - 1, Fernandes D. ⚽,
- 85', 🟨,
- 90+2', Lopes M. 🟨,
- 90+4', 🟨,
- 90+5', 🟨,
Chances of winning
Caldas
45.8% | Draw
29.5% | Amora
24.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Caldas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)Amora has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caldas than the current prediction. (-5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Amora than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
Caldas - Amora Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.01 ↑
(2) |
3.13 ↑
(2.99) |
3.73 ↓
(3.75) |
8.4%
(10.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Caldas - Amora?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Caldas (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Caldas won 1.
- In recent matches, Caldas has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Amora is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Caldas is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Caldas won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 15:20. (average 1.2:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Caldas won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:11. (average 1.1:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Caldas won against Amora?
Caldas has won 1 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Amora won against Caldas?
Amora has won 4 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Caldas - Amora were as follows:
30.11.2025
Caldas
-
Amora
1:2
16.08.2025
Amora
-
Caldas
0:1
13.04.2024
Amora
-
Caldas
1:1
17.03.2024
Caldas
-
Amora
1:2
10.12.2023
Caldas
-
Amora
2:2
Portuguese Liga 3 Table
Promotion Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Vitoria Guimaraes B | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6:3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Academica | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:4 | 2 | 6 |
| 3 | Amarante | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 6 |
| 4 | Varzim | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 6 |
| 5 | Os Belenenses | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6:6 | 0 | 5 |
| 6 | Mafra | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 4 |
| 7 | Santarem | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 3 |
| 8 | Trofense | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal 2
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal 2 (Promotion: )
