Result
1:1
25/04/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga 3 - Relegation Group - Round 9
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Portugal | Canal 11 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 17', Monteiro E. 🟨,
- 39', 1 - 0, Tarzan ⚽, Chaves G. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 52', Niang C. 🟨,
- 52', 🟨,
- 56', 🟨,
- 61', Barbosa A. ↓, Cruz F. ↑,
- 61', Gomes Silva E. ↓, Garcia F. ↑,
- 61', Liberal A. 🟨,
- 68', 🟨,
- 71', 1 - 1, Cruz F. ⚽,
- 74', Ferreira R. ↓, Costa Branco Novais Oliveira T. ↑,
- 74', Liberal A. ↓, Ribeiro P. ↑,
- 79', 🟨,
- 86', Niang C. ↓, Diancoumba S. ↑,
Chances of winning
Caldas
42.2% | Draw
28.8% | Covilhã
29% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Caldas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)Covilhã has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caldas than the current prediction. (+2.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Covilhã than the current prediction. (-3.5%)
Caldas - Covilhã Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.19 ↑
(2.08) |
3.21 ↑
(3.03) |
3.18 ↓
(3.54) |
8.3%
(9.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Caldas won 1.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Caldas is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Caldas won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 15:17. (average 1.3:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Caldas won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:8. (average 1.4:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Caldas won against Covilhã?
Caldas has won 3 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Covilhã won against Caldas?
Covilhã has won 6 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Caldas - Covilhã were as follows:
22.02.2026
Covilhã
-
Caldas
1:0
09.11.2025
Covilhã
-
Caldas
2:1
09.08.2025
Caldas
-
Covilhã
2:1
25.07.2025
Caldas
-
Covilhã
1:1
04.05.2025
Covilhã
-
Caldas
1:1
Latest results of Covilhã
Portuguese Liga 3 Table
Promotion Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Amarante | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 18:10 | 8 | 25 |
| 2 | Academica | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 17:10 | 7 | 24 |
| 3 | Os Belenenses | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 20:14 | 6 | 20 |
| 4 | Mafra | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 13:18 | -5 | 16 |
| 5 | Vitoria Guimaraes B | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 14:13 | 1 | 16 |
| 6 | Varzim | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 10:15 | -5 | 13 |
| 7 | Santarem | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 11:17 | -6 | 9 |
| 8 | Trofense | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 6:12 | -6 | 9 |
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal 2
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal 2 (Promotion: )
