Caldas vs Atlético CP – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

07/12/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Campo da Mata (Caldas da Rainha).

Liga 3 - Round 12
Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11

Match Stats


Ball Possession
46%	54%
Total shots
6	9
Shots on target
3	5
Corner Kicks
6	9
Yellow Cards
3	3
Total shots
6	9
Shots on target
3	5
Shots off target
3	4
Corner Kicks
6	9

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
42', Farinha L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
48', Sousa C. 🟨,
69', 0 - 1, Nicolas Souza ⚽, Herrera J. (A),
71', Carreira R. 🟨,
73', Herrera J. ↓, Okoli F. ↑,
73', Caleb ↓, Pascoal C. ↑,
80', Okoli F. 🟨,
87', 🟨,
90+6', 🟨,

Chances of winning

Caldas
36.3%

Draw
31.4%

Atlético CP
32.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.9%

32.2%

33.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.7%

32.4%

34.1%

Caldas - Atlético CP Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.52 ↓ (2.7)	2.91 ↑ (2.85)	2.84 ↑ (2.7)	9.2% (9.2%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

Preview Facts

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 3 (Promotion Group: ) and 9 in the zone Liga 3 (Relegation Group: )).
Caldas has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Atlético CP is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Caldas may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Caldas won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:10. (average 1.2:2).
Including home matches between the teams, Caldas won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:4. (average 2:2).

How many head-to-head matches has Caldas won against Atlético CP?

Caldas has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Atlético CP won against Caldas?

Atlético CP has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Caldas - Atlético CP were as follows:

24.08.2025 Atlético CP - Caldas 2:0

19.01.2025 Caldas - Atlético CP 1:1

06.10.2024 Atlético CP - Caldas 4:0

05.11.2023 Atlético CP - Caldas 0:2

08.08.2023 Caldas - Atlético CP 3:3

Latest results of Caldas

30.11.2025 Caldas - Amora 1:2 ✺

23.11.2025 Tondela - Caldas 0:1 ✺

09.11.2025 Covilhã - Caldas 2:1 ✺

01.11.2025 Académica Coimbra - Caldas 0:0 ✺

26.10.2025 Caldas - Lusitano GC 2:1 ✺

Latest results of Atlético CP

30.11.2025 Atlético CP - Belenenses 1:2 ✺

21.11.2025 Atlético CP - Benfica 0:2 ✺

08.11.2025 Amora - Atlético CP 1:1 ✺

02.11.2025 Mafra - Atlético CP 1:0 ✺

26.10.2025 Atlético CP - Covilhã 0:0 ✺

Portuguese Liga 3 Table

2025/26

Group A

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Amarante ✔	17	8	4	5	18:16	2	28
2	Trofense	17	7	6	4	22:14	8	27
3	Vitoria Guimaraes B	17	7	5	5	17:14	3	26
4	Varzim	17	6	7	4	23:16	7	25
5	Paredes	17	5	9	3	20:11	9	24
6	Braga B	17	6	6	5	14:15	-1	24
7	AD Fafe	17	6	5	6	21:19	2	23
8	AD Marco 09 ✔	17	4	7	6	14:19	-5	19
9	Sao Joao Ver ✔	17	2	8	7	10:24	-14	14
10	Sanjoanense ✔	17	2	7	8	18:29	-11	13

Group B

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Os Belenenses ✔	17	12	2	3	26:14	12	38
2	Mafra ✔	17	8	7	2	26:18	8	31
3	Academica	17	7	7	3	29:17	12	28
4	Santarem	17	5	7	5	13:13	0	22
5	Atletico CP	17	6	4	7	15:15	0	22
6	Lusitano GC	17	6	3	8	18:18	0	21
7	Amora	17	4	6	7	17:22	-5	18
8	Caldas ✔	17	5	3	9	16:23	-7	18
9	1u00ba Dezembro ✔	17	3	7	7	12:20	-8	16
10	Covilha ✔	17	2	8	7	10:22	-12	14

Promotion ~ Liga 3 (Promotion Group: )
Liga 3 (Relegation Group: )

Clinched Spots for Teams

Amarante is Qualified for Liga 3 (Promotion Group )
AD Marco 09 is Liga 3 (Relegation Group )
Sao Joao Ver is Liga 3 (Relegation Group )
Sanjoanense is Liga 3 (Relegation Group )
Os Belenenses is Qualified for Liga 3 (Promotion Group )
Mafra is Qualified for Liga 3 (Promotion Group )
Caldas is Liga 3 (Relegation Group )
1u00ba Dezembro is Liga 3 (Relegation Group )
Covilha is Liga 3 (Relegation Group )