Covilhã vs Atlético CP – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
12/04/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga 3 - Relegation Group - Round 7
  • Where to Watch on TV:
portugalPortugalCanal 11

Match Stats

Ball possession
53%47%
Total shots
811
Shots on target
44
Corner kicks
511
Yellow cards
21
Total shots
811
Shots on target
44
Shots off target
47
Corner kicks
511

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 20', 1 - 0, Jailson ,
  • 33', Niang C. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Barandas M. 🟨,
  • 46', Gomes Silva E. 🟨,
  • 56', 1 - 1, Barandas M. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 58', 2 - 1, Liberal A. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 62', Durand V. , Herrera J. ,
  • 62', Santana C. , Nicolas Souza ,
  • 66', Silva J. , Mica ,
  • 74', Almeida B. , Marques R. ,
  • 76', Liberal A. , Brito P. ,
  • 76', Barbosa A. , Costa Branco Novais Oliveira T. ,
  • 81', Hernandez S. , Silva D. ,
  • 86', Gomes Silva E. , Ribeiro P. ,
  • 86', Ferreira R. , Garcia F. ,

Chances of winning


Covilhã
26.2%
Draw
28.2%
Atlético CP
45.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
26.3% 29.6% 44.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.2% 29.5% 44.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Covilhã has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
  • Atlético CP has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
  • The ML Model estimate for Covilhã aligns with the current prediction.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético CP than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
  • Covilhã - Atlético CP Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.52
    (3.48)
    3.26
    (3.09)
    2.02
    (2.07)
    8.7%
    (9.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Covilhã won 1.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Atlético CP could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Covilhã won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 17:16. (average 1:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Covilhã won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:9. (average 1.1:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Covilhã - Atlético CP were as follows:
    28.02.2026 Atlético CP - Covilhã 1:2
    17.01.2026 Covilhã - Atlético CP 0:0
    26.10.2025 Atlético CP - Covilhã 0:0
    12.01.2025 Covilhã - Atlético CP 1:3
    29.09.2024 Atlético CP - Covilhã 1:0
    Latest results of Covilhã
    21.03.2026 1 Dezembro - Covilhã 1:2
    14.03.2026 Covilhã - Lusitano GC 1:3
    07.03.2026 Covilhã - 1 Dezembro 0:2
    28.02.2026 Atlético CP - Covilhã 1:2
    22.02.2026 Covilhã - Caldas 1:0
    Latest results of Atlético CP
    22.03.2026 Atlético CP - Amora 1:2
    14.03.2026 Caldas - Atlético CP 0:1
    07.03.2026 Amora - Atlético CP 0:1
    28.02.2026 Atlético CP - Covilhã 1:2
    22.02.2026 1 Dezembro - Atlético CP 1:5
    Portuguese Liga 3 Table
    Promotion Group
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Amarante962112:7520
    2Os Belenenses953116:9718
    3Academica952213:8517
    4Vitoria Guimaraes B942311:8314
    5Mafra93159:14-510
    6Varzim93067:12-59
    7Trofense92256:10-48
    8Santarem92078:14-66

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