Result
2:1
12/04/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga 3 - Relegation Group - Round 7
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Portugal | Canal 11 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 11 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 11 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 20', 1 - 0, Jailson ⚽,
- 33', Niang C. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Barandas M. 🟨,
- 46', Gomes Silva E. 🟨,
- 56', 1 - 1, Barandas M. (Penalty Awarded),
- 58', 2 - 1, Liberal A. (Penalty Awarded),
- 62', Durand V. ↓, Herrera J. ↑,
- 62', Santana C. ↓, Nicolas Souza ↑,
- 66', Silva J. ↓, Mica ↑,
- 74', Almeida B. ↓, Marques R. ↑,
- 76', Liberal A. ↓, Brito P. ↑,
- 76', Barbosa A. ↓, Costa Branco Novais Oliveira T. ↑,
- 81', Hernandez S. ↓, Silva D. ↑,
- 86', Gomes Silva E. ↓, Ribeiro P. ↑,
- 86', Ferreira R. ↓, Garcia F. ↑,
Chances of winning
Covilhã 26.2% | Draw 28.2% | Atlético CP 45.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Covilhã has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)Atlético CP has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)The ML Model estimate for Covilhã aligns with the current prediction.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético CP than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
Covilhã - Atlético CP Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.52 ↑ (3.48) |
3.26 ↑ (3.09) |
2.02 ↓ (2.07) |
8.7% (9.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Covilhã won 1.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Atlético CP could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Covilhã won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 17:16. (average 1:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Covilhã won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:9. (average 1.1:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Covilhã won against Atlético CP?
Covilhã has won 2 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético CP won against Covilhã?
Atlético CP has won 2 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Covilhã - Atlético CP were as follows:
28.02.2026
Atlético CP
-
Covilhã
1:2
17.01.2026
Covilhã
-
Atlético CP
0:0
26.10.2025
Atlético CP
-
Covilhã
0:0
12.01.2025
Covilhã
-
Atlético CP
1:3
29.09.2024
Atlético CP
-
Covilhã
1:0
Latest results of Covilhã
Latest results of Atlético CP
Portuguese Liga 3 Table
Promotion Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Amarante | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 12:7 | 5 | 20 |
| 2 | Os Belenenses | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 16:9 | 7 | 18 |
| 3 | Academica | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 13:8 | 5 | 17 |
| 4 | Vitoria Guimaraes B | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 11:8 | 3 | 14 |
| 5 | Mafra | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 9:14 | -5 | 10 |
| 6 | Varzim | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 7:12 | -5 | 9 |
| 7 | Trofense | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 6:10 | -4 | 8 |
| 8 | Santarem | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 8:14 | -6 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal 2
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal 2 (Promotion: )