Chesterfield vs Cambridge United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

29/12/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

SMH Group Stadium (Chesterfield).

League Two - Round 23
Referee: Jackson S. (Eng)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.18	0.36
Ball Possession
61%	39%
Total shots
13	6
Shots on target
1	1
Big Chances
1	1
Corner Kicks
5	4
Passes
81% (420/519)	70% (229/328)
Yellow Cards
1	4
Expected Goals (xG)
1.18	0.36
xG on target (xGOT)
0.04	0.20
Total shots
13	6
Shots on target
1	1
Shots off target
9	4
Blocked Shots
3	1
Shots inside the Box
9	6
Shots outside the Box
4	0
Hit the Woodwork
1	0
Big Chances
1	1
Corner Kicks
5	4
Touches in opposition box
15	22
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	2
Free Kicks
9	5
Passes
81% (420/519)	70% (229/328)
Long passes
39% (31/79)	22% (13/58)
Passes in final third
73% (120/164)	59% (66/111)
Crosses
32% (6/19)	18% (3/17)
Expected assists (xA)
0.48	0.32
Throw-ins
26	26
Fouls
5	9
Tackles
54% (7/13)	75% (6/8)
Duels won
44	43
Clearances
23	31
Interceptions
9	9
Errors leading to shot
0	1
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
0	2
xGOT faced
0.20	0.04
Goals prevented
-0.80	0.04

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
16', Hoddle G. 🟨,
30', Gordon L. ↓, Lewis A. ↑,
44', 0 - 1, McLoughlin S. ⚽, Brophy J. (A),
45+5', Mayor A. ↓, Kaikai S. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
57', Grimes J. ↓, Donacien J. ↑,
57', Duffy D. ↓, Berry-McNally J. ↑,
57', Bonis L. ↓, Grigg W. ↑,
69', Appere L. ↓, Lavery S. ↑,
69', McLoughlin S. ↓, Ball D. ↑,
71', Darcy R. ↓, Dickson W. ↑,
72', Lavery S. 🟨,
76', Gibbons J. 🟨,
76', Hemming Z. 🟨,
82', Eastwood J. 🟨,
89', Brophy J. ↓, Purrington B. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Chesterfield
36.3%

Draw
29.7%

Cambridge United
34%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40%

28.6%

31.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.4%

28.9%

31%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chesterfield has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Cambridge United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chesterfield than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cambridge United than the current prediction. (-3%)

Chesterfield - Cambridge United Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.55 ↑ (2.29)	3.13 ↓ (3.2)	2.75 ↓ (2.93)	7.6% (9.1%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Chesterfield - Cambridge United?

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Chesterfield will win (votes: 7 - 70%). Cambridge will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Chesterfield: 41.6% – 98.4%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Chesterfield (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Cambridge (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 8).
Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
There will not play in Chesterfield: Dobra A. (Inactive) Hobson B. (Inactive) Markanday D. (Inactive)
There will not play in Cambridge: Morrison M. (Inactive) Smith K. (Injury)
There are questionable in Chesterfield: Dibley-Dias M. (Knee Injury) Donacien J. (Inactive) Dunkley C. (Inactive)
There are questionable in Cambridge: Ball D. (Inactive) Bradshaw Z. (Inactive) Kouassi K. (Hamstring Injury)
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Chesterfield won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 1.3:2).
Including home match between the teams, Chesterfield won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.

How many head-to-head matches has Chesterfield won against Cambridge United?

Chesterfield has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Cambridge United won against Chesterfield?

Cambridge United has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Chesterfield - Cambridge United were as follows:

09.12.2025 Cambridge United - Chesterfield 1:1

Latest results of Chesterfield

26.12.2025 Chesterfield - Notts County 2:0 ✺

20.12.2025 Shrewsbury Town - Chesterfield 0:1 ✺

13.12.2025 Chesterfield - Barnet 3:1 ✺

09.12.2025 Cambridge United - Chesterfield 1:1 ✺

06.12.2025 Chesterfield - Doncaster Rovers 1:2 ✺

Latest results of Cambridge United

26.12.2025 Gillingham - Cambridge United 1:1 ✺

19.12.2025 Cambridge United - Accrington Stanley 2:0 ✺

13.12.2025 Milton Keynes Dons - Cambridge United 1:1 ✺

09.12.2025 Cambridge United - Chesterfield 1:1 ✺

06.12.2025 Stockport County - Cambridge United 0:1 ✺

English League Two Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Bromley	34	19	11	4	58:35	23	68
2	Cambridge Utd	34	18	10	6	49:27	22	64
3	MK Dons	34	17	11	6	63:34	29	62
4	Swindon	35	19	5	11	57:41	16	62
5	Notts Co	34	18	7	9	52:33	19	61
6	Crewe	35	16	8	11	52:41	11	56
7	Salford	33	17	4	12	46:43	3	55
8	Chesterfield	34	13	14	7	52:44	8	53
9	Barnet	35	14	11	10	44:37	7	53
10	Walsall	33	15	8	10	42:36	6	53
11	Grimsby	33	14	10	9	46:37	9	52
12	Colchester	33	13	10	10	48:35	13	49
13	Accrington	34	13	7	14	37:36	1	46
14	Oldham	32	11	12	9	36:30	6	45
15	Fleetwood	33	12	9	12	43:42	1	45
16	Gillingham	33	11	11	11	41:41	0	44
17	Shrewsbury	35	10	8	17	34:54	-20	38
18	Cheltenham	33	10	6	17	34:55	-21	36
19	Tranmere	34	9	8	17	46:59	-13	35
20	Bristol Rovers	34	9	4	21	33:57	-24	31
21	Crawley	35	6	10	19	33:56	-23	28
22	Barrow	33	7	6	20	33:51	-18	27
23	Harrogate	35	6	9	20	25:52	-27	27
24	Newport	34	6	7	21	32:60	-28	25

      Promotion ~ League One
      Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation ~ National League