Chesterfield vs Shrewsbury Town – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:3
07/03/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • League Two - Round 36
  • Referee: Dale A. (Eng)

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.851.53
Ball possession
75%25%
Total shots
2314
Shots on target
86
Big chances
10
Corner kicks
81
Passes
86% (536/620)60% (127/212)
Yellow cards
12
Expected goals (xG)
1.851.53
xG on target (xGOT)
2.191.34
Total shots
2314
Shots on target
86
Shots off target
64
Blocked shots
94
Shots inside the box
1410
Shots outside the box
94
Hit the woodwork
00
Headed goals
02
Big chances
10
Corner kicks
81
Touches in opposition box
4119
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
22
Free kicks
87
Passes
86% (536/620)60% (127/212)
Long passes
61% (33/54)38% (32/84)
Passes in final third
82% (231/282)46% (42/92)
Crosses
26% (10/39)40% (4/10)
Expected assists (xA)
2.090.60
Throw ins
1913
Fouls
78
Tackles
50% (5/10)56% (9/16)
Duels won
3149
Clearances
1937
Interceptions
113
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper saves
26
xGOT faced
1.342.19
Goals prevented
-1.660.19

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 31', 1 - 0, Naylor T. , Markanday D. (A),
  • 45+2', 1 - 1, Samuel-Ogunsuyi T. , Sang T. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 46', Stirk R. , Dobra A. ,
  • 55', Freeman N. , Perry T. ,
  • 65', McDermott T. , Scully A. ,
  • 70', 1 - 2, Samuel-Ogunsuyi T. ,
  • 71', Grigg W. , Bonis L. ,
  • 72', Naylor T. , Mandeville L. ,
  • 72', Owolabi-Belewu M. , Pearce T. ,
  • 76', Morgan I. , Lloyd G. ,
  • 78', Berry-McNally J. , Dickson W. ,
  • 80', Cox M. 🟨,
  • 84', Samuel-Ogunsuyi T. 🟨,
  • 85', 2 - 2, Pearce T. ,
  • 90+2', Dobra A. 🟨,
  • 90+3', 2 - 3, Stubbs S. , Sang T. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Chesterfield
52%
Draw
26.8%
Shrewsbury Town
21.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.4% 26.5% 24.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.9% 27.3% 23.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Chesterfield has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
  • Shrewsbury Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chesterfield than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shrewsbury Town than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
  • Chesterfield - Shrewsbury Town Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.81
    (1.88)
    3.48
    (3.51)
    4.39
    (3.86)
    6.9%
    (7.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Chesterfield - Shrewsbury Town?
  • Users Predictions: Chesterfield will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 64.58%100%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Chesterfield will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 17).
    • Chesterfield has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Shrewsbury is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Chesterfield may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Chesterfield is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Chesterfield: Fleck J. (Inactive) Gordon L. (Injury) Hobson B. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Shrewsbury: Ihionvien B. (Inactive) Marquis J. (Inactive) Ruffels J. (Red Card)
    • There are questionable in Chesterfield: Ladapo F. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Shrewsbury: Scully A. (Injury)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chesterfield won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 12:5. (average 2.4:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Chesterfield won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:2. (average 4:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Chesterfield - Shrewsbury Town were as follows:
    20.12.2025 Shrewsbury Town - Chesterfield 0:1
    Latest results of Chesterfield
    Latest results of Shrewsbury Town
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1MK Dons ✔ 452413885:444185
    2Bromley ✔ 452315768:452384
    3Cambridge Utd452215866:333381
    4Salford452551561:511080
    5Notts Co452471473:512279
    6Grimsby4522111273:492477
    7Chesterfield452016969:551476
    8Swindon452291469:571275
    9Barnet4520131268:521673
    10Crewe451991764:58666
    11Oldham4517141457:441365
    12Walsall4518111655:53265
    13Colchester4517121658:481063
    14Bristol Rovers451942255:64-961
    15Fleetwood4515151556:57-160
    16Accrington4514112047:55-853
    17Cheltenham4514102152:75-2352
    18Gillingham4512141952:72-2050
    19Shrewsbury4513102242:68-2649
    20Tranmere4510102553:78-2540
    21Newport451172746:76-3040
    22Crawley458152244:68-2439
    23Harrogate451092638:66-2839
    24Barrow45992744:76-3236

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    MK Dons is Qualified for League One
    Bromley is Qualified for League One