Result
1:1
17/02/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 33
- Referee: Brown D. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.95 | 0.83 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 65% (233/357) | 72% (348/483) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.95 | 0.83 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.67 | 1.01 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 26 | 21 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 65% (233/357) | 72% (348/483) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 28% (23/81) | 36% (37/104) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 59% (79/134) | 53% (70/131) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 16% (3/19) | 33% (2/6) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.82 | 0.32 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 32 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 57% (13/23) | 75% (12/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 63 | 65 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 16 | 37 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 16 | 15 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.01 | 0.67 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.01 | -0.33 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 3', 1 - 0, Watts K. ⚽, Knight B. (A),
- 22', Bishop T. 🟨,
- 30', 1 - 1, Payne J. ⚽,
- 43', Purrington B. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 63', Edwards O. ↓, Akachukwu R. ↑,
- 71', Bishop T. ↓, Barbrook F. ↑,
- 71', Tovide S. ↓, Goodwin W. ↑,
- 72', Brophy J. ↓, Smith K. ↑,
- 72', Appere L. ↓, Lavery S. ↑,
- 72', Purrington B. ↓, Bennett L. ↑,
- 84', Gibbons J. 🟨,
- 90+5', Read A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Cambridge United
49% | Draw
29.2% | Colchester United
21.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cambridge United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cambridge United's performance.Colchester United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Colchester United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cambridge United than the current prediction. (-10%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cambridge United that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Colchester United than the current prediction. (+10.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Colchester United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Cambridge United - Colchester United Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.91 ↓
(2.34) |
3.19 ↑
(3.15) |
4.27 ↑
(2.88) |
7.1%
(9.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Cambridge United - Colchester United?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DNB - Cambridge (1.40) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Cambridge United will win
(12 of 13 users predict this - 92.31%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.83% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Cambridge United will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%) 🥈 Silver Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 10 high ROI users predict this event. Cambridge (votes: 9 - 90%). Colchester (votes: 1 - 10%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ League One and 12).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cambridge won 2.
- Cambridge is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Colchester has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Cambridge may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Cambridge is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Cambridge: Kouassi K.
(Hamstring Injury)
Mayor A.
(Inactive)
Morrison M.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Colchester: Mbick M.
(Inactive)
Perry B.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Cambridge: Bradshaw Z.
(Inactive)
Hoddle G.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Colchester: Anderson H.
(Inactive)
Iandolo E.
(Injury)
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Cambridge won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 15:21. (average 1.1:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cambridge won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:7. (average 1.4:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Cambridge United won against Colchester United?
Cambridge United has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Colchester United won against Cambridge United?
Colchester United has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cambridge United - Colchester United were as follows:
19.08.2025
Colchester United
-
Cambridge United
1:2
03.08.2024
Colchester United
-
Cambridge United
6:0
17.10.2023
Cambridge United
-
Colchester United
1:2
Latest results of Cambridge United
Latest results of Colchester United
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bromley | 39 | 22 | 13 | 4 | 62:36 | 26 | 79 |
| 2 | MK Dons | 39 | 21 | 11 | 7 | 76:40 | 36 | 74 |
| 3 | Cambridge Utd | 38 | 20 | 12 | 6 | 56:28 | 28 | 72 |
| 4 | Notts Co | 38 | 21 | 7 | 10 | 65:39 | 26 | 70 |
| 5 | Swindon | 39 | 21 | 6 | 12 | 63:45 | 18 | 69 |
| 6 | Salford | 39 | 21 | 4 | 14 | 54:48 | 6 | 67 |
| 7 | Grimsby | 38 | 17 | 11 | 10 | 56:40 | 16 | 62 |
| 8 | Chesterfield | 39 | 16 | 14 | 9 | 61:52 | 9 | 62 |
| 9 | Crewe | 39 | 17 | 9 | 13 | 58:47 | 11 | 60 |
| 10 | Walsall | 39 | 17 | 9 | 13 | 48:41 | 7 | 60 |
| 11 | Oldham | 37 | 15 | 13 | 9 | 44:31 | 13 | 58 |
| 12 | Barnet | 39 | 15 | 12 | 12 | 49:43 | 6 | 57 |
| 13 | Fleetwood | 39 | 14 | 12 | 13 | 48:46 | 2 | 54 |
| 14 | Colchester | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 50:41 | 9 | 53 |
| 15 | Accrington | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 38:42 | -4 | 48 |
| 16 | Gillingham | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 44:56 | -12 | 45 |
| 17 | Bristol Rovers | 39 | 13 | 4 | 22 | 40:60 | -20 | 43 |
| 18 | Cheltenham | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 43:65 | -22 | 42 |
| 19 | Shrewsbury | 39 | 11 | 8 | 20 | 37:63 | -26 | 41 |
| 20 | Tranmere | 39 | 9 | 9 | 21 | 48:69 | -21 | 36 |
| 21 | Crawley | 39 | 6 | 13 | 20 | 36:60 | -24 | 31 |
| 22 | Newport | 39 | 8 | 7 | 24 | 39:67 | -28 | 31 |
| 23 | Harrogate | 39 | 7 | 9 | 23 | 29:58 | -29 | 30 |
| 24 | Barrow | 38 | 7 | 8 | 23 | 36:63 | -27 | 29 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
