Result
1:2
19/08/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 4
- Referee: Eley R. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.86 | 0.63 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (241/346) | 67% (210/315) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.86 | 0.63 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.61 | 1.18 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 11 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 12 | 23 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (241/346) | 67% (210/315) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 24% (18/75) | 28% (18/65) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 56% (67/119) | 46% (58/127) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 18% (2/11) | 25% (6/24) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.85 | 0.58 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 35 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 68% (13/19) | 87% (13/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 62 | 60 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 52 | 21 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.18 | 1.61 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.82 | 0.61 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 13', 1 - 0, Read A. ⚽, Akande A. (A),
- 39', Jobe M. 🟨,
- 44', Payne J. 🟨,
- 45', 1 - 1, Brophy J. ⚽,
- 45+2', 1 - 2, Jobe M. ⚽, Kaikai S. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 56', Ball D. 🟨,
- 66', Payne J. ↓, Lisbie K. ↑,
- 66', Vincent-Young K. ↓, Powell J. ↑,
- 66', Akande A. ↓, Edwards O. ↑,
- 67', Tovide S. 🟨,
- 68', Watts K. 🟨,
- 71', Brophy J. ↓, Gibbons J. ↑,
- 72', Kachunga E. ↓, McLoughlin S. ↑,
- 76', Bishop T. ↓, Gape D. ↑,
- 77', Tovide S. ↓, Williams J. ↑,
- 83', Appere L. ↓, Kouassi K. ↑,
- 90+3', Bennett L. 🟨,
- 90+5', Bennett L. ↓, Ibsen Rossi Z. ↑,
Chances of winning
Colchester United
39.4% | Draw
30.6% | Cambridge United
30% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Colchester United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)Cambridge United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Colchester United than the current prediction. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cambridge United than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
Colchester United - Cambridge United Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.42 ↓
(2.49) |
3.17 ↓
(3.18) |
3.27 ↑
(2.86) |
3.5%
(6.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Colchester United - Cambridge United?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Colchester (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Cambridge (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
Users Predictions:
Colchester United will win
(18 of 22 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.7% – 97.94%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Colchester won 2.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Recently, Colchester has had a series of away games.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Colchester won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 20:13. (average 1.5:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Colchester won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:3. (average 2.2:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Colchester United won against Cambridge United?
Colchester United has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cambridge United won against Colchester United?
Cambridge United has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Colchester United - Cambridge United were as follows:
03.08.2024
Colchester United
-
Cambridge United
6:0
17.10.2023
Cambridge United
-
Colchester United
1:2
Latest results of Colchester United
Latest results of Cambridge United
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Crewe | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10:2 | 8 | 12 |
| 2 | Grimsby | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9:4 | 5 | 10 |
| 3 | Chesterfield | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7:5 | 2 | 9 |
| 4 | Salford | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 9 |
| 5 | MK Dons | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8:1 | 7 | 8 |
| 6 | Gillingham | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7:3 | 4 | 8 |
| 7 | Bromley | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6:3 | 3 | 8 |
| 8 | Harrogate | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6:4 | 2 | 8 |
| 9 | Cambridge Utd | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 7 |
| 10 | Fleetwood | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7:7 | 0 | 7 |
| 11 | Walsall | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4:4 | 0 | 6 |
| 12 | Swindon | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 6 |
| 13 | Tranmere | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6:2 | 4 | 5 |
| 14 | Colchester | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5:4 | 1 | 5 |
| 15 | Notts Co | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 4 |
| 16 | Newport | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 4 |
| 17 | Oldham | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 3 |
| 18 | Barnet | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3:6 | -3 | 3 |
| 19 | Barrow | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2:5 | -3 | 3 |
| 20 | Accrington | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 1 |
| 21 | Bristol Rovers | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2:6 | -4 | 1 |
| 22 | Crawley | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2:7 | -5 | 1 |
| 23 | Shrewsbury | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1:10 | -9 | 1 |
| 24 | Cheltenham | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1:10 | -9 | 0 |
Promotion ~ League Two
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
