Result
2:1
24/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 28
- Referee: Breakspear C. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.82 | 1.04 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (312/414) | 73% (270/372) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.82 | 1.04 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.11 | 0.04 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 19 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (312/414) | 73% (270/372) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 34% (24/70) | 41% (35/85) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (88/140) | 59% (77/130) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (2/8) | 18% (6/33) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.47 | 0.85 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 19 | 31 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 19 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 69% (9/13) | 58% (7/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 61 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 45 | 21 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.04 | 1.11 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.96 | -0.89 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 14', 1 - 0, Lisbie K. ⚽, Payne J. (A),
- 38', 2 - 0, Mbick M. ⚽, Tovide S. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Roberts L. ↓, Evans C. ↑,
- 46', Holgate H. ↓, Mullarkey T. ↑,
- 54', Lisbie K. ↓, Edwards O. ↑,
- 63', Mbick M. ↓, Goodwin W. ↑,
- 72', Bonds E. 🟨,
- 76', Helm M. ↓, Virtue-Thick M. ↑,
- 76', Davies W. ↓, Devonport O. ↑,
- 79', 2 - 1, Ennis E. ⚽,
- 80', Powell J. 🟨,
- 82', Hughes K. ↓, Medley Z. ↑,
- 83', Tovide S. ↓, Williams J. ↑,
- 83', Hunt R. ↓, Gape D. ↑,
- 88', Gape D. 🟨,
- 90+7', Goodwin W. 🟨,
- 90+8', Edwards O. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Colchester United
53.7% | Draw
25.2% | Fleetwood Town
21.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Colchester United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)Fleetwood Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Colchester United than the current prediction. (-0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fleetwood Town than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
Colchester United - Fleetwood Town Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.75 ↓
(1.82) |
3.7 ↑
(3.62) |
4.39 ↑
(3.96) |
6.9%
(7.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Colchester United - Fleetwood Town?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Colchester will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Fleetwood will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Fleetwood (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 9 and 15).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Colchester won 1.
- Colchester is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Fleetwood is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Fleetwood may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Colchester is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Colchester: Anderson H.
(Inactive)
Baldwin J.
(Inactive)
Flanagan T.
(Knee Injury)
Perry B.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Fleetwood: Hume D.
(Inactive)
Johnson W.
(Inactive)
Potter F.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Colchester: Akande A.
(Knee Injury)
Bishop T.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Fleetwood: Bolton J.
(Inactive)
McCann L.
(Inactive)
Norwood J.
(Inactive)
- We predict that Colchester will win today's game, with odds of 1.74.
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Colchester won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:12. (average 1.6:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Colchester won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 2:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Colchester United won against Fleetwood Town?
Colchester United has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Fleetwood Town won against Colchester United?
Fleetwood Town has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Colchester United - Fleetwood Town were as follows:
27.09.2025
Fleetwood Town
-
Colchester United
4:2
15.03.2025
Colchester United
-
Fleetwood Town
3:0
30.11.2024
Fleetwood Town
-
Colchester United
0:0
Latest results of Colchester United
Latest results of Fleetwood Town
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bromley | 43 | 23 | 14 | 6 | 68:43 | 25 | 83 |
| 2 | MK Dons | 43 | 22 | 13 | 8 | 79:43 | 36 | 79 |
| 3 | Cambridge Utd | 42 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 62:31 | 31 | 77 |
| 4 | Notts Co | 43 | 23 | 7 | 13 | 71:49 | 22 | 76 |
| 5 | Swindon | 43 | 22 | 8 | 13 | 67:51 | 16 | 74 |
| 6 | Salford | 43 | 23 | 5 | 15 | 57:50 | 7 | 74 |
| 7 | Chesterfield | 42 | 18 | 15 | 9 | 64:53 | 11 | 69 |
| 8 | Grimsby | 41 | 19 | 11 | 11 | 62:45 | 17 | 68 |
| 9 | Barnet | 43 | 18 | 13 | 12 | 60:49 | 11 | 67 |
| 10 | Crewe | 43 | 19 | 9 | 15 | 63:53 | 10 | 66 |
| 11 | Oldham | 42 | 17 | 14 | 11 | 52:36 | 16 | 65 |
| 12 | Walsall | 43 | 17 | 11 | 15 | 52:50 | 2 | 62 |
| 13 | Colchester | 42 | 16 | 12 | 14 | 56:45 | 11 | 60 |
| 14 | Fleetwood | 43 | 15 | 13 | 15 | 53:54 | -1 | 58 |
| 15 | Bristol Rovers | 43 | 17 | 4 | 22 | 49:63 | -14 | 55 |
| 16 | Accrington | 42 | 14 | 9 | 19 | 41:48 | -7 | 51 |
| 17 | Gillingham | 42 | 12 | 14 | 16 | 48:60 | -12 | 50 |
| 18 | Shrewsbury | 43 | 13 | 8 | 22 | 40:66 | -26 | 47 |
| 19 | Cheltenham | 41 | 12 | 10 | 19 | 48:67 | -19 | 46 |
| 20 | Tranmere | 42 | 9 | 10 | 23 | 49:72 | -23 | 37 |
| 21 | Crawley | 43 | 8 | 13 | 22 | 41:65 | -24 | 37 |
| 22 | Newport | 43 | 10 | 7 | 26 | 43:73 | -30 | 37 |
| 23 | Barrow | 42 | 8 | 9 | 25 | 40:68 | -28 | 33 |
| 24 | Harrogate | 43 | 8 | 9 | 26 | 35:66 | -31 | 33 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
