Result
1:1
29/09/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Eerste Divisie - Round 9
- Referee: van den Kerkhof M. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Netherlands | Canal+ |
Match Stats
| |
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Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.14 | 1.03 |
Ball Possession |
---|
40% | 60% |
Total shots |
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16 | 15 |
Shots on target |
---|
8 | 6 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
2 | 9 |
Passes |
---|
81% (287/355) | 85% (450/527) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
1 | 2 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.14 | 1.03 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.99 | 1.88 |
Total shots |
---|
16 | 15 |
Shots on target |
---|
8 | 6 |
Shots off target |
---|
2 | 2 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
6 | 7 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
13 | 13 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
3 | 2 |
Hit the Woodwork |
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1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
2 | 9 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
27 | 34 |
Accurate through passes |
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0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
4 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
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13 | 12 |
Passes |
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81% (287/355) | 85% (450/527) |
Long passes |
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51% (31/61) | 50% (16/32) |
Passes in final third |
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65% (53/82) | 71% (89/125) |
Crosses |
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8% (1/13) | 13% (3/24) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.66 | 0.76 |
Throw-ins |
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15 | 26 |
Fouls |
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12 | 13 |
Tackles |
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62% (13/21) | 64% (7/11) |
Duels won |
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49 | 45 |
Clearances |
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28 | 20 |
Interceptions |
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12 | 5 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
5 | 7 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.88 | 0.99 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.88 | -0.01 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 8', 1 - 0, van den Hurk A. ⚽, Kother T. (A),
- 16', Visser D. ↓, Souren N. ↑,
- 38', 1 - 1, Ferrah I. ⚽, Galvez T. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 56', Paulissen M. ↓, Schwirten J. ↑,
- 57', Breij M. 🟨,
- 67', Mulders R. ↓, Jermoumi D. ↑,
- 67', van der Sande J. ↓, Rolke T. ↑,
- 69', Souren N. 🟨,
- 70', Sjostrand O. 🟨,
- 75', Seedorf C. ↓, Cooper-Love J. ↑,
- 76', Kother T. ↓, Beerten L. ↑,
- 77', Balk R. ↓, Visser K. ↑,
- 77', Sjostrand O. ↓, Kooistra W. ↑,
- 90+2', Van den Buijs D. ↓, Foss J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Roda 34.8% | Draw 25.5% | Cambuur 39.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Roda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)Cambuur has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roda than the current prediction. (+1.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cambuur than the current prediction. (-2%)
Roda - Cambuur Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.72 ↑ (2.61) |
3.69 ↑ (3.64) |
2.47 ↑ (2.46) |
4.4% (6.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Roda - Cambuur?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Roda will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Cambuur will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cambuur: 15.4% – 84.6%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Roda won 2.
- In recent matches, Roda has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Cambuur is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Roda may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Roda won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 13:12. (average 0.9:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Roda won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:5. (average 1.4:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Roda won against Cambuur?
Roda has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cambuur won against Roda?
Cambuur has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Roda - Cambuur were as follows:
20.01.2025
Roda
-
Cambuur
0:1
16.09.2024
Cambuur
-
Roda
0:0
03.05.2024
Roda
-
Cambuur
2:0
19.11.2023
Cambuur
-
Roda
1:1
Latest results of Cambuur
Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Den Haag | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 30:7 | 23 | 28 |
2 | Cambuur | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 24:13 | 11 | 27 |
3 | Jong PSV | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 23:15 | 8 | 21 |
4 | Roda | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 21:14 | 7 | 21 |
5 | Willem II | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 15:15 | 0 | 20 |
6 | Den Bosch | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 22:25 | -3 | 17 |
7 | Dordrecht | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 15:14 | 1 | 16 |
8 | Helmond | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 15:16 | -1 | 16 |
9 | Venlo | 11 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 18:17 | 1 | 15 |
10 | Waalwijk | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 18:17 | 1 | 15 |
11 | De Graafschap | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 16:17 | -1 | 13 |
12 | FC Emmen | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 21:25 | -4 | 13 |
13 | Oss | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 17:23 | -6 | 12 |
14 | Almere City | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 22:18 | 4 | 11 |
15 | Jong Utrecht | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 15:21 | -6 | 11 |
16 | Maastricht | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 10:17 | -7 | 11 |
17 | Eindhoven FC | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 9:26 | -17 | 11 |
18 | Jong AZ | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 14:23 | -9 | 8 |
19 | Jong Ajax | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 18:24 | -6 | 7 |
20 | Vitesse | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 18:14 | 4 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Eredivisie
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )