Canberra Raiders vs Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Rugby league Australian NRL Canberra Raiders - Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles
Result
28:12
08/08/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • NRL - Round 23
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliaFox League
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
germanyGermanyMagenta Sport

Match Stats

Tries
52
Conversion Goals
42
Conversion Goal Attempts
63
Penalty Goals
00
Penalty Goal Attempts
11
Goals %
5750
Dropped Goals
00
Dropped Goal Attempts
00
Total Runs
159195
Metres Run With Ball
13791615

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (10 - 6)
  • 4', Trbojevic T. (Try),
  • 5', Garrick R. (Conversion Goal),
  • 11', Strange E. (Try),
  • 12', Fogarty J. (Conversion Goal),
  • 14', Savage X. (Try),
  • 16', Fogarty J. (Missed Conversion),
  • 40', Fogarty J. (Missed Penalty),
  • 40', Cherry-Evans D. (Missed Penalty),
  • 2nd Half (18 - 6)
  • 47', Koula T. (Try),
  • 49', Garrick R. (Conversion Goal),
  • 51', Strange E. (Try),
  • 53', Fogarty J. (Conversion Goal),
  • 55', Strange E. (Try),
  • 57', Fogarty J. (Conversion Goal),
  • 64', Kris S. (Try),
  • 66', Fogarty J. (Conversion Goal),

Chances of winning


Canberra Raiders
63.9%
Draw
4.2%
Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles
31.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
66.7% 3.5% 29.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.3% 3.4% 29%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Canberra Raiders has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
  • Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Canberra Raiders than the current prediction. (+4.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
  • Canberra Raiders - Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.47
    (1.38)
    21.48
    (26)
    2.9
    (3.1)
    7.4%
    (8.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 46.50
  • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-8)
  • What is the prediction for Canberra Raiders - Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Canberra will win (votes: 4 - 100%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Canberra (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 27:19.
  • Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ NRL (Play Offs: ) and 10).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Canberra won 2.
    • Canberra is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • In recent matches, Manly-Warringah has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Canberra might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Canberra won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 438:511. (average 21.9:25.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Canberra won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 217:229. (average 21.7:22.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Canberra Raiders - Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles were as follows:
    23.03.2025 Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles - Canberra Raiders 40:12
    10.08.2024 Canberra Raiders - Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles 24:46
    03.05.2024 Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles - Canberra Raiders 24:26
    21.05.2023 Canberra Raiders - Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles 14:42
    27.08.2022 Canberra Raiders - Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles 48:6
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Melbourne Storm (2)Canterbury Bulldogs (3)26 : 18
    3Canberra Raiders (1)Bye
    4Cronulla Sharks (5)Sydney Roosters (8)20 : 10
    5Canberra Raiders (1)Brisbane Broncos (4)28 : 29
    7Canterbury BulldogsBye
    8New Zealand Warriors (6)Penrith Panthers (7)8 : 24

    Quarter-finals
    1Melbourne Storm (2)Bye
    2Canberra Raiders (1)Cronulla Sharks (5)12 : 32
    3Brisbane Broncos (4)Bye
    4Canterbury Bulldogs (3)Penrith Panthers (7)26 : 46

    Semi-finals
    1Melbourne Storm (2)Cronulla Sharks (5)
    2Brisbane Broncos (4)Penrith Panthers (7)

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2