Newcastle Jets vs Canberra United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
27/12/2025 at 02:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • A-League Women - Round 9
  • Referee: Godsell M. (Aus)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliaChannel 10, Paramount+
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
hong-kongHong-kongHOY TV
new-zealandNew-zealandSky Sport 5
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 3, TNT Sports 6, TNT Sports Extra
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.901.60
Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
1032
Shots on target
19
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
45
Passes
68% (267/390)73% (275/377)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
0.901.60
xG on target (xGOT)
0.331.26
Total shots
1032
Shots on target
19
Shots off target
814
Blocked Shots
19
Shots inside the Box
617
Shots outside the Box
415
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
45
Touches in opposition box
1134
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
127
Passes
68% (267/390)73% (275/377)
Long passes
43% (33/76)40% (25/62)
Passes in final third
58% (59/101)69% (97/141)
Crosses
10% (1/10)27% (8/30)
Expected assists (xA)
0.251.16
Throw-ins
4134
Fouls
712
Tackles
67% (14/21)63% (12/19)
Duels won
5358
Clearances
4625
Interceptions
1316
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
101
xGOT faced
1.260.33
Goals prevented
0.260.33

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 39', Bertolissio T. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 48', Cicco C. 🟨,
  • 60', Hawkins E. , Dale S. ,
  • 70', Taylor-Young H. , Christopherson S. ,
  • 71', Aulicino J. , Stanic-Floody M. ,
  • 77', Allan J. , Adams C. ,
  • 78', Ayres M. , Brown K. ,
  • 81', Copus-Brown L. , Johnson H. M. ,
  • 86', Bertolissio T. , Malone D. ,
  • 90+3', 0 - 1, Dale S. , Stanic-Floody M. (A),

Chances of winning


Newcastle Jets
25.3%
Draw
25.7%
Canberra United
49%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
30.8% 25.6% 43.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.7% 25.5% 43.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Newcastle Jets has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Newcastle Jets's form might have worsened.
  • Canberra United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Canberra United's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newcastle Jets than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Newcastle Jets, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Canberra United than the current prediction. (-5.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Canberra United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Newcastle Jets - Canberra United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.59
    (2.93)
    3.54
    (3.53)
    1.85
    (2.08)
    10.1%
    (10.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League Women (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Newcastle Jets won 2.
    • In recent matches, Newcastle Jets has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Canberra United is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Canberra United may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Canberra United has had a series of home games.
    • Canberra United might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Newcastle Jets won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 29:37. (average 1.8:2.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Newcastle Jets won 1 match, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:19. (average 1.7:2.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Newcastle Jets - Canberra United were as follows:
    02.11.2025 Canberra United - Newcastle Jets 1:2
    25.01.2025 Newcastle Jets - Canberra United 2:2
    29.12.2024 Canberra United - Newcastle Jets 0:0
    06.01.2024 Newcastle Jets - Canberra United 3:3
    26.11.2023 Canberra United - Newcastle Jets 3:4
    Latest results of Canberra United
    Australian A-League Women Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Melbourne City W1693429:171230
    2Canberra W1683525:17827
    3Adelaide W1582519:17226
    4Wellington Phoenix W1574429:131625
    5Perth W1672717:22-523
    6Melbourne Victory W1764724:22222
    7Central Coast Mariners W1664625:25022
    8Brisbane Roar W1664626:31-522
    9Newcastle W1652921:28-717
    10WS Wanderers W1744916:31-1516
    11Sydney W1636714:22-815

          Promotion ~ A~League Women (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ A~League Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)