Result
0:2
17/01/2026 at 01:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- A-League Women - Round 13
- Referee: Godsell M. (Aus)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | Channel 10, Paramount+ |
 Hong-kong | HOY TV |
 New-zealand | Sky Sport 1 |
 United-kingdom | Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 1, TNT Sports 8 |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.90 | 0.96 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 69% (245/355) | 70% (220/315) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.90 | 0.96 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.07 | 1.05 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 25 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 69% (245/355) | 70% (220/315) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 32% (20/63) | 44% (25/57) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 50% (52/103) | 57% (70/123) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (5/25) | 22% (5/23) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.80 | 1.30 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 40 | 33 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (16/24) | 52% (11/21) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 45 | 43 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 38 | 42 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 16 | 18 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.05 | 0.07 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.95 | 0.07 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 6', Bertolissio T. 🟨,
- 16', Jale G. 🟨,
- 45+3', Bertolissio T. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Barry M. ↓, Elliott M. ↑,
- 51', Elliott M. 🟨,
- 56', Pijnenburg E. ↓, Vlok P. ↑,
- 56', Main E. ↓, Brazendale D. ↑,
- 65', Leon L. 🟨,
- 72', Malone D. ↓, Hawkins E. ↑,
- 81', Leon L. ↓, Benson Z. ↑,
- 86', 0 - 1, Benson Z. ⚽,
- 86', Heyman M. ↓, Christopherson S. ↑,
- 90+3', Gordon B. 🟨,
- 90+5', Gordon B. ↓, Dale S. ↑,
- 90+6', 0 - 2, Vlok P. ⚽, Woods M. (A),
Chances of winning
Canberra United
50.6% | Draw
25.3% | Wellington Phoenix
24.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Canberra United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Canberra United's performance.Wellington Phoenix has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Wellington Phoenix might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Canberra United than the current prediction. (-8.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Canberra United that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wellington Phoenix than the current prediction. (+6.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Wellington Phoenix could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Canberra United - Wellington Phoenix Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.8 ↓
(2.23) |
3.61 ↑
(3.24) |
3.79 ↑
(2.86) |
9.5%
(10.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Canberra United - Wellington Phoenix?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -1 - Canberra United (2.47) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Canberra United (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League Women (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 8).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Canberra United won 3.
- Canberra United is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Wellington's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Canberra United may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Canberra United is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Canberra United won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:11. (average 0.9:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Canberra United won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 1.3:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Canberra United won against Wellington Phoenix?
Canberra United has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Wellington Phoenix won against Canberra United?
Wellington Phoenix has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Canberra United - Wellington Phoenix were as follows:
07.11.2025
Wellington Phoenix
-
Canberra United
1:1
13.04.2025
Canberra United
-
Wellington Phoenix
1:0
09.11.2024
Wellington Phoenix
-
Canberra United
0:1
23.03.2024
Canberra United
-
Wellington Phoenix
1:0
27.01.2024
Wellington Phoenix
-
Canberra United
2:0
Latest results of Canberra United
Latest results of Wellington Phoenix
Australian A-League Women Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Melbourne City W | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 29:17 | 12 | 30 |
| 2 | Canberra W | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 25:17 | 8 | 27 |
| 3 | Adelaide W | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 19:17 | 2 | 26 |
| 4 | Wellington Phoenix W | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 29:13 | 16 | 25 |
| 5 | Perth W | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 17:22 | -5 | 23 |
| 6 | Melbourne Victory W | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 24:22 | 2 | 22 |
| 7 | Central Coast Mariners W | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 25:25 | 0 | 22 |
| 8 | Brisbane Roar W | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 26:31 | -5 | 22 |
| 9 | Newcastle W | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 21:28 | -7 | 17 |
| 10 | WS Wanderers W | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 16:31 | -15 | 16 |
| 11 | Sydney W | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 14:22 | -8 | 15 |
Promotion ~ A~League Women (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ A~League Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
