Result
1:0
13/04/2025 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- A-League Women - Round 22
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | 10 Play, Paramount+ |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Hong-kong | HOY TV |
 New-zealand | Sky Sport 4 |
 United-kingdom | Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 2, TNT Sports 5 |
 Usa | ESPN 3, ESPN App |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.73 | 1.11 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 38% | 62% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 61% (173/285) | 79% (365/463) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.73 | 1.11 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.34 | 1.17 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 14 | 23 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 61% (173/285) | 79% (365/463) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 38% (29/77) | 55% (26/47) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 45% (40/88) | 66% (118/179) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 15% (2/13) | 23% (7/30) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.16 | 1.05 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 86% (18/21) | 71% (12/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 39 | 45 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 28 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.17 | 2.34 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.17 | 1.09 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 25', 1 - 0, Christopherson S. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 69', Jaber T. ↓, Kelly A. ↑,
- 69', Brazendale D. ↓, Whinham A. ↑,
- 69', Markovski M. ↓, McKenzie A. ↑,
- 69', Stanic-Floody M. ↓, Murray H. ↑,
- 81', Fergusson O. ↓, Tanaka M. ↑,
- 82', McKenzie A. 🟨,
- 86', Kelly A. 🟨,
- 90', McCutcheon M. ↓, Ingham O. ↑,
- 90+3', Malone D. ↓, Nathan R. ↑,
- 90+4', 🟨,
- 90+7', 🟨,
Chances of winning
Canberra United
41.9% | Draw
25.7% | Wellington Phoenix
32.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Canberra United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Canberra United's performance.Wellington Phoenix has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Wellington Phoenix might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Canberra United than the current prediction. (-9.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Canberra United that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wellington Phoenix than the current prediction. (+10%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Wellington Phoenix could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Canberra United - Wellington Phoenix Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.19 ↓
(2.72) |
3.57 ↑
(3.51) |
2.83 ↑
(2.26) |
9.1%
(9.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 9).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Canberra United won 3.
- One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.
- Canberra United could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- Recently Wellington have a series of home games.
- The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
- Last 6 head-to-head matches Canberra United won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5:10 (average 0.8:1.7).
- Including matches at home between the teams Canberra United won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:3 (average 1.3:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Canberra United won against Wellington Phoenix?
Canberra United has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Wellington Phoenix won against Canberra United?
Wellington Phoenix has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Canberra United - Wellington Phoenix were as follows:
09.11.2024
Wellington Phoenix
-
Canberra United
0:1
23.03.2024
Canberra United
-
Wellington Phoenix
1:0
27.01.2024
Wellington Phoenix
-
Canberra United
2:0
21.01.2023
Wellington Phoenix
-
Canberra United
5:0
09.12.2022
Canberra United
-
Wellington Phoenix
3:0
Latest results of Canberra United
Latest results of Wellington Phoenix
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Melbourne Victory W (2) | Bye | |
| 2 | Adelaide W (3) | Western United W (6) | 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Melbourne City W (1) | Bye | |
| 4 | Central Coast Mariners W (4) | Canberra W (5) | 2 : 1 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Melbourne Victory W (2) | Adelaide W (3) | 3 : 1, 3 : 1 |
| 2 | Melbourne City W (1) | Central Coast Mariners W (4) | 0 : 1, 2 : 2 |
Final| 1 | Melbourne Victory W (2) | Central Coast Mariners W (4) | 1 : 2 |
