Result
2:4
03/10/2025 at 23:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga de Expansion MX - Apertura - Round 10
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | AYM Sports |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 4 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 3)
- 4', 0 - 1, Diaz J. ⚽, Zabala L. (A),
- 9', 0 - 2, Rodriguez J. ⚽, Diaz J. (A),
- 29', Padilla E. 🟨,
- 30', 1 - 2, Barragan M. ⚽, Bass A. (A),
- 37', 1 - 3, Trejo C. ⚽, Padilla E. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Padilla E. ↓, Reyes R. ↑,
- 59', Uscanga P. ↓, Ochoa I. ↑,
- 64', Millan O. ↓, Renteria R. ↑,
- 66', 2 - 3, Alvarez D. ⚽, Torres H. (A),
- 68', 2 - 4, Trejo C. ⚽,
- 79', Rodriguez J. ↓, Campos K. ↑,
- 79', Galindo B. ↓, Montiel S. ↑,
- 82', Alaffita Garcia E. J. ↓, Jaimes U. ↑,
- 89', Bass A. ↓, Gutierrez L. ↑,
- 90+2', 🟥,
- 90+3', Trejo C. 🟨,
- 90+5', Trejo C. ↓, Unjanque J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Atlético La Paz
43.1% | Draw
24.9% | Cancún
32% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético La Paz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Atlético La Paz's performance.Cancún has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cancún might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético La Paz than the current prediction. (-7.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Atlético La Paz that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cancún than the current prediction. (+7.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cancún could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Atlético La Paz - Cancún Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.15 ↓
(2.61) |
3.71 ↑
(3.6) |
2.9 ↑
(2.33) |
8%
(9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Atlético La Paz - Cancún?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Atlético La Paz will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 75%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético La Paz won 1.
- Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Atlético La Paz won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:13. (average 1:2.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Atlético La Paz won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:5. (average 1:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético La Paz won against Cancún?
Atlético La Paz has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cancún won against Atlético La Paz?
Cancún has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético La Paz - Cancún were as follows:
19.04.2025
Cancún
-
Atlético La Paz
4:1
01.11.2024
Atlético La Paz
-
Cancún
1:1
02.03.2024
Cancún
-
Atlético La Paz
2:2
13.09.2023
Atlético La Paz
-
Cancún
1:4
15.02.2023
Atlético La Paz
-
Cancún
1:0
Latest results of Atlético La Paz
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cancun | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 17:4 | 13 | 22 |
| 2 | Tampico Madero | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 14:8 | 6 | 20 |
| 3 | Atlante | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 21:8 | 13 | 19 |
| 4 | Tepatitlan de Morelos | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 19:11 | 8 | 17 |
| 5 | Irapuato | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 17:11 | 6 | 17 |
| 6 | Leones Negros | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 14:12 | 2 | 12 |
| 7 | Atletico La Paz | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 19:18 | 1 | 12 |
| 8 | Tlaxcala | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 11:19 | -8 | 12 |
| 9 | Tapatio | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 13:12 | 1 | 11 |
| 10 | Venados | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 22:24 | -2 | 11 |
| 11 | Atl. Morelia | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 13:18 | -5 | 11 |
| 12 | Zacatecas Mineros | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 14:14 | 0 | 10 |
| 13 | Alebrijes Oaxaca | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 11:19 | -8 | 7 |
| 14 | Correcaminos | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 14:27 | -13 | 6 |
| 15 | Dorados de Sinaloa | 10 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 6:20 | -14 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
