Result
1:1
14/03/2026 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga de Expansion MX - Clausura - Round 10
- Referee: Garcia Olvera L. A. (Mex)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 64% | 36% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 19', 1 - 0, Rodriguez J. ⚽,
- 45+1', 1 - 1, Alvarez D. ⚽, Alaffita Garcia E. J. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 49', Illescas F. 🟨,
- 57', Alvarez D. ↓, Renteria R. ↑,
- 57', Vazquez I. ↓, Del Aguila Y. ↑,
- 58', Chavez A. 🟨,
- 67', Del Aguila Y. 🟨,
- 68', Garcia G. 🟨,
- 69', Illescas F. ↓, Robles A. ↑,
- 69', Uscanga P. ↓, Ochoa I. ↑,
- 69', Campos K. ↓, El-mesmari B. ↑,
- 74', Trejo C. 🟨,
- 77', Preciado G. ↓, Melendre F. ↑,
- 77', Montiel S. ↓, Padilla E. ↑,
- 84', Torres H. 🟥,
- 84', Millan O. ↓, Soto A. ↑,
- 88', Del Aguila Y. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Cancún
44.3% | Draw
25.7% | Atlético La Paz
30% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cancún has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)Atlético La Paz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cancún than the current prediction. (+5.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cancún, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético La Paz than the current prediction. (-4.7%)
Cancún - Atlético La Paz Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.09 ↑
(1.91) |
3.59 ↑
(3.58) |
3.09 ↓
(3.52) |
8.1%
(8.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Cancún - Atlético La Paz?
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Cancún (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cancún won 3.
- Cancún has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Atlético La Paz is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Cancún may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Cancún might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Cancún won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 17:8. (average 2.4:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cancún won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:3. (average 2.7:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Cancún won against Atlético La Paz?
Cancún has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético La Paz won against Cancún?
Atlético La Paz has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cancún - Atlético La Paz were as follows:
03.10.2025
Atlético La Paz
-
Cancún
2:4
19.04.2025
Cancún
-
Atlético La Paz
4:1
01.11.2024
Atlético La Paz
-
Cancún
1:1
02.03.2024
Cancún
-
Atlético La Paz
2:2
13.09.2023
Atlético La Paz
-
Cancún
1:4
Latest results of Atlético La Paz
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tepatitlan de Morelos ✔ | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 21:10 | 11 | 26 |
| 2 | Atl. Morelia | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 18:11 | 7 | 23 |
| 3 | Cancun | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 22:16 | 6 | 22 |
| 4 | Atletico La Paz | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 21:11 | 10 | 21 |
| 5 | Tapatio | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 27:21 | 6 | 20 |
| 6 | Zacatecas Mineros | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 19:20 | -1 | 20 |
| 7 | Atlante | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 20:16 | 4 | 19 |
| 8 | Irapuato | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 27:24 | 3 | 19 |
| 9 | Tlaxcala | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 14:15 | -1 | 19 |
| 10 | Jaiba Brava | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 14:15 | -1 | 18 |
| 11 | Venados | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 23:23 | 0 | 15 |
| 12 | Alebrijes Oaxaca | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 17:28 | -11 | 13 |
| 13 | Correcaminos | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 13:24 | -11 | 12 |
| 14 | Leones Negros | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 14:23 | -9 | 11 |
| 15 | Dorados de Sinaloa | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 14:27 | -13 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
Tepatitlan de Morelos is Qualified for Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
