Cancún vs Atlético La Paz – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Mexican Liga de Expansion MX Cancún - Atlético La Paz
Result
4:1
19/04/2025 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga de Expansion MX - Clausura - Round 15
  • Referee: Cruz Garatachea F. (Mex)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
mexicoMexicoClaro Sports
venezuelaVenezuelaInter
worldWorldPluto TV

Match Stats

Ball Possession
56%44%
Total shots
276
Shots on target
123
Corner Kicks
111
Yellow Cards
13
Total shots
276
Shots on target
123
Shots off target
153
Corner Kicks
111
Goalkeeper Saves
28

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 4', 1 - 0, Uscanga P. ,
  • 25', Villa O. 🟨,
  • 29', Jaimes U. 🟨,
  • 34', Gutierrez L. 🟨,
  • 39', Vazquez I. , Cota A. ,
  • 43', 2 - 0, Unjanque J. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Villa O. , Padilla A. ,
  • 49', 3 - 0, Diaz J. ,
  • 67', Alaffita Garcia E. J. , Hernandez E. ,
  • 67', Renteria R. , Hernandez D. ,
  • 69', Alcala G. 🟨,
  • 70', Zabala L. , Reyes R. ,
  • 70', Uscanga P. , Rodriguez A. ,
  • 70', Unjanque J. , Zaragoza A. ,
  • 75', Jaimes U. , Chiu L. ,
  • 75', Yanez J. , Velasco G. ,
  • 86', 4 - 0, Rodriguez J. ,
  • 88', Hernandez J. , Marin H. ,
  • 90', 4 - 1, Torres H. ,

Chances of winning


Cancún
64.2%
Draw
20.9%
Atlético La Paz
14.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
59.9% 20.8% 19.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.4% 20.3% 18.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cancún has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)
  • Atlético La Paz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cancún than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético La Paz than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
  • Cancún - Atlético La Paz Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.44
    (1.53)
    4.43
    (4.4)
    6.23
    (4.75)
    7.9%
    (9.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • Preview Facts
    • This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 11 and 14).
    • Cancún is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Recent matches Atlético La Paz is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Atlético La Paz could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Cancún is a favorite.
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Cancún won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9:5 (average 1.8:1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Cancún won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:2 (average 2:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cancún - Atlético La Paz were as follows:
    01.11.2024 Atlético La Paz - Cancún 1:1
    02.03.2024 Cancún - Atlético La Paz 2:2
    13.09.2023 Atlético La Paz - Cancún 1:4
    15.02.2023 Atlético La Paz - Cancún 1:0
    Latest results of Cancún
    05.04.2025 Cancún - Tapatío 1:2
    29.03.2025 Atlante - Cancún 4:1
    22.03.2025 Cancún - Celaya 1:1
    15.03.2025 Tlaxcala - Cancún 1:1
    Latest results of Atlético La Paz
    Mexican Liga de Expansion MX Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Irapuato11004:133
    2Tapatio11002:023
    3Tampico Madero11001:013
    4Cancun11001:013
    5Atlante10101:101
    6Atl. Morelia10101:101
    7Correcaminos10101:101
    8Tlaxcala10101:101
    9Zacatecas Mineros10101:101
    10Tepatitlan de Morelos10101:101
    11Alebrijes Oaxaca00000:000
    12Dorados de Sinaloa10010:1-10
    13Leones Negros10010:1-10
    14Atletico La Paz10010:2-20
    15Venados10011:4-30

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