Cantù vs Derthona Basket Tortona – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
79:85
04/01/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Lega A - Round 14
  • Referee: Catani M. (Ita)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
italyItalyLBA TV

Match Stats

Field Goals Attempted
6165
Field Goals Made
2932
Field Goals %
47.54%49.23%
2-Point Field G. Attempted
3643
2-Point Field Goals Made
2126
2-Point Field Goals %
58.33%60.47%
3-Point Field G. Attempted
2522
3-Point Field Goals Made
86
3-Point Field Goals %
32%27.27%
Free Throws Attempted
1617
Free Throws Made
1315
Free Throws %
81.3%88.2%
Offensive Rebounds
610
Defensive Rebounds
2327
Total Rebounds
2937
Assists
2227
Blocks
42
Turnovers
1212
Steals
76
Personal Fouls
1820

Chances of winning


Cantù
43.7%
Derthona Basket Tortona
56.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.1% 55.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.8% 56.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cantù has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
  • Derthona Basket Tortona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cantù than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Derthona Basket Tortona than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
  • Cantù - Derthona Basket Tortona Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.16
    (2.1)

    1.68
    (1.66)
    6%
    (7.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 172.00
    • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)
    What is the prediction for Cantù - Derthona Basket Tortona?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 171.5, OT - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Cantù will win (19 of 21 users predict this - 90.48%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 77.93%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Cantù will win (10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 85:88.
  • Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 14 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Lega A (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • Cantù is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Tortona has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Cantù may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Cantù
    28.12.2025 Napoli Basket - Cantù 98:86
    20.12.2025 Cantù - Olimpia Milano 89:94
    14.12.2025 Treviso Basket - Cantù 86:81
    07.12.2025 Venezia - Cantù 101:95
    23.11.2025 Cantù - Virtus Bologna 77:89
    Latest results of Derthona Basket Tortona
    Italian Lega A Basketball Table
    2025/26
    PlWLPts
    1Virtus Bologna191631631:149032
    2Brescia191541700:159630
    3Olimpia Milano191451615:146428
    4Venezia181351630:150726
    5Tortona191271653:163524
    6Trieste181081542:156720
    7Trento199101621:159618
    8Udine198111559:154416
    9Cremona198111552:160716
    10Basket Napoli187111501:154514
    11Reggiana187111445:145614
    12Varese197121555:164314
    13Sassari196131594:167512
    14Cantu195141605:170710
    15Treviso183151449:16206
    16Trapani0000:00

          Promotion ~ Lega A (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Relegation