Cape Town City vs Mamelodi Sundowns – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:2
03/05/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Premiership - Round 28
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaDStv Now, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport PSL
kenyaKenyaGotv
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport PSL

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.161.99
Ball Possession
33%67%
Total shots
415
Shots on target
15
Big Chances
03
Corner Kicks
43
Passes
79% (226/287)88% (549/622)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
0.161.99
xG on target (xGOT)
0.531.99
Total shots
415
Shots on target
15
Shots off target
15
Blocked Shots
25
Shots inside the Box
28
Shots outside the Box
27
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
03
Corner Kicks
43
Touches in opposition box
1326
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
42
Free Kicks
128
Passes
79% (226/287)88% (549/622)
Long passes
40% (17/42)60% (37/62)
Passes in final third
68% (63/92)77% (94/122)
Crosses
24% (4/17)38% (3/8)
Expected assists (xA)
0.501.94
Throw-ins
1917
Fouls
812
Tackles
67% (12/18)53% (8/15)
Duels won
4033
Clearances
2420
Interceptions
129
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
31
xGOT faced
1.990.53
Goals prevented
-0.010.53

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 12', Makaringe F. 🟨,
  • 28', Mokoena T. 🟨,
  • 34', 0 - 1, Matthews T. , Rayners I. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 63', Petrus A. 🟨,
  • 73', Amato G. , Mokotjo K. ,
  • 73', Petrus A. , Goedeman T. ,
  • 77', 0 - 2, Rayners I. ,
  • 79', Makaringe F. , Francis K. ,
  • 79', Rayners I. , Maseko T. ,
  • 79', Ribeiro L. , Adams J. ,
  • 79', Morena T. , Mudau K. ,
  • 79', Nodada T. , Domingo H. ,
  • 81', Matthews T. , Zwane T. ,
  • 81', Kekana G. , Khoza M. ,
  • 90', Rhodes J. , Bezuidenhout K. ,

Chances of winning


Cape Town City
17.1%
Draw
25.1%
Mamelodi Sundowns
57.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
17.7% 24.6% 57.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.8% 23.3% 60.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cape Town City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
  • Mamelodi Sundowns has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cape Town City than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mamelodi Sundowns than the current prediction. (+3%)
  • Cape Town City - Mamelodi Sundowns Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    5.42
    (5.2)
    3.69
    (3.75)
    1.6
    (1.6)
    8.1%
    (8.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Cape Town City - Mamelodi Sundowns?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Mamelodi Sundowns (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH +0.5 - Mamelodi Sundowns (1.61) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Mamelodi Sundowns (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 15 in the zone Premiership (Promotion Group: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ CAF Champions League).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cape Town City won 1.
    • Recent form of Cape Town City has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Mamelodi Sundowns's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Mamelodi Sundowns may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Mamelodi Sundowns is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cape Town City won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 15:23. (average 0.8:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Cape Town City won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:12. (average 0.8:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cape Town City - Mamelodi Sundowns were as follows:
    30.10.2024 Mamelodi Sundowns - Cape Town City 3:0
    25.05.2024 Mamelodi Sundowns - Cape Town City 0:1
    24.12.2023 Cape Town City - Mamelodi Sundowns 0:0
    04.04.2023 Mamelodi Sundowns - Cape Town City 0:0
    Latest results of Cape Town City
    Latest results of Mamelodi Sundowns
    South African Premier Soccer League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Mamelodi Sundowns21155137:112650
    2Orlando Pirates21153334:92548
    3Sekhukhune2197521:14734
    4AmaZulu21104721:19234
    5Kaizer Chiefs1996417:12533
    6Durban City2195719:15432
    7Polokwane2078516:13329
    8Golden Arrows21741027:26125
    9TS Galaxy21741024:23125
    10Stellenbosch2167817:22-525
    11Siwelele2058711:15-423
    12Richards Bay2158816:23-723
    13Chippa Utd2148916:26-1020
    14Marumo Gallants22461217:31-1418
    15Orbit College21531316:35-1918
    16Magesi20281013:28-1514

          Promotion ~ CAF Champions League
          Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup
          Betway Premiership (Promotion Group: )
          Relegation ~ Motsepe Foundation Championship