Mamelodi Sundowns vs Espérance ST – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

18/04/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Lucas Masterpieces Moripe Stadium (Pretoria).

CAF Champions League - Play Offs - Semi-finals
Referee: Artan O. A. (Som)
Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 4, CANAL+ Sport 1, DStv Now, SuperSport Football Plus
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
Croatia	SportKlub 7
Hong-kong	beIN SPORTS MAX
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX, Vidio
Kenya	Gotv
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Sports 2, beIN SPORTS MAX
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Nigeria	SuperSport Football Plus
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, beIN SPORTS MAX
Singapore	beIN Sports 2, beIN SPORTS MAX
Slovenia	SportKlub 6
South-africa	SuperSport Variety 4
Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, beIN SPORTS MAX
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
1.63	0.67
Ball possession
58%	42%
Total shots
14	11
Shots on target
5	2
Big chances
2	1
Corner kicks
4	4
Passes
80% (352/442)	74% (229/310)
Yellow cards
2	3
Expected goals (xG)
1.63	0.67
xG on target (xGOT)
1.97	0.19
Total shots
14	11
Shots on target
5	2
Shots off target
8	6
Blocked shots
1	3
Shots inside the box
7	7
Shots outside the box
7	4
Hit the woodwork
0	1
Big chances
2	1
Corner kicks
4	4
Touches in opposition box
16	11
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
0	4
Free kicks
11	13
Passes
80% (352/442)	74% (229/310)
Long passes
46% (27/59)	30% (16/53)
Passes in final third
52% (43/82)	55% (51/92)
Crosses
44% (4/9)	20% (3/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.53	0.47
Throw ins
24	22
Fouls
13	12
Tackles
75% (9/12)	69% (11/16)
Duels won
38	47
Clearances
18	12
Interceptions
7	10
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
2	4
xGOT faced
0.19	1.97
Goals prevented
0.19	0.97

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
32', Ben Said B. 🟨,
35', Leon B. (Penalty Awarded),
35', 1 - 0, Leon B. ⚽,
45+4', Arthur Sales 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
49', Morena T. 🟨,
57', Arthur Sales ↓, Allende M. ↑,
59', Boualia K. ↓, Diakite A. ↑,
69', Tka H. ↓, Rafia H. ↑,
69', Yan Sasse ↓, Diarra J. ↑,
72', Diakite A. 🟨,
78', Leon B. ↓, Rayners I. ↑,
78', Matthews T. ↓, Saleng M. ↑,
83', Konate A. ↓, Haj Ali M. ↑,
83', Danho F. ↓, Maacha K. ↑,
86', Morena T. ↓, Johannes K. ↑,
86', Adams J. ↓, Aubaas B. J. ↑,
90+4', Ogbelu O. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Mamelodi Sundowns
45%

Draw
31%

Espérance ST
23.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.1%

31.3%

18.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.6%

30.4%

18.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mamelodi Sundowns has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mamelodi Sundowns's form might have worsened.

Espérance ST has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Espérance ST's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mamelodi Sundowns than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mamelodi Sundowns, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Espérance ST than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Espérance ST, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Mamelodi Sundowns - Espérance ST Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↑ (1.81)	3.01 ↑ (2.9)	3.94 ↓ (4.86)	7.3% (10.3%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

What is the prediction for Mamelodi Sundowns - Espérance ST?

Users Predictions: Mamelodi Sundowns will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

First leg result: 1-0. Second leg.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mamelodi Sundowns won 2.
At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.
In this match, Mamelodi Sundowns is seen as the favorite.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Mamelodi Sundowns won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:4. (average 0.4:0.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Mamelodi Sundowns won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:3. (average 0.7:1).

How many head-to-head matches has Mamelodi Sundowns won against Espérance ST?

Mamelodi Sundowns has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Espérance ST won against Mamelodi Sundowns?

Espérance ST has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Mamelodi Sundowns - Espérance ST were as follows:

12.04.2026 Espérance ST - Mamelodi Sundowns 0:1

08.04.2025 Espérance ST - Mamelodi Sundowns 0:0

01.04.2025 Mamelodi Sundowns - Espérance ST 1:0

26.04.2024 Mamelodi Sundowns - Espérance ST 0:1

20.04.2024 Espérance ST - Mamelodi Sundowns 1:0

Latest results of Mamelodi Sundowns

12.04.2026 Espérance ST - Mamelodi Sundowns 0:1 ✺

07.04.2026 Durban City - Mamelodi Sundowns 0:1 ✺

03.04.2026 Mamelodi Sundowns - Chippa United 4:1 ✺

22.03.2026 Stade Malien - Mamelodi Sundowns 2:0 ✺

17.03.2026 Mamelodi Sundowns - Marumo Gallants 3:1 ✺

Latest results of Espérance ST

12.04.2026 Espérance ST - Mamelodi Sundowns 0:1 ✺

04.04.2026 Étoile du Sahel - Espérance ST 0:0 ✺

21.03.2026 Al Ahly Cairo - Espérance ST 2:3 ✺

15.03.2026 Espérance ST - Al Ahly Cairo 1:0 ✺

07.03.2026 Espérance ST - Marsa 1:0 ✺

Draw

Play Offs

Quarter-finals

1	Esperance Tunis	Al Ahly	3 : 2, 1 : 0
2	Mamelodi Sundowns	Stade Malien	0 : 2, 3 : 0
3	FAR Rabat	Pyramids	2 : 1, 1 : 1
4	Berkane	Al-Hilal Omdurman	1 : 0, 1 : 1

Semi-finals

1	Esperance Tunis	Mamelodi Sundowns	0 : 1, 0 : 1
2	FAR Rabat	Berkane	0 : 1, 2 : 0

Final

1

Mamelodi Sundowns

FAR Rabat