Result
0:1
12/04/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- CAF Champions League - Play Offs - Semi-finals
- Referee: Ghorbal M. (Alg)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | Azam Sports 2, CANAL+ Sport 1, DStv Now |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, TOD |
 Australia | beIN Connect |
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports |
 Croatia | SportKlub 2 |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 8, Free |
 Hong-kong | beIN Sports 2, beIN SPORTS MAX, Now Player |
 Indonesia | beIN Connect, Vidio |
 Malaysia | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 New-zealand | beIN Connect |
 Philippines | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Singapore | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Slovenia | SportKlub 2 |
 South-africa | SuperSport PSL, SuperSport Variety 4 |
 Thailand | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Tunisia | Watania 1 |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.05 | 0.73 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (290/353) | 79% (274/348) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.05 | 0.73 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.70 | 0.48 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 7 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 8 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (290/353) | 79% (274/348) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 55% (34/62) | 42% (31/74) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 65% (63/97) | 54% (56/103) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (6/21) | 80% (4/5) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.72 | 0.61 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 25 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 83% (10/12) | 82% (9/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 47 | 43 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 15 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.48 | 0.70 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.52 | 0.70 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 52', 0 - 1, Leon B. ⚽, Morena T. (A),
- 63', Boualia K. ↓, Diakite A. ↑,
- 63', Yan Sasse ↓, Diarra J. ↑,
- 70', Jelassi H. 🟨,
- 72', Arthur Sales ↓, Matthews T. ↑,
- 73', Williams R. 🟨,
- 76', Allende M. ↓, Aubaas B. J. ↑,
- 81', Tka H. ↓, Haj Ali M. ↑,
- 84', Kekana G. 🟥,
- 88', Leon B. ↓, Mdunyelwa Z. ↑,
- 88', Morena T. ↓, Ndamane K. ↑,
- 90+1', Konate A. ↓, Jabri A. ↑,
- 90+5', Mudau K. 🟨,
- 90+5', Beaumelle P. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Espérance ST
48.3% | Draw
31.1% | Mamelodi Sundowns
20.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Espérance ST has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)Mamelodi Sundowns has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Espérance ST than the current prediction. (+1.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mamelodi Sundowns than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
Espérance ST - Mamelodi Sundowns Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.92 ↓
(1.95) |
2.98 ↑
(2.98) |
4.54 ↑
(3.93) |
7.6%
(10.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Espérance ST - Mamelodi Sundowns?
Users Predictions:
Espérance ST will win
(4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 44.94% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- First leg.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Espérance ST won 2.
- Espérance ST is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Mamelodi Sundowns is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Mamelodi Sundowns may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Espérance ST could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Espérance ST won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:2. (average 0.7:0.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Espérance ST won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0. (average 0.3:0).
How many head-to-head matches has Espérance ST won against Mamelodi Sundowns?
Espérance ST has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Mamelodi Sundowns won against Espérance ST?
Mamelodi Sundowns has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Espérance ST - Mamelodi Sundowns were as follows:
08.04.2025
Espérance ST
-
Mamelodi Sundowns
0:0
01.04.2025
Mamelodi Sundowns
-
Espérance ST
1:0
26.04.2024
Mamelodi Sundowns
-
Espérance ST
0:1
20.04.2024
Espérance ST
-
Mamelodi Sundowns
1:0
Latest results of Espérance ST
Latest results of Mamelodi Sundowns
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Esperance Tunis | Al Ahly | 3 : 2, 1 : 0 |
| 2 | Mamelodi Sundowns | Stade Malien | 0 : 2, 3 : 0 |
| 3 | FAR Rabat | Pyramids | 2 : 1, 1 : 1 |
| 4 | Berkane | Al-Hilal Omdurman | 1 : 0, 1 : 1 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Esperance Tunis | Mamelodi Sundowns | 0 : 1 |
| 2 | FAR Rabat | Berkane | 2 : 0 |
Final
