Aparecidense vs Capital CF Ltda – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

26/07/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estádio Annibal Batista de Toledo (Aparecida de Goiânia).

Serie D - Round 14

Match Stats


Ball Possession
55%	45%
Total shots
13	8
Shots on target
7	5
Corner Kicks
7	8
Total shots
13	8
Shots on target
7	5
Shots off target
6	3
Corner Kicks
7	8
Goalkeeper Saves
4	5

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
34', 1 - 0, Joao Marcos (Pen),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
90+6', 2 - 0, Lauro ⚽,
90+14', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Chances of winning

Aparecidense
66.5%

Draw
22.2%

Capital CF Ltda
11.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.5%

21.7%

11.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.2%

20%

10.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Aparecidense have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Capital CF Ltda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aparecidense than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Aparecidense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Capital CF Ltda than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Aparecidense - Capital CF Ltda Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↑ (1.37)	4.14 ↓ (4.2)	8.06 ↑ (7.75)	9% (9.7%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

Preview Facts

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 5).
Aparecidense is Qualified for Serie D (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
Aparecidense has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Capital's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
In this match, Aparecidense is seen as the favorite.
We predict that Aparecidense will win today's game, with odds of 1.58.
In the last 1 head-to-head match, Aparecidense won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

How many head-to-head matches has Aparecidense won against Capital CF Ltda?

Aparecidense has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Capital CF Ltda won against Aparecidense?

Capital CF Ltda has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Aparecidense - Capital CF Ltda were as follows:

19.04.2025 Capital CF Ltda - Aparecidense 0:1

Latest results of Aparecidense

19.07.2025 Mixto - Aparecidense 0:0 ✺

12.07.2025 Aparecidense - Goianésia 2:1 ✺

05.07.2025 Aparecidense - Porto Velho 7:0 ✺

29.06.2025 Goiânia - Aparecidense 0:3 ✺

14.06.2025 Aparecidense - Ceilândia 2:0 ✺

Latest results of Capital CF Ltda

20.07.2025 Capital CF Ltda - Porto Velho 3:0 ✺

13.07.2025 Capital CF Ltda - Ceilândia 2:2 ✺

05.07.2025 Mixto - Capital CF Ltda 1:0 ✺

15.06.2025 Capital CF Ltda - Goianésia 1:1 ✺

07.06.2025 Goiânia - Capital CF Ltda 1:1 ✺

Brazilian Serie D Table

2026

Group 1

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Nacional-AM	2	2	0	0	3:0	3	6
2	Sao Raimundo RR	2	1	1	0	2:0	2	4
3	Manauara	2	1	1	0	2:0	2	4
4	Manaus	2	1	0	1	1:2	-1	3
5	GAS	2	0	0	2	0:3	-3	0
6	Monte Roraima	2	0	0	2	0:3	-3	0

Group 2

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Porto Velho	2	2	0	0	9:1	8	6
2	Araguaina	2	1	1	0	3:2	1	4
3	Guapore	2	1	1	0	2:1	1	4
4	Independencia	2	1	0	1	3:1	2	3
5	Galvez	2	0	0	2	1:6	-5	0
6	Humaita	2	0	0	2	1:8	-7	0

Group 3

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Gama	2	2	0	0	4:0	4	6
2	Luverdense	2	1	1	0	2:1	1	4
3	Aparecidense	2	1	0	1	3:3	0	3
4	Brasiliense	2	0	2	0	1:1	0	2
5	Primavera AC	2	0	1	1	2:4	-2	1
6	Inhumas	2	0	0	2	1:4	-3	0

Group 4

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Capital	2	2	0	0	2:0	2	6
2	Goiatuba	2	1	1	0	3:2	1	4
3	Mixto	2	0	2	0	2:2	0	2
4	Operario VG	2	0	1	1	2:3	-1	1
5	Uniao Rondonopolis	2	0	1	1	2:3	-1	1
6	Ceilandia	2	0	1	1	0:1	-1	1

Group 5

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Imperatriz	2	1	1	0	3:1	2	4
2	Trem	2	0	2	0	4:4	0	2
3	Aguia De Maraba	2	0	2	0	3:3	0	2
4	Tuna Luso	2	0	2	0	3:3	0	2
5	Tocantinopolis	1	0	1	0	2:2	0	1
6	Oratorio	1	0	0	1	1:3	-2	0

Group 6

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Maracana	2	1	1	0	4:2	2	4
2	Iguatu	2	1	1	0	2:0	2	4
3	IAPE	2	0	2	0	2:2	0	2
4	Sampaio Correa	2	0	2	0	0:0	0	2
5	Moto Club	2	0	1	1	1:3	-2	1
6	Parnahyba	2	0	1	1	1:3	-2	1

Group 7

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Fluminense-PI	2	1	1	0	4:1	3	4
2	Ferroviario	2	1	1	0	4:3	1	4
3	Piaui	2	1	1	0	3:2	1	4
4	Atletico-CE	2	0	2	0	1:1	0	2
5	AE Altos	2	0	1	1	0:3	-3	1
6	Tirol	2	0	0	2	3:5	-2	0

Group 8

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	America RN	2	2	0	0	3:0	3	6
2	Maguary	2	1	0	1	3:1	2	3
3	ABC	2	1	0	1	4:3	1	3
4	Sousa	2	1	0	1	1:2	-1	3
5	Central SC	2	0	1	1	1:2	-1	1
6	Laguna RN	2	0	1	1	1:5	-4	1

Group 9

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Lagarto	2	1	1	0	6:5	1	4
2	Sergipe	2	1	1	0	3:2	1	4
3	Treze PB	2	1	0	1	7:5	2	3
4	Serra Branca	2	0	2	0	3:3	0	2
5	Decisao	2	0	1	1	2:3	-1	1
6	Retro	2	0	1	1	2:5	-3	1

Group 10

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	CSA	2	2	0	0	6:1	5	6
2	Juazeirense	2	2	0	0	5:2	3	6
3	ASA	2	1	1	0	2:1	1	4
4	Jacuipense	2	0	1	1	1:3	-2	1
5	CSE	2	0	0	2	2:5	-3	0
6	Alagoinhas	2	0	0	2	1:5	-4	0

Group 11

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Ivinhema	2	2	0	0	3:1	2	6
2	Betim	2	1	1	0	2:1	1	4
3	Uberlandia	2	1	0	1	2:2	0	3
4	Operario MS	2	0	2	0	1:1	0	2
5	CRAC	2	0	1	1	0:1	-1	1
6	Ouvidorense	2	0	0	2	0:2	-2	0

Group 12

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Tombense	2	2	0	0	4:0	4	6
2	Democrata GV	2	1	1	0	2:1	1	4
3	Vitoria ES	2	1	0	1	3:2	1	3
4	Porto-BA	2	1	0	1	3:5	-2	3
5	Rio Branco ES	2	0	1	1	3:4	-1	1
6	Real Noroeste	2	0	0	2	1:4	-3	0

Group 13

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Portuguesa RJ	2	1	1	0	5:1	4	4
2	Portuguesa	2	1	1	0	4:1	3	4
3	Agua Santa	2	1	0	1	5:3	2	3
4	Madureira	2	1	0	1	3:3	0	3
5	Pouso Alegre	2	1	0	1	2:3	-1	3
6	America RJ	2	0	0	2	0:8	-8	0

Group 14

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Marica	2	2	0	0	3:1	2	6
2	Piracicaba	2	1	1	0	6:3	3	4
3	Velo Clube	2	1	0	1	3:2	1	3
4	Sampaio Correa FE	2	1	0	1	1:2	-1	3
5	Noroeste	2	0	1	1	2:3	-1	1
6	Nova Iguacu	2	0	0	2	1:5	-4	0

Group 15

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Joinville	2	1	1	0	2:0	2	4
2	Cascavel	2	1	1	0	1:0	1	4
3	Cianorte	2	1	0	1	3:2	1	3
4	Santa Catarina	2	1	0	1	1:1	0	3
5	Guarany de Bage	2	0	1	1	1:3	-2	1
6	Sao Luiz	2	0	1	1	0:2	-2	1

Group 16

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Blumenau	2	2	0	0	6:2	4	6
2	Sao Joseense	2	1	1	0	1:0	1	4
3	Brasil de Pelotas	2	1	0	1	4:4	0	3
4	Marcilio Dias	2	0	2	0	0:0	0	2
5	Azuriz	2	0	1	1	1:2	-1	1
6	EC Sao Jose	2	0	0	2	0:4	-4	0

Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32~finals)