Result
3:2
18/03/2026 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga FUTVE - Apertura - Round 8
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.58 | 0.66 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 42% | 58% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (205/283) | 81% (308/379) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.58 | 0.66 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.70 | 1.43 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 29 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (205/283) | 81% (308/379) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 39% (23/59) | 55% (27/49) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 50% (33/66) | 69% (95/138) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (4/14) | 10% (3/29) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.15 | 0.60 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 16 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 53% (8/15) | 69% (9/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 58 | 38 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 36 | 13 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.43 | 2.70 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.57 | -0.30 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 8', 1 - 0, Ramirez Holguin W. S. (Penalty Awarded),
- 14', Ivey R. 🟨,
- 23', 1 - 1, Perez J. ⚽,
- 29', Magallan C. ↓, Azocar J. ↑,
- 30', Castillo E. 🟨,
- 36', Montilla Maldonado J. A. 🟨,
- 40', Bilbao J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Montilla Maldonado J. A. ↓, Rivera B. ↑,
- 53', Montero A. ↓, Lobo J. ↑,
- 54', 2 - 1, Quejada K. ⚽, Acosta H. (A),
- 60', Lopez F. ↓, Oliveros F. ↑,
- 60', Caicedo L. ↓, Gutierez J. ↑,
- 69', 2 - 2, Fuentes J. ⚽,
- 69', Perez J. ↓, Guaramato M. ↑,
- 70', Bilbao J. ↓, Meza D. ↑,
- 81', 3 - 2, Quejada K. ⚽, Ivey R. (A),
- 82', Orozco Y. ↓, Diaz F. ↑,
- 82', Castillo E. ↓, Bahachille A. ↑,
- 90', Rivera B. 🟨,
- 90+2', Bahachille A. 🟨,
- 90+2', 🟨,
- 90+2', Gutierez J. 🟨,
- 90+2', Ramirez Holguin W. S. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Estudiantes de Mérida
27.8% | Draw
28.9% | Carabobo
43.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Estudiantes de Mérida has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)Carabobo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estudiantes de Mérida than the current prediction. (+0.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carabobo than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
Estudiantes de Mérida - Carabobo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.33 ↑
(3.13) |
3.2 ↑
(3.14) |
2.14 ↓
(2.21) |
8.1%
(9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Estudiantes de Mérida - Carabobo?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Carabobo will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 9 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga FUTVE (Apertura ~ Quadrangular: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Estudiantes Mérida won 0.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Carabobo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Carabobo might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Estudiantes Mérida won 4 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 16:22. (average 0.8:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Estudiantes Mérida won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:11. (average 1:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Estudiantes de Mérida won against Carabobo?
Estudiantes de Mérida has won 0 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Carabobo won against Estudiantes de Mérida?
Carabobo has won 6 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Estudiantes de Mérida - Carabobo were as follows:
05.07.2025
Carabobo
-
Estudiantes de Mérida
2:1
25.01.2025
Estudiantes de Mérida
-
Carabobo
0:2
17.11.2024
Estudiantes de Mérida
-
Carabobo
0:3
27.10.2024
Carabobo
-
Estudiantes de Mérida
2:0
22.09.2024
Estudiantes de Mérida
-
Carabobo
0:0
Latest results of Estudiantes de Mérida
Latest results of Carabobo
Venezuelan Primera Division Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Universidad Central | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 18:10 | 8 | 19 |
| 2 | La Guaira | 9 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 10:3 | 7 | 19 |
| 3 | Metropolitanos | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 14:9 | 5 | 18 |
| 4 | Dep. Tachira | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 10:6 | 4 | 17 |
| 5 | Puerto Cabello | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 11:7 | 4 | 13 |
| 6 | Portuguesa | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 13:10 | 3 | 13 |
| 7 | Carabobo | 9 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 11:6 | 5 | 12 |
| 8 | Estudiantes Merida | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 14:13 | 1 | 11 |
| 9 | Zamora | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 10:11 | -1 | 11 |
| 10 | Rayo Zuliano | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9:16 | -7 | 11 |
| 11 | Caracas | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 10:12 | -2 | 8 |
| 12 | Monagas | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 7:16 | -9 | 7 |
| 13 | Anzoategui FC | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 6:14 | -8 | 5 |
| 14 | Trujillanos | 9 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 7:17 | -10 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Liga FUTVE (Apertura ~ Quadrangular: )
