Result
2:1
05/07/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga FUTVE - Clausura - Round 1
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.11 | 0.23 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 26 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (318/387) | 79% (265/334) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.11 | 0.23 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.10 | 0.23 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 26 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 18 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 8 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (318/387) | 79% (265/334) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 58% (31/53) | 36% (21/58) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (80/118) | 63% (55/88) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 28% (12/43) | 20% (2/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.30 | 0.28 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 23 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 83% (19/23) | 100% (9/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 52 | 32 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 16 | 41 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.23 | 1.10 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.77 | -0.90 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 20', Pernia M. ↓, Ramos Rodriguez C. I. ↑,
- 38', Marquez J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 50', 0 - 1, Fernandez M. ⚽, Marquez J. (A),
- 57', Pena A. ↓, Guzman S. ↑,
- 57', Browne O. ↓, Alderete E. ↑,
- 62', 1 - 1, Berrios J. ⚽, Nunez M. (A),
- 63', Londono F. 🟨,
- 63', Nunez M. ↓, Robert Hernandez ↑,
- 69', Alderete E. 🟨,
- 77', Bonilla P. ↓, Guaramato M. ↑,
- 77', Tortolero E. ↓, Riasco J. ↑,
- 78', 2 - 1, Londono F. ⚽,
- 81', Marquez J. ↓, Paez G. ↑,
- 82', Riasco J. 🟨,
- 85', Fernandez M. ↓, Rivera J. ↑,
- 90+4', Doldan J. 🟨,
- 90+5', Moreno J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Carabobo
50.5% | Draw
28.5% | Estudiantes de Mérida
21% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Carabobo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)Estudiantes de Mérida has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carabobo than the current prediction. (-4.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estudiantes de Mérida than the current prediction. (+4.7%)
Carabobo - Estudiantes de Mérida Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.81 ↓
(2.02) |
3.21 ↓
(3.25) |
4.35 ↑
(3.54) |
9.5%
(8.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Carabobo - Estudiantes de Mérida?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Carabobo (votes: 2 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Carabobo will win
(7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Carabobo won 4.
- Recent form of Carabobo has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Est de Mérida is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Est de Mérida may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Carabobo is the team to beat.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Carabobo won 8 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 22:16. (average 1.1:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Carabobo won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:5. (average 1.2:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Carabobo won against Estudiantes de Mérida?
Carabobo has won 5 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Estudiantes de Mérida won against Carabobo?
Estudiantes de Mérida has won 0 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Carabobo - Estudiantes de Mérida were as follows:
25.01.2025
Estudiantes de Mérida
-
Carabobo
0:2
17.11.2024
Estudiantes de Mérida
-
Carabobo
0:3
27.10.2024
Carabobo
-
Estudiantes de Mérida
2:0
22.09.2024
Estudiantes de Mérida
-
Carabobo
0:0
23.03.2024
Carabobo
-
Estudiantes de Mérida
1:0
Latest results of Carabobo
Latest results of Estudiantes de Mérida
Venezuelan Primera Division Table
Clausura - QuadrangularGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Puerto Cabello | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8:2 | 6 | 9 |
| 2 | Zamora | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 4 |
| 3 | La Guaira | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 4 |
| 4 | Monagas | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:5 | -4 | 0 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Caracas | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
| 2 | Carabobo | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 4 |
| 3 | Dep. Tachira | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 1 |
| 4 | Metropolitanos | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Liga FUTVE (Clausura ~ Final: )
