Result
4:2
12/04/2026 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga FUTVE - Apertura - Round 11
- Referee: Valenzuela J. (Ven)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.54 | 0.78 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 63% | 37% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (426/491) | 77% (221/287) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.54 | 0.78 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.70 | 1.57 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (426/491) | 77% (221/287) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 61% (44/72) | 34% (18/53) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 75% (103/138) | 52% (31/60) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (5/24) | 22% (2/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.82 | 0.54 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 21 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 88% (7/8) | 85% (11/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 27 | 27 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 13 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.57 | 2.70 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.43 | -1.30 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 2)
- 9', 1 - 0, Orozco Y. ⚽, Perez J. (A),
- 26', 1 - 1, Granko A. ⚽, Ruiz M. (A),
- 29', 2 - 1, Meza D. ⚽, Orozco Y. (A),
- 39', 2 - 2, Rodriguez V. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 51', Guaramato M. 🟥,
- 58', Ruiz M. 🟥,
- 61', 3 - 2, Ramirez E. (Penalty Awarded),
- 63', Granko A. ↓, Davis R. ↑,
- 63', Cermeno C. ↓, Mendoza K. ↑,
- 69', Ortiz C. ↓, Hernandez Y. ↑,
- 72', Tortolero E. ↓, Berios J. ↑,
- 72', Meza D. ↓, Obando J. ↑,
- 73', Orozco Y. ↓, Castillo E. ↑,
- 77', Cumana Y. 🟨,
- 77', Ramirez E. ↓, Martinez L. ↑,
- 79', De Sousa D. ↓, Sarli R. ↑,
- 79', Murillo Y. ↓, Berroteran Y. ↑,
- 80', Ramirez R. 🟨,
- 81', Obando J. 🟨,
- 84', 4 - 2, Martinez L. ⚽, Castillo E. (A),
- 86', Lopez F. ↓, Cova M. ↑,
- 88', Rodriguez V. 🟨,
- 89', Obando J. 🟨,
- 90+4', Berroteran Y. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Carabobo
56% | Draw
25.5% | Universidad Central
18.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Carabobo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Carabobo's performance.Universidad Central has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Universidad Central might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carabobo than the current prediction. (-11.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Carabobo that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universidad Central than the current prediction. (+7.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Universidad Central could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Carabobo - Universidad Central Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.65 ↓
(2.09) |
3.61 ↑
(3.22) |
5.01 ↑
(3.55) |
8.4%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Carabobo - Universidad Central?
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Universidad Central will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Carabobo (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- First leg result: 1-1. Aggregate: 1-3. 2nd leg.
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 9 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga FUTVE (Apertura ~ Quadrangular: )).
- Universidad Central is Qualified for Liga FUTVE (Apertura ~ Quadrangular )
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Carabobo won 1.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Carabobo will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Carabobo won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:11. (average 1.1:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Carabobo won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:6. (average 1.7:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Carabobo won against Universidad Central?
Carabobo has won 3 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Universidad Central won against Carabobo?
Universidad Central has won 4 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Carabobo - Universidad Central were as follows:
06.12.2025
Carabobo
-
Universidad Central
0:2
30.11.2025
Universidad Central
-
Carabobo
1:1
08.10.2025
Carabobo
-
Universidad Central
0:1
01.10.2025
Universidad Central
-
Carabobo
0:0
23.08.2025
Carabobo
-
Universidad Central
4:1
Latest results of Carabobo
Latest results of Universidad Central
Venezuelan Primera Division Table
Apertura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | La Guaira | 13 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 15:6 | 9 | 27 |
| 2 | Metropolitanos | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 17:10 | 7 | 25 |
| 3 | Dep. Tachira | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 17:12 | 5 | 24 |
| 4 | Universidad Central | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 24:20 | 4 | 23 |
| 5 | Portuguesa | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 20:12 | 8 | 20 |
| 6 | Estudiantes Merida | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 21:18 | 3 | 20 |
| 7 | Carabobo | 13 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 23:14 | 9 | 19 |
| 8 | Puerto Cabello | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 16:14 | 2 | 17 |
| 9 | Zamora | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 14:14 | 0 | 17 |
| 10 | Caracas | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 15:17 | -2 | 15 |
| 11 | Rayo Zuliano | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 13:23 | -10 | 14 |
| 12 | Monagas | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 14:22 | -8 | 11 |
| 13 | Anzoategui FC | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 15:25 | -10 | 9 |
| 14 | Trujillanos | 13 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 9:26 | -17 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Liga FUTVE (Apertura ~ Quadrangular: )
