Result
1:0
09/04/2026 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa Sudamericana - Group Stage - Round 1
- Referee: Heras H. (Uru)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, TOD |
 Australia | beIN Connect |
 Bolivia | ESPN 2 |
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports XTRA Espanol |
 Colombia | ESPN 2 |
 Ecuador | ESPN 2 |
 Italy | Como TV |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 New-zealand | beIN Connect |
 Paraguay | ESPN 2 |
 Peru | Disney+, ESPN 2 |
 South-america | DGO Latin America, ViX Latin America |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, Fanatiz, Fubo Latino, Tubi TV |
 Venezuela | Disney+, DSports 1, ESPN 2, Inter |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.41 | 0.72 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 34% | 66% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 65% (158/242) | 82% (379/463) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.41 | 0.72 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.48 | 0.28 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 11 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 11 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 11 | 23 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 65% (158/242) | 82% (379/463) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 35% (23/65) | 68% (38/56) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 57% (30/53) | 73% (154/210) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (2/8) | 33% (10/30) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.26 | 1.19 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 15 | 33 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 44% (7/16) | 64% (7/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 42 | 49 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 41 | 12 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.28 | 1.48 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.28 | 0.48 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 9', 1 - 0, Neira E. ⚽, Cova M. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Eduardo Santos ↓, Gustavo Marques ↑,
- 58', Bilbao J. 🟨,
- 62', Tortolero E. ↓, Castillo E. ↑,
- 64', Jhuan ↓, Pitta I. ↑,
- 64', Marcelinho ↓, Mosquera H. ↑,
- 64', Fabinho ↓, Rodriguinho ↑,
- 78', Caue Nascimento ↓, Lucas Barbosa ↑,
- 79', Gonzalez A. ↓, Guaramato M. ↑,
- 79', Berios J. ↓, Martinez L. ↑,
- 85', Ramirez E. ↓, Bahachille A. ↑,
- 88', Bruera L. 🟨,
- 90+1', Lucas Barbosa 🟨,
Chances of winning
Carabobo
25.4% | Draw
30.7% | Red Bull Bragantino
43.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Carabobo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)Red Bull Bragantino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carabobo than the current prediction. (+5.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Carabobo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Red Bull Bragantino than the current prediction. (-7.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Red Bull Bragantino, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Carabobo - Red Bull Bragantino Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.67 ↑
(3.44) |
3.04 ↑
(2.96) |
2.13 ↓
(2.33) |
7%
(5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Carabobo - Red Bull Bragantino?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Carabobo will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). RB Bragantino will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 15.4% – 84.6%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Carabobo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- RB Bragantino will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
How many head-to-head matches has Carabobo won against Red Bull Bragantino?
Carabobo has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Red Bull Bragantino won against Carabobo?
Red Bull Bragantino has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Carabobo - Red Bull Bragantino were as follows:
Latest results of Carabobo
Latest results of Red Bull Bragantino
Copa Sudamericana Table
Group StageGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Macara | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Tigre | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
| 3 | America De Cali | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 4 |
| 4 | Alianza Atl | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 1 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cienciano | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Juventud | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6:3 | 3 | 4 |
| 3 | Puerto Cabello | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:7 | -5 | 3 |
| 4 | Atletico-MG | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:4 | -1 | 3 |
Group C | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sao Paulo | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | O'Higgins | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | 2 | 6 |
| 3 | Millonarios | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 4 |
| 4 | Boston River | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0:4 | -4 | 0 |
Group D | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | San Lorenzo | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 5 |
| 2 | Dep. Cuenca | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 4 |
| 3 | Recoleta | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Santos | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 2 |
Group E | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Botafogo RJ | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:3 | 4 | 7 |
| 2 | Caracas | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 5 |
| 3 | Racing Club | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | Independiente | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:7 | -6 | 0 |
Group F | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Montevideo City | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | Gremio | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | Dep. Riestra | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Palestino | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 2 |
Group G | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Vasco | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:2 | 2 | 4 |
| 2 | A. Italiano | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 4 |
| 3 | Olimpia Asuncion | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 4 |
| 4 | Barracas Central | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 3 |
Group H | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | River Plate | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 7 |
| 2 | Carabobo | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3:1 | 2 | 6 |
| 3 | Bragantino | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:4 | -1 | 3 |
| 4 | Blooming | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:6 | -3 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)
