Academia Anzoátegui vs Caracas – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
18/07/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga FUTVE - Clausura - Round 3

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.521.18
Ball Possession
46%54%
Total shots
1710
Shots on target
24
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
74
Passes
80% (289/360)86% (373/433)
Yellow Cards
24
Expected Goals (xG)
0.521.18
xG on target (xGOT)
0.241.03
Total shots
1710
Shots on target
24
Shots off target
115
Blocked Shots
41
Shots inside the Box
65
Shots outside the Box
115
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
74
Touches in opposition box
2013
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
2111
Passes
80% (289/360)86% (373/433)
Long passes
55% (31/56)40% (21/52)
Passes in final third
67% (78/116)68% (50/74)
Crosses
19% (3/16)33% (4/12)
Expected assists (xA)
0.520.27
Throw-ins
209
Fouls
1121
Tackles
54% (13/24)68% (13/19)
Duels won
6657
Clearances
734
Interceptions
819
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
32
xGOT faced
1.030.24
Goals prevented
0.030.24

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 12', Blanco T. 🟨,
  • 14', Rodriguez V. 🟨,
  • 38', 0 - 1, Covea M. (Pen),
  • 40', Gonzalez L. 🟥,
  • 41', Hernandez J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Hernandez J. , Figueroa A. ,
  • 46', Blanco T. , Velasco A. ,
  • 46', Urpin C. , Lovera J. ,
  • 59', Rodriguez B. , Quintero J. ,
  • 59', Rodriguez V. , Gudino I. ,
  • 66', Guevara D. 🟨,
  • 67', Contreras A. , Castellano J. ,
  • 67', Covea M. 🟨,
  • 68', Covea M. , Aguilar D. ,
  • 72', Guevara D. , Vera A. ,
  • 77', Gonzalez F. , Perez L. ,
  • 84', Heraldez L. , Jimenez N. ,
  • 87', Rito E. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Academia Anzoátegui
22.7%
Draw
29.4%
Caracas
47.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
32.2% 31% 36.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.9% 30.8% 37.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Academia Anzoátegui has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Academia Anzoátegui's form might have worsened.
  • Caracas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Caracas's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Academia Anzoátegui than the current prediction. (+9.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Academia Anzoátegui, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caracas than the current prediction. (-10.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Caracas, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Academia Anzoátegui - Caracas Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.02
    (2.85)
    3.11
    (2.96)
    1.91
    (2.49)
    9.5%
    (9.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Academia Anzoátegui - Caracas?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Caracas (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Caracas will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 44.94%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Recent form of Anzoátegui has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Caracas is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Caracas may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Caracas is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Anzoátegui won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Academia Anzoátegui - Caracas were as follows:
    09.02.2025 Caracas - Academia Anzoátegui 1:0
    Latest results of Caracas
    13.07.2025 Metropolitanos - Caracas 2:3
    06.07.2025 Caracas - Rayo Zuliano 2:1
    02.07.2025 Dynamo Puerto - Caracas 2:2
    25.06.2025 Caracas - Aragua 4:0
    Venezuelan Primera Division Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Universidad Central961218:10819
    2La Guaira954010:3719
    3Metropolitanos953114:9518
    4Dep. Tachira952210:6417
    5Puerto Cabello934211:7413
    6Portuguesa934213:10313
    7Carabobo926111:6512
    8Estudiantes Merida932414:13111
    9Zamora932410:11-111
    10Rayo Zuliano93249:16-711
    11Caracas915310:12-28
    12Monagas92167:16-97
    13Anzoategui FC91266:14-85
    14Trujillanos90457:17-104

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