Result
0:1
18/07/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga FUTVE - Clausura - Round 3
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.52 | 1.18 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (289/360) | 86% (373/433) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.52 | 1.18 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.24 | 1.03 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 21 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (289/360) | 86% (373/433) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 55% (31/56) | 40% (21/52) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (78/116) | 68% (50/74) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 19% (3/16) | 33% (4/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.52 | 0.27 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 9 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 21 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 54% (13/24) | 68% (13/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 66 | 57 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 7 | 34 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 19 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.03 | 0.24 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.03 | 0.24 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 12', Blanco T. 🟨,
- 14', Rodriguez V. 🟨,
- 38', 0 - 1, Covea M. (Pen),
- 40', Gonzalez L. 🟥,
- 41', Hernandez J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Hernandez J. ↓, Figueroa A. ↑,
- 46', Blanco T. ↓, Velasco A. ↑,
- 46', Urpin C. ↓, Lovera J. ↑,
- 59', Rodriguez B. ↓, Quintero J. ↑,
- 59', Rodriguez V. ↓, Gudino I. ↑,
- 66', Guevara D. 🟨,
- 67', Contreras A. ↓, Castellano J. ↑,
- 67', Covea M. 🟨,
- 68', Covea M. ↓, Aguilar D. ↑,
- 72', Guevara D. ↓, Vera A. ↑,
- 77', Gonzalez F. ↓, Perez L. ↑,
- 84', Heraldez L. ↓, Jimenez N. ↑,
- 87', Rito E. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Academia Anzoátegui
22.7% | Draw
29.4% | Caracas
47.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Academia Anzoátegui has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Academia Anzoátegui's form might have worsened.Caracas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Caracas's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Academia Anzoátegui than the current prediction. (+9.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Academia Anzoátegui, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caracas than the current prediction. (-10.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Caracas, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Academia Anzoátegui - Caracas Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.02 ↑
(2.85) |
3.11 ↑
(2.96) |
1.91 ↓
(2.49) |
9.5%
(9.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Academia Anzoátegui - Caracas?
Users Predictions:
Caracas will win
(4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 44.94% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- Recent form of Anzoátegui has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Caracas is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Caracas may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Caracas is a strong favorite.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Anzoátegui won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Academia Anzoátegui won against Caracas?
Academia Anzoátegui has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Caracas won against Academia Anzoátegui?
Caracas has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Academia Anzoátegui - Caracas were as follows:
09.02.2025
Caracas
-
Academia Anzoátegui
1:0
Latest results of Academia Anzoátegui
Latest results of Caracas
Venezuelan Primera Division Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | La Guaira | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 18:5 | 13 | 18 |
| 2 | Dep. Tachira | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 10:7 | 3 | 14 |
| 3 | Carabobo | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 7:4 | 3 | 14 |
| 4 | Caracas | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 9:8 | 1 | 13 |
| 5 | Universidad Central | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9:6 | 3 | 11 |
| 6 | Monagas | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 11 |
| 7 | Puerto Cabello | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 9:7 | 2 | 10 |
| 8 | Estudiantes Merida | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 6:6 | 0 | 10 |
| 9 | Zamora | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 5:7 | -2 | 10 |
| 10 | Rayo Zuliano | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 7:10 | -3 | 10 |
| 11 | Anzoategui FC | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 4:9 | -5 | 6 |
| 12 | Metropolitanos | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8:12 | -4 | 5 |
| 13 | Yaracuyanos | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4:10 | -6 | 1 |
| 14 | Portuguesa | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3:9 | -6 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Liga FUTVE (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )
