Result
0:1
18/07/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga FUTVE - Clausura - Round 3
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.52 | 1.18 |
Ball Possession |
---|
46% | 54% |
Total shots |
---|
17 | 10 |
Shots on target |
---|
2 | 4 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
7 | 4 |
Passes |
---|
80% (289/360) | 86% (373/433) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
2 | 4 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.52 | 1.18 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.24 | 1.03 |
Total shots |
---|
17 | 10 |
Shots on target |
---|
2 | 4 |
Shots off target |
---|
11 | 5 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
4 | 1 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
6 | 5 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
11 | 5 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
7 | 4 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
20 | 13 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
1 | 0 |
Free Kicks |
---|
21 | 11 |
Passes |
---|
80% (289/360) | 86% (373/433) |
Long passes |
---|
55% (31/56) | 40% (21/52) |
Passes in final third |
---|
67% (78/116) | 68% (50/74) |
Crosses |
---|
19% (3/16) | 33% (4/12) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.52 | 0.27 |
Throw-ins |
---|
20 | 9 |
Fouls |
---|
11 | 21 |
Tackles |
---|
54% (13/24) | 68% (13/19) |
Duels won |
---|
66 | 57 |
Clearances |
---|
7 | 34 |
Interceptions |
---|
8 | 19 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
3 | 2 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.03 | 0.24 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.03 | 0.24 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 12', Blanco T. 🟨,
- 14', Rodriguez V. 🟨,
- 38', 0 - 1, Covea M. (Pen),
- 40', Gonzalez L. 🟥,
- 41', Hernandez J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Hernandez J. ↓, Figueroa A. ↑,
- 46', Blanco T. ↓, Velasco A. ↑,
- 46', Urpin C. ↓, Lovera J. ↑,
- 59', Rodriguez B. ↓, Quintero J. ↑,
- 59', Rodriguez V. ↓, Gudino I. ↑,
- 66', Guevara D. 🟨,
- 67', Contreras A. ↓, Castellano J. ↑,
- 67', Covea M. 🟨,
- 68', Covea M. ↓, Aguilar D. ↑,
- 72', Guevara D. ↓, Vera A. ↑,
- 77', Gonzalez F. ↓, Perez L. ↑,
- 84', Heraldez L. ↓, Jimenez N. ↑,
- 87', Rito E. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Academia Anzoátegui 22.7% | Draw 29.4% | Caracas 47.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Academia Anzoátegui has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Academia Anzoátegui's form might have worsened.Caracas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Caracas's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Academia Anzoátegui than the current prediction. (+9.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Academia Anzoátegui, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caracas than the current prediction. (-10.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Caracas, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Academia Anzoátegui - Caracas Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
4.02 ↑ (2.85) |
3.11 ↑ (2.96) |
1.91 ↓ (2.49) |
9.5% (9.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Academia Anzoátegui - Caracas?
Users Predictions:
Caracas will win
(4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 44.94% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- Recent form of Anzoátegui has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Caracas is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Caracas may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Caracas is a strong favorite.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Anzoátegui won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Academia Anzoátegui won against Caracas?
Academia Anzoátegui has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Caracas won against Academia Anzoátegui?
Caracas has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Academia Anzoátegui - Caracas were as follows:
09.02.2025
Caracas
-
Academia Anzoátegui
1:0
Latest results of Academia Anzoátegui
Latest results of Caracas
Venezuelan Primera Division Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | La Guaira | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11:1 | 10 | 12 |
2 | Dep. Tachira | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7:3 | 4 | 10 |
3 | Carabobo | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6:2 | 4 | 10 |
4 | Caracas | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6:6 | 0 | 9 |
5 | Puerto Cabello | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6:4 | 2 | 7 |
6 | Zamora | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | 7 |
7 | Monagas | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3:4 | -1 | 6 |
8 | Universidad Central | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:4 | 0 | 4 |
9 | Metropolitanos | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7:8 | -1 | 4 |
10 | Estudiantes Merida | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3:4 | -1 | 4 |
11 | Portuguesa | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2:3 | -1 | 4 |
12 | Anzoategui FC | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2:6 | -4 | 3 |
13 | Rayo Zuliano | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3:8 | -5 | 3 |
14 | Yaracuyanos | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3:8 | -5 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Liga FUTVE (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )