Result
2:1
25/04/2026 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga FUTVE - Apertura - Round 13
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.17 | 1.32 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (410/462) | 86% (354/410) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.17 | 1.32 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.50 | 1.17 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 31 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 18 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (410/462) | 86% (354/410) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 63% (26/41) | 49% (24/49) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 77% (116/151) | 74% (46/62) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (6/18) | 16% (3/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.19 | 1.05 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 20 | 4 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 18 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 56% (9/16) | 60% (9/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 50 | 50 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 11 | 15 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 15 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.17 | 2.50 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.17 | 0.50 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 3', Robert Hernandez 🟨,
- 24', 0 - 1, Velez J. ⚽,
- 38', Gomez J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 58', Vegas C. ↓, Martinez Aponte C. A. ↑,
- 66', Pena L. ↓, Paz L. ↑,
- 66', Robert Hernandez ↓, Figueroa A. ↑,
- 66', Pagano L. ↓, Fereira Penaranda E. E. ↑,
- 68', Arias J. ↓, Martinez J. ↑,
- 69', Larotonda C. 🟨,
- 70', La Mantia F. 🟨,
- 71', 1 - 1, Covea M. ⚽, Fernandez A. (A),
- 79', Ochoa J. ↓, Barrios J. ↑,
- 80', Vasquez Ferrer D. A. ↓, Moran J. ↑,
- 80', Gomez J. ↓, Martinez G. ↑,
- 80', Fernandez A. ↓, Rondon J. ↑,
- 80', Covea M. ↓, Palma R. ↑,
- 82', Yendis J. 🟨,
- 88', 2 - 1, Yendis J. ⚽, Palma R. (A),
- 90+5', Rondon J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Caracas 55.2% | Draw 25.9% | Rayo Zuliano 18.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Caracas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)Rayo Zuliano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caracas than the current prediction. (+2.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rayo Zuliano than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
Caracas - Rayo Zuliano Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.67 (1.67) |
3.55 ↓ (3.7) |
4.87 ↓ (4.96) |
8.8% (7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 11 and 10)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Caracas won 2.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Caracas may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Caracas is a strong favorite.
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Caracas won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:8. (average 1.4:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Caracas won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 1.5:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Caracas won against Rayo Zuliano?
Caracas has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Rayo Zuliano won against Caracas?
Rayo Zuliano has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Caracas - Rayo Zuliano were as follows:
06.07.2025
Caracas
-
Rayo Zuliano
2:1
26.01.2025
Rayo Zuliano
-
Caracas
1:1
16.11.2024
Rayo Zuliano
-
Caracas
0:3
26.10.2024
Caracas
-
Rayo Zuliano
0:1
21.07.2024
Caracas
-
Rayo Zuliano
1:2
Latest results of Caracas
Latest results of Rayo Zuliano
Venezuelan Primera Division Table
Apertura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | La Guaira | 13 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 15:6 | 9 | 27 |
| 2 | Metropolitanos | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 17:10 | 7 | 25 |
| 3 | Dep. Tachira | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 17:12 | 5 | 24 |
| 4 | Universidad Central | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 24:20 | 4 | 23 |
| 5 | Portuguesa | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 20:12 | 8 | 20 |
| 6 | Estudiantes Merida | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 21:18 | 3 | 20 |
| 7 | Carabobo | 13 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 23:14 | 9 | 19 |
| 8 | Puerto Cabello | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 16:14 | 2 | 17 |
| 9 | Zamora | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 14:14 | 0 | 17 |
| 10 | Caracas | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 15:17 | -2 | 15 |
| 11 | Rayo Zuliano | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 13:23 | -10 | 14 |
| 12 | Monagas | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 14:22 | -8 | 11 |
| 13 | Anzoategui FC | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 15:25 | -10 | 9 |
| 14 | Trujillanos | 13 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 9:26 | -17 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Liga FUTVE (Apertura ~ Quadrangular: )