Result
1:3
12/04/2026 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga FUTVE - Apertura - Round 11
- Referee: Uzcategui J. (Ven)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.04 | 2.11 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (301/372) | 73% (203/278) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.04 | 2.11 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.81 | 3.15 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 24 | 22 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 19 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (301/372) | 73% (203/278) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 59% (35/59) | 49% (34/69) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (73/110) | 68% (73/107) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 54% (15/28) | 14% (2/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.96 | 1.06 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 22 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 19 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (6/8) | 53% (8/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 52 | 54 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 21 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 3.15 | 0.81 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.15 | -0.19 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 6', Marin G. (Penalty Awarded),
- 12', Marin G. 🟨,
- 18', 0 - 1, Rojas P. ⚽,
- 24', Maestre Nino L. A. 🟨,
- 32', Marquez M. 🟨,
- 41', Valencia D. 🟨,
- 45+3', 0 - 2, Marin G. ⚽,
- 45+4', Granados J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Robert Hernandez ↓, Correa W. ↑,
- 46', Marquez M. ↓, Vegas C. ↑,
- 46', Quintero J. ↓, Lezama R. ↑,
- 61', Marin G. ↓, Contreras A. ↑,
- 61', Valencia D. ↓, Moreno A. ↑,
- 64', Yendis J. ↓, Gonzalez S. ↑,
- 69', Sinza F. ↓, Tegues D. ↑,
- 75', Guevara D. 🟨,
- 77', Fereira Penaranda E. E. ↓, Martinez Aponte C. A. ↑,
- 78', Guevara D. ↓, Plazas H. ↑,
- 78', Velasco A. ↓, Alvarez P. ↑,
- 87', 0 - 3, Tegues D. ⚽, Silgado J. (A),
- 90+1', 1 - 3, Fernandez A. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Caracas 49.9% | Draw 26.5% | Academia Anzoátegui 23.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Caracas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)Academia Anzoátegui has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caracas than the current prediction. (-1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Academia Anzoátegui than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
Caracas - Academia Anzoátegui Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.84 ↓ (1.92) |
3.48 ↑ (3.33) |
3.9 ↑ (3.77) |
8.6% (8.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Caracas - Academia Anzoátegui?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 2.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Caracas will win
(6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 11 and 13).
- Caracas is showing really good form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Anzoátegui is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Caracas may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Caracas is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Caracas won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0. (average 1:0).
- Including home match between the teams, Caracas won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Caracas won against Academia Anzoátegui?
Caracas has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Academia Anzoátegui won against Caracas?
Academia Anzoátegui has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Caracas - Academia Anzoátegui were as follows:
18.07.2025
Academia Anzoátegui
-
Caracas
0:1
09.02.2025
Caracas
-
Academia Anzoátegui
1:0
Latest results of Caracas
Latest results of Academia Anzoátegui
Venezuelan Primera Division Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | La Guaira ✔ | 11 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 14:6 | 8 | 23 |
| 2 | Universidad Central ✔ | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 23:16 | 7 | 22 |
| 3 | Dep. Tachira | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 14:10 | 4 | 20 |
| 4 | Metropolitanos | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 14:10 | 4 | 19 |
| 5 | Estudiantes Merida | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 18:14 | 4 | 17 |
| 6 | Carabobo | 11 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 16:9 | 7 | 16 |
| 7 | Portuguesa | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 17:12 | 5 | 16 |
| 8 | Zamora | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 12:12 | 0 | 15 |
| 9 | Rayo Zuliano | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 12:20 | -8 | 14 |
| 10 | Puerto Cabello | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 12:12 | 0 | 13 |
| 11 | Caracas | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 12:15 | -3 | 11 |
| 12 | Monagas | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 11:18 | -7 | 10 |
| 13 | Anzoategui FC | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 11:18 | -7 | 8 |
| 14 | Trujillanos | 11 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 8:22 | -14 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Liga FUTVE (Apertura ~ Quadrangular: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
La Guaira is Qualified for Liga FUTVE (Apertura ~ Quadrangular )
Universidad Central is Qualified for Liga FUTVE (Apertura ~ Quadrangular )