Result
0:1
05/04/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga FUTVE - Apertura - Round 10
- Referee: Valenzuela J. (Ven)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.40 | 0.66 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 63% | 37% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (410/484) | 78% (222/285) |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.40 | 0.66 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.18 | 1.22 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 17 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 22 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (410/484) | 78% (222/285) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 59% (39/66) | 50% (27/54) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (85/123) | 69% (49/71) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 23% (3/13) | 23% (3/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.46 | 0.97 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 22 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 69% (9/13) | 76% (16/21) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 52 | 48 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 8 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.22 | 0.18 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.22 | 0.18 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 39', Herrera A. ↓, Mollica P. ↑,
- 45+2', Congo J. 🟨,
- 45+3', Rodriguez B. 🟨,
- 45+4', Aristeguieta F. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 51', 0 - 1, Guaramato M. ⚽, Robert Hernandez (A),
- 58', Rodriguez N. ↓, Osio D. ↑,
- 59', Ramos Rodriguez C. I. ↓, Ruiz F. ↑,
- 59', Berrios J. ↓, Riasco J. ↑,
- 59', Correa W. ↓, Figueroa A. ↑,
- 59', Vegas M. ↓, Tegues D. ↑,
- 59', Martinez Aponte C. A. ↓, Echenique E. ↑,
- 67', Pernia M. ↓, Nunez M. ↑,
- 82', Reinoso L. ↓, Covea M. ↑,
- 90', Robert Hernandez ↓, Mendoza S. ↑,
- 90+1', Guaramato M. 🟨,
- 90+3', Mendoza S. 🟨,
- 90+4', Nunez M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Caracas
20.9% | Draw
32.4% | Carabobo
46.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Caracas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Caracas's form might have worsened.Carabobo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Carabobo's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caracas than the current prediction. (+16.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Caracas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carabobo than the current prediction. (-13%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Carabobo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Caracas - Carabobo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.46 ↑
(2.47) |
2.87 ↓
(3.23) |
1.99 ↓
(2.7) |
7.4%
(8.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Caracas - Carabobo?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Carabobo will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 66.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga FUTVE (Apertura ~ Quadrangular: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga FUTVE (Apertura ~ Quadrangular: )).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Caracas won 0.
- Instantly two teams are in a excellent shape.
- Recently Caracas have a series of guest games.
- In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Caracas won 5 matches, drawn 9 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 16:18 (average 0.8:0.9).
- Including matches at home between the teams Caracas won 2 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 8:11 (average 0.8:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Caracas won against Carabobo?
Caracas has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Carabobo won against Caracas?
Carabobo has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Caracas - Carabobo were as follows:
19.10.2024
Caracas
-
Carabobo
0:0
19.04.2024
Carabobo
-
Caracas
1:0
25.01.2024
Caracas
-
Carabobo
0:0
08.10.2023
Carabobo
-
Caracas
1:1
03.02.2023
Caracas
-
Carabobo
0:0
Latest results of Caracas
Latest results of Carabobo
Venezuelan Primera Division Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | La Guaira | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 18:5 | 13 | 18 |
| 2 | Dep. Tachira | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 10:7 | 3 | 14 |
| 3 | Carabobo | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 7:4 | 3 | 14 |
| 4 | Caracas | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 9:8 | 1 | 13 |
| 5 | Universidad Central | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9:6 | 3 | 11 |
| 6 | Monagas | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 11 |
| 7 | Puerto Cabello | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 9:7 | 2 | 10 |
| 8 | Estudiantes Merida | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 6:6 | 0 | 10 |
| 9 | Zamora | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 5:7 | -2 | 10 |
| 10 | Rayo Zuliano | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 7:10 | -3 | 10 |
| 11 | Anzoategui FC | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 4:9 | -5 | 6 |
| 12 | Metropolitanos | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8:12 | -4 | 5 |
| 13 | Yaracuyanos | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4:10 | -6 | 1 |
| 14 | Portuguesa | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3:9 | -6 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Liga FUTVE (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )
