Result
1:0
14/09/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga FUTVE - Clausura - Round 10
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.70 | 0.46 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (276/349) | 84% (325/388) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.70 | 0.46 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.36 | 0.00 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 29 | 11 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (276/349) | 84% (325/388) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 48% (31/65) | 58% (35/60) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (73/111) | 65% (49/75) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (4/19) | 29% (4/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.74 | 0.44 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 22 | 12 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 62% (8/13) | 67% (14/21) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 43 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 12 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 15 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 8 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.00 | 3.36 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.00 | 2.36 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 21', Guaramato M. 🟨,
- 23', Hernandez J. 🟨,
- 32', Perez J. ↓, Pernia M. ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Tortolero E. ↓, Berrios J. ↑,
- 58', Alegria J. ↓, Londono F. ↑,
- 58', Del Valle Y. ↓, Robert Hernandez ↑,
- 58', Marquez M. ↓, Figueroa A. ↑,
- 58', Reinoso L. ↓, De Santis J. ↑,
- 64', Robert Hernandez 🟨,
- 71', 1 - 0, Orozco Y. ⚽, Nunez M. (A),
- 75', Vegas M. ↓, Vegas C. ↑,
- 75', Rito E. ↓, Rivillo D. ↑,
- 82', Orozco Y. ↓, Bahachille A. ↑,
- 82', Covea M. ↓, Tegues D. ↑,
- 90+1', Berrios J. 🟨,
- 90+2', Jimenez N. 🟥,
- 90+5', Mago L. 🟨,
- 90+7', Quintero J. 🟨,
- 90+7', 🟨,
- 90+7', Bahachille A. 🟨,
- 90+8', De Santis J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Carabobo
53.9% | Draw
27.2% | Caracas
18.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Carabobo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)Caracas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carabobo than the current prediction. (-1.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caracas than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
Carabobo - Caracas Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.71 ↓
(1.84) |
3.39 ↓
(3.4) |
4.89 ↑
(4.2) |
8.2%
(7.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Carabobo - Caracas?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Carabobo will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Caracas will win (votes: 1 - 25%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Carabobo (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga FUTVE (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga FUTVE (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Carabobo won 2.
- Carabobo is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Caracas has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Caracas may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Carabobo is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Carabobo won 7 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 17:13. (average 0.9:0.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Carabobo won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:8. (average 0.7:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Carabobo won against Caracas?
Carabobo has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Caracas won against Carabobo?
Caracas has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Carabobo - Caracas were as follows:
05.04.2025
Caracas
-
Carabobo
0:1
19.10.2024
Caracas
-
Carabobo
0:0
19.04.2024
Carabobo
-
Caracas
1:0
25.01.2024
Caracas
-
Carabobo
0:0
08.10.2023
Carabobo
-
Caracas
1:1
Latest results of Carabobo
Latest results of Caracas
Venezuelan Primera Division Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | La Guaira ✔ | 13 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 29:8 | 21 | 31 |
| 2 | Dep. Tachira ✔ | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 23:12 | 11 | 27 |
| 3 | Carabobo ✔ | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 14:8 | 6 | 25 |
| 4 | Monagas ✔ | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 17:13 | 4 | 21 |
| 5 | Caracas ✔ | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 16:12 | 4 | 21 |
| 6 | Zamora ✔ | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 11:15 | -4 | 19 |
| 7 | Estudiantes Merida | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 11:14 | -3 | 16 |
| 8 | Puerto Cabello | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 11:10 | 1 | 15 |
| 9 | Metropolitanos | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 20:19 | 1 | 14 |
| 10 | Universidad Central | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 14:17 | -3 | 14 |
| 11 | Rayo Zuliano | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 10:18 | -8 | 13 |
| 12 | Anzoategui FC | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 8:16 | -8 | 10 |
| 13 | Portuguesa | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 10:20 | -10 | 7 |
| 14 | Yaracuyanos | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 9:21 | -12 | 7 |
Promotion ~ Liga FUTVE (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
La Guaira is Qualified for Liga FUTVE (Clausura ~ Quadrangular )
Dep. Tachira is Qualified for Liga FUTVE (Clausura ~ Quadrangular )
Carabobo is Qualified for Liga FUTVE (Clausura ~ Quadrangular )
Monagas is Qualified for Liga FUTVE (Clausura ~ Quadrangular )
Caracas is Qualified for Liga FUTVE (Clausura ~ Quadrangular )
Zamora is Qualified for Liga FUTVE (Clausura ~ Quadrangular )
