Cardiff City vs Mansfield Town – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:0
29/11/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • League One - Round 18
  • Referee: Atkinson B. (Eng)

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.941.29
Ball Possession
56%44%
Total shots
197
Shots on target
91
Big Chances
71
Corner Kicks
64
Passes
84% (464/552)80% (347/436)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
2.941.29
xG on target (xGOT)
4.430.03
Total shots
197
Shots on target
91
Shots off target
73
Blocked Shots
33
Shots inside the Box
155
Shots outside the Box
42
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
20
Big Chances
71
Corner Kicks
64
Touches in opposition box
3311
Accurate through passes
30
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
124
Passes
84% (464/552)80% (347/436)
Long passes
41% (24/59)37% (27/73)
Passes in final third
72% (129/178)63% (62/98)
Crosses
28% (5/18)18% (3/17)
Expected assists (xA)
2.990.69
Throw-ins
1819
Fouls
412
Tackles
91% (10/11)75% (12/16)
Duels won
4534
Clearances
2722
Interceptions
310
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
16
xGOT faced
0.034.43
Goals prevented
0.031.43

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 13', Knoyle K. , Bowery J. ,
  • 34', 1 - 0, Fish W. , Bagan J. (A),
  • 40', McLaughlin S. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', McLaughlin S. , Cargill B. ,
  • 61', Davies I. , Colwill J. ,
  • 62', Ng P. , Kpakio R. ,
  • 62', Robinson C. , Willock C. ,
  • 62', Robinson C. 🟨,
  • 67', Hewitt E. , Akins L. ,
  • 70', 2 - 0, Salech Y. , Kpakio R. (A),
  • 75', Reed L. , Dwyer D. ,
  • 75', Evans W. , McAdam K. ,
  • 80', Turnbull D. , Robertson A. ,
  • 87', 3 - 0, Ashford C. ,
  • 90', Salech Y. , Kellyman O. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Cardiff City
54.5%
Draw
24%
Mansfield Town
21.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51% 23.1% 25.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6% 22.4% 25.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cardiff City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)
  • Mansfield Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cardiff City than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mansfield Town than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
  • Cardiff City - Mansfield Town Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.75
    (1.83)
    3.99
    (4.04)
    4.34
    (3.61)
    5.2%
    (7.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Cardiff City - Mansfield Town?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Cardiff (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Cardiff City will win (15 of 15 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship and 13).
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Recently, Cardiff has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Cardiff is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Cardiff: Alnwick J. (Hamstring Injury) King E. (Knee Injury) Tanner O. (Ankle Injury)
    • There will not play in Mansfield: Bolton L. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Mansfield: Hendry R. (Inactive) Roberts T. (Inactive)
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Cardiff won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).
    • Including home match between the teams, Cardiff won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
    Latest results of Cardiff City
    Latest results of Mansfield Town
    English League One Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cardiff34226668:363272
    2Lincoln34218563:313271
    3Bolton351613650:341661
    4Bradford City341771043:38558
    5Stockport County341681047:43456
    6Huddersfield351571355:46952
    7Reading341312950:44651
    8Stevenage331491037:35251
    9Wycombe3413111049:361350
    10Luton341381343:41247
    11Peterborough351441750:49146
    12Plymouth341441649:50-146
    13Barnsley311281153:53044
    14AFC Wimbledon331271441:48-743
    15Exeter331181438:39-141
    16Mansfield3210101239:37240
    17Burton341091538:49-1139
    18Doncaster331161636:55-1939
    19Wigan339101435:46-1137
    20Blackpool341071740:54-1437
    21Leyton Orient331061744:56-1236
    22Northampton35981831:47-1635
    23Rotherham33971733:47-1434
    24Port Vale32691726:44-1827

          Promotion ~ Championship
          Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ League Two