Cardiff City vs Mansfield Town – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:0
29/11/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • League One - Round 18
  • Referee: Atkinson B. (Eng)

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.941.29
Ball Possession
56%44%
Total shots
197
Shots on target
91
Big Chances
71
Corner Kicks
64
Passes
84% (464/552)80% (347/436)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
2.941.29
xG on target (xGOT)
4.430.03
Total shots
197
Shots on target
91
Shots off target
73
Blocked Shots
33
Shots inside the Box
155
Shots outside the Box
42
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
20
Big Chances
71
Corner Kicks
64
Touches in opposition box
3311
Accurate through passes
30
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
124
Passes
84% (464/552)80% (347/436)
Long passes
41% (24/59)37% (27/73)
Passes in final third
72% (129/178)63% (62/98)
Crosses
28% (5/18)18% (3/17)
Expected assists (xA)
2.990.69
Throw-ins
1819
Fouls
412
Tackles
91% (10/11)75% (12/16)
Duels won
4534
Clearances
2722
Interceptions
310
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
16
xGOT faced
0.034.43
Goals prevented
0.031.43

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 13', Knoyle K. , Bowery J. ,
  • 34', 1 - 0, Fish W. , Bagan J. (A),
  • 40', McLaughlin S. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', McLaughlin S. , Cargill B. ,
  • 61', Davies I. , Colwill J. ,
  • 62', Ng P. , Kpakio R. ,
  • 62', Robinson C. , Willock C. ,
  • 62', Robinson C. 🟨,
  • 67', Hewitt E. , Akins L. ,
  • 70', 2 - 0, Salech Y. , Kpakio R. (A),
  • 75', Reed L. , Dwyer D. ,
  • 75', Evans W. , McAdam K. ,
  • 80', Turnbull D. , Robertson A. ,
  • 87', 3 - 0, Ashford C. ,
  • 90', Salech Y. , Kellyman O. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Cardiff City
54.5%
Draw
24%
Mansfield Town
21.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51% 23.1% 25.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6% 22.4% 25.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cardiff City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)
  • Mansfield Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cardiff City than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mansfield Town than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
  • Cardiff City - Mansfield Town Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.75
    (1.83)
    3.99
    (4.04)
    4.34
    (3.61)
    5.2%
    (7.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Cardiff City - Mansfield Town?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Cardiff City will win (15 of 15 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Cardiff City will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship and 13).
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Recently, Cardiff has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Cardiff is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Cardiff: Alnwick J. (Hamstring Injury) King E. (Knee Injury) Tanner O. (Ankle Injury)
    • There will not play in Mansfield: Bolton L. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Mansfield: Hendry R. (Inactive) Roberts T. (Inactive)
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Cardiff won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).
    • Including home match between the teams, Cardiff won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
    Latest results of Cardiff City
    Latest results of Mansfield Town
    English League One Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lincoln39259574:344084
    2Cardiff39238873:413277
    3Bolton391715755:391666
    4Bradford City391981249:44565
    5Stockport County371791151:48360
    6Stevenage381791241:38360
    7Plymouth391851660:54659
    8Reading3915131157:51658
    9Huddersfield391691459:51857
    10Wycombe3915111355:431256
    11Luton3915101452:49355
    12Peterborough381551857:52550
    13Barnsley3713111359:60-150
    14AFC Wimbledon381481649:55-650
    15Mansfield3712131247:41649
    16Leyton Orient381461855:62-748
    17Doncaster381381741:59-1847
    18Burton3912101744:54-1046
    19Wigan3811121541:51-1045
    20Exeter391191942:52-1042
    21Blackpool391191946:63-1742
    22Rotherham38992035:58-2336
    23Northampton39982233:56-2335
    24Port Vale367101929:49-2031

          Promotion ~ Championship
          Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ League Two