Plymouth Argyle vs Mansfield Town – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
27/01/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • League One - Round 29
  • Referee: Finnie W. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.750.36
Ball possession
54%46%
Total shots
1710
Shots on target
73
Big chances
11
Corner kicks
62
Passes
69% (235/341)66% (195/294)
Yellow cards
22
Expected goals (xG)
1.750.36
xG on target (xGOT)
1.930.88
Total shots
1710
Shots on target
73
Shots off target
63
Blocked shots
44
Shots inside the box
97
Shots outside the box
83
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
11
Corner kicks
62
Touches in opposition box
1813
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
11
Free kicks
1413
Passes
69% (235/341)66% (195/294)
Long passes
22% (13/60)38% (31/81)
Passes in final third
52% (65/125)51% (41/80)
Crosses
38% (8/21)22% (2/9)
Expected assists (xA)
1.000.24
Throw ins
3529
Fouls
1314
Tackles
57% (13/23)35% (6/17)
Duels won
6361
Clearances
1839
Interceptions
710
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper saves
26
xGOT faced
0.881.93
Goals prevented
-0.120.93

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 16', Edwards J. 🟨,
  • 20', 1 - 0, Pepple A. , Wiredu B. (A),
  • 41', 1 - 1, Sweeney R. , Hendry R. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Bolton L. , Hewitt E. ,
  • 46', Lewis A. , Russell J. ,
  • 51', Akins L. , Adeboyejo V. ,
  • 59', Sorinola M. 🟨,
  • 62', Sorinola M. , Amaechi X. ,
  • 73', Watts C. , Oseni O. ,
  • 74', Hendry R. , Moriah-Welsh N. ,
  • 81', Oates R. , Knoyle K. ,
  • 86', Oshilaja A. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Blake-Tracy F. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Plymouth Argyle
49.3%
Draw
25.5%
Mansfield Town
25.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.9% 27.9% 31.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42% 28.6% 30.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Plymouth Argyle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Plymouth Argyle's performance.
  • Mansfield Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mansfield Town might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Plymouth Argyle than the current prediction. (-7.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Plymouth Argyle that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mansfield Town than the current prediction. (+5.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mansfield Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Plymouth Argyle - Mansfield Town Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.91
    (2.25)
    3.67
    (3.29)
    3.7
    (2.95)
    6.6%
    (8.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Plymouth Argyle - Mansfield Town?
  • Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Plymouth will win (votes: 10 - 66.7%). Mansfield will win (votes: 1 - 6.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 26.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Plymouth: 42.8%90.6%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH -0.25 - Mansfield (1.97) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 50%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 3 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • DNB - Mansfield (2.33) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 2 - 66.7%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • DC - Plymouth (1.25) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Plymouth Argyle will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Plymouth (votes: 5 - 50%). Mansfield (votes: 5 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 14 and 11).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Plymouth won 4.
    • Both teams have triumphed in their latest matches.
    • Mansfield may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Plymouth is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Plymouth: Ibrahim B. (Inactive) MacKenzie J. (Shin Injury) Pleguezuelo J. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Mansfield: Bowery J. (Inactive) Knoyle K. (Inactive) Maris G. (Inactive) Reed L. (Red Card) Roberts T. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Plymouth: Dale O. (Inactive) Oseni O. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Mansfield: Gardner J. (Inactive)
    • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Plymouth won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:7. (average 1.4:0.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Plymouth won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:3. (average 2.2:0.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Plymouth Argyle - Mansfield Town were as follows:
    28.10.2025 Mansfield Town - Plymouth Argyle 2:0
    Latest results of Plymouth Argyle
    Latest results of Mansfield Town
    English League One Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lincoln ✔ 463110589:4148103
    2Cardiff ✔ 462710990:504091
    3Stockport County4622111371:581377
    4Bradford City4622111358:51777
    5Bolton ✔ 461918970:521875
    6Stevenage4621121349:46375
    7Luton4621111468:561274
    8Plymouth462271775:631273
    9Huddersfield4618131574:641067
    10Mansfield4616171362:501265
    11Wycombe4617121769:581163
    12Reading4616151564:60463
    13Blackpool461792054:65-1160
    14Doncaster461792050:69-1960
    15Barnsley4615141768:73-559
    16Wigan4614141849:58-956
    17Burton4613151850:60-1054
    18Peterborough461582364:68-453
    19AFC Wimbledon461582351:72-2153
    20Leyton Orient4614102259:71-1252
    21Exeter4612132152:61-949
    22Port Vale ✔ 4610122436:61-2542
    23Rotherham ✔ 4610112541:71-3041
    24Northampton ✔ 46982939:74-3535

          Promotion ~ Championship
          Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ League Two

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Lincoln is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Championship
    Cardiff is Qualified for Championship
    Bolton is Qualified for League One (Play Offs )
    Port Vale is Relegated to League Two
    Rotherham is Relegated to League Two
    Northampton is Relegated to League Two