Result
5:4
02/05/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League One - Round 46
- Referee: Breakspear C. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.18 | 1.72 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 30% | 70% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (167/231) | 90% (489/545) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.18 | 1.72 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.31 | 2.22 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 8 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 39 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (167/231) | 90% (489/545) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 45% (27/60) | 57% (28/49) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 59% (58/99) | 80% (164/204) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (5/15) | 23% (7/31) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.97 | 1.17 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 9 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 61% (14/23) | 58% (7/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 41 | 39 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 33 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 14 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.22 | 3.31 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.78 | -1.69 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 0)
- 2', 1 - 0, Sweeney R. ⚽, Moriah-Welsh N. (A),
- 23', 2 - 0, Akins L. ⚽, Reed L. (A),
- 26', 3 - 0, Akins L. ⚽, Evans W. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 4)
- 57', Colwill J. ↓, Kellyman O. ↑,
- 57', Turnbull D. ↓, Robertson A. ↑,
- 57', Willock C. ↓, Davies I. ↑,
- 61', 3 - 1, Davies I. ⚽, Tanner O. (A),
- 63', 4 - 1, Oates R. ⚽, Reed L. (A),
- 65', Kellyman O. 🟨,
- 66', 4 - 2, Kellyman O. ⚽, Colwill R. (A),
- 70', Bagan J. ↓, Williams N. ↑,
- 72', Bowery J. ↓, McLaughlin S. ↑,
- 76', Oates R. ↓, Gardner J. ↑,
- 76', Moriah-Welsh N. ↓, Irow O. ↑,
- 79', 5 - 2, Irow O. ⚽, Reed L. (A),
- 82', Hendry R. 🟨,
- 84', Reed L. ↓, Taylor O. ↑,
- 84', Hendry R. ↓, Hartmann E. ↑,
- 86', 5 - 3, Kpakio R. ⚽,
- 88', Colwill R. ↓, Moreno P. ↑,
- 90+2', Irow O. 🟨,
- 90+3', 5 - 4, Kellyman O. ⚽, Davies I. (A),
Chances of winning
Mansfield Town
29.1% | Draw
23.4% | Cardiff City
47.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mansfield Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mansfield Town's performance.Cardiff City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mansfield Town than the current prediction. (-5.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mansfield Town that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cardiff City than the current prediction. (+6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cardiff City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Mansfield Town - Cardiff City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.24 ↓
(3.88) |
4 ↑
(3.86) |
1.97 ↑
(1.76) |
6.7%
(8.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for Mansfield Town - Cardiff City?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Mansfield will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Cardiff will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 11 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship).
- Cardiff is Qualified for Championship
- Mansfield is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Cardiff is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Cardiff may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Mansfield has had a series of away games.
- Cardiff might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Mansfield: Abbott G.
(Inactive)
Cargill B.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There will not play in Cardiff: Ashford C.
(Inactive)
Chambers C.
(Inactive)
King E.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Mansfield: Blake-Tracy F.
(Inactive)
Bolton L.
(Calf Injury)
Maris G.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Oshilaja A.
(Inactive)
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Mansfield won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:7. (average 0.3:2.3).
- Including home match between the teams, Mansfield won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:4.
How many head-to-head matches has Mansfield Town won against Cardiff City?
Mansfield Town has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cardiff City won against Mansfield Town?
Cardiff City has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mansfield Town - Cardiff City were as follows:
29.11.2025
Cardiff City
-
Mansfield Town
3:0
Latest results of Mansfield Town
Latest results of Cardiff City
English League One Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lincoln ✔ | 46 | 31 | 10 | 5 | 89:41 | 48 | 103 |
| 2 | Cardiff ✔ | 46 | 27 | 10 | 9 | 90:50 | 40 | 91 |
| 3 | Stockport County | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 71:58 | 13 | 77 |
| 4 | Bradford City | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 58:51 | 7 | 77 |
| 5 | Bolton ✔ | 46 | 19 | 18 | 9 | 70:52 | 18 | 75 |
| 6 | Stevenage | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 49:46 | 3 | 75 |
| 7 | Luton | 46 | 21 | 11 | 14 | 68:56 | 12 | 74 |
| 8 | Plymouth | 46 | 22 | 7 | 17 | 75:63 | 12 | 73 |
| 9 | Huddersfield | 46 | 18 | 13 | 15 | 74:64 | 10 | 67 |
| 10 | Mansfield | 46 | 16 | 17 | 13 | 62:50 | 12 | 65 |
| 11 | Wycombe | 46 | 17 | 12 | 17 | 69:58 | 11 | 63 |
| 12 | Reading | 46 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 64:60 | 4 | 63 |
| 13 | Blackpool | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 54:65 | -11 | 60 |
| 14 | Doncaster | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 50:69 | -19 | 60 |
| 15 | Barnsley | 46 | 15 | 14 | 17 | 68:73 | -5 | 59 |
| 16 | Wigan | 46 | 14 | 14 | 18 | 49:58 | -9 | 56 |
| 17 | Burton | 46 | 13 | 15 | 18 | 50:60 | -10 | 54 |
| 18 | Peterborough | 46 | 15 | 8 | 23 | 64:68 | -4 | 53 |
| 19 | AFC Wimbledon | 46 | 15 | 8 | 23 | 51:72 | -21 | 53 |
| 20 | Leyton Orient | 46 | 14 | 10 | 22 | 59:71 | -12 | 52 |
| 21 | Exeter | 46 | 12 | 13 | 21 | 52:61 | -9 | 49 |
| 22 | Port Vale ✔ | 46 | 10 | 12 | 24 | 36:61 | -25 | 42 |
| 23 | Rotherham ✔ | 46 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 41:71 | -30 | 41 |
| 24 | Northampton ✔ | 46 | 9 | 8 | 29 | 39:74 | -35 | 35 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two
Clinched Spots for Teams
Lincoln is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Championship
Cardiff is Qualified for Championship
Bolton is Qualified for League One (Play Offs )
Port Vale is Relegated to League Two
Rotherham is Relegated to League Two
Northampton is Relegated to League Two
