Cardiff City vs Mansfield Town – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:0
29/11/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • League One - Round 18
  • Referee: Atkinson B. (Eng)

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.941.29
Ball Possession
56%44%
Total shots
197
Shots on target
91
Big Chances
71
Corner Kicks
64
Passes
84% (464/552)80% (347/436)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
2.941.29
xG on target (xGOT)
4.430.03
Total shots
197
Shots on target
91
Shots off target
73
Blocked Shots
33
Shots inside the Box
155
Shots outside the Box
42
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
20
Big Chances
71
Corner Kicks
64
Touches in opposition box
3311
Accurate through passes
30
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
124
Passes
84% (464/552)80% (347/436)
Long passes
41% (24/59)37% (27/73)
Passes in final third
72% (129/178)63% (62/98)
Crosses
28% (5/18)18% (3/17)
Expected assists (xA)
2.990.69
Throw-ins
1819
Fouls
412
Tackles
91% (10/11)75% (12/16)
Duels won
4534
Clearances
2722
Interceptions
310
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
16
xGOT faced
0.034.43
Goals prevented
0.031.43

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 13', Knoyle K. , Bowery J. ,
  • 34', 1 - 0, Fish W. , Bagan J. (A),
  • 40', McLaughlin S. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', McLaughlin S. , Cargill B. ,
  • 61', Davies I. , Colwill J. ,
  • 62', Ng P. , Kpakio R. ,
  • 62', Robinson C. , Willock C. ,
  • 62', Robinson C. 🟨,
  • 67', Hewitt E. , Akins L. ,
  • 70', 2 - 0, Salech Y. , Kpakio R. (A),
  • 75', Reed L. , Dwyer D. ,
  • 75', Evans W. , McAdam K. ,
  • 80', Turnbull D. , Robertson A. ,
  • 87', 3 - 0, Ashford C. ,
  • 90', Salech Y. , Kellyman O. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Cardiff City
54.5%
Draw
24%
Mansfield Town
21.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51% 23.1% 25.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6% 22.4% 25.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cardiff City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)
  • Mansfield Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cardiff City than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mansfield Town than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
  • Cardiff City - Mansfield Town Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.75
    (1.83)
    3.99
    (4.04)
    4.34
    (3.61)
    5.2%
    (7.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Cardiff City - Mansfield Town?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • O/U 2.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Cardiff City will win (15 of 15 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Cardiff City will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship and 13).
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Recently, Cardiff has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Cardiff is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Cardiff: Alnwick J. (Hamstring Injury) King E. (Knee Injury) Tanner O. (Ankle Injury)
    • There will not play in Mansfield: Bolton L. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Mansfield: Hendry R. (Inactive) Roberts T. (Inactive)
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Cardiff won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).
    • Including home match between the teams, Cardiff won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
    Latest results of Cardiff City
    Latest results of Mansfield Town
    English League One Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lincoln ✔ 42289579:364393
    2Cardiff41249876:423481
    3Bradford City422181352:46671
    4Bolton421816859:441570
    5Stockport County4019101159:50967
    6Stevenage4119101243:38567
    7Plymouth421961766:58863
    8Huddersfield4217111465:56962
    9Reading4316141362:55762
    10Luton4117101457:50761
    11Wycombe4316121563:511260
    12Barnsley4014121463:65-254
    13Mansfield4013141350:43753
    14Doncaster421581943:64-2153
    15Wigan4213131646:56-1052
    16Peterborough411562060:58251
    17Burton4313121846:56-1051
    18Blackpool431492051:65-1451
    19Leyton Orient421482057:66-950
    20AFC Wimbledon421482049:63-1450
    21Exeter4312112047:55-847
    22Rotherham419102236:62-2637
    23Northampton41982434:60-2635
    24Port Vale398102130:54-2434

          Promotion ~ Championship
          Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ League Two

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Lincoln is Qualified for Championship