Result
1:3
18/04/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League One - Round 44
- Referee: Corlett M. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Usa | Paramount+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.88 | 1.24 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 37% | 63% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 67% (174/258) | 83% (368/441) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.88 | 1.24 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.87 | 2.12 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 24 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 67% (174/258) | 83% (368/441) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 33% (25/75) | 46% (27/59) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 45% (39/86) | 70% (86/122) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 13% (2/16) | 17% (4/24) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.61 | 0.86 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 27 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 6 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 92% (11/12) | 53% (9/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 42 | 41 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 32 | 38 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.12 | 0.87 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.88 | -0.13 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 40', 0 - 1, Colwill R. ⚽, Wintle R. (A),
- 41', Osho G. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 55', 0 - 2, Kellyman O. ⚽, Wintle R. (A),
- 63', Kyerewaa D. 🟨,
- 63', Wintle R. 🟨,
- 64', O'Connor P. 🟨,
- 67', Robertson A. ↓, Turnbull D. ↑,
- 69', Burns F. 🟨,
- 72', Lawlor D. 🟨,
- 73', 1 - 2, Kyerewaa D. ⚽,
- 74', Lane P. ↓, Marriott J. ↑,
- 82', Lawlor D. ↓, Fish W. ↑,
- 82', Colwill R. ↓, Colwill J. ↑,
- 82', Willock C. ↓, Salech Y. ↑,
- 86', 1 - 3, Ng P. ⚽, Kellyman O. (A),
- 88', Rinomhota A. ↓, Fraser L. ↑,
- 88', Roberts H. ↓, Ritchie M. ↑,
- 88', Nyambe R. ↓, Abrefa K. ↑,
- 90', Tanner O. ↓, Robinson C. ↑,
- 90+10', Fish W. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Reading
17.6% | Draw
22.6% | Cardiff City
59.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Reading has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Reading's form might have worsened.Cardiff City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Cardiff City's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Reading than the current prediction. (+8.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Reading, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cardiff City than the current prediction. (-10.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cardiff City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Reading - Cardiff City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
5.33 ↑
(3.39) |
4.15 ↑
(3.55) |
1.57 ↓
(1.94) |
6.4%
(9.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Reading - Cardiff City?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Reading will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Cardiff will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Reading: 4% – 71%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -0.5 - Reading (5.03) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Reading (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 10 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Reading won 1.
- Reading is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Cardiff has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Cardiff may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Cardiff is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Reading: Elliott B.
(Thigh Injury)
O'Mahony M.
(Knee Injury)
Ward B.
(Leg Injury)
Williams R.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Cardiff: Davies I.
(Hamstring Injury)
King E.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Reading: Doyle K.
(Inactive)
Marriott J.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Cardiff: Chambers C.
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Reading won 8 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 27:23. (average 1.4:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Reading won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:10. (average 1.6:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Reading won against Cardiff City?
Reading has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cardiff City won against Reading?
Cardiff City has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Reading - Cardiff City were as follows:
18.10.2025
Cardiff City
-
Reading
2:1
31.07.2024
Cardiff City
-
Reading
2:1
17.02.2023
Cardiff City
-
Reading
1:0
Latest results of Reading
Latest results of Cardiff City
English League One Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lincoln ✔ | 46 | 31 | 10 | 5 | 89:41 | 48 | 103 |
| 2 | Cardiff ✔ | 46 | 27 | 10 | 9 | 90:50 | 40 | 91 |
| 3 | Stockport County | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 71:58 | 13 | 77 |
| 4 | Bradford City | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 58:51 | 7 | 77 |
| 5 | Bolton ✔ | 46 | 19 | 18 | 9 | 70:52 | 18 | 75 |
| 6 | Stevenage | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 49:46 | 3 | 75 |
| 7 | Luton | 46 | 21 | 11 | 14 | 68:56 | 12 | 74 |
| 8 | Plymouth | 46 | 22 | 7 | 17 | 75:63 | 12 | 73 |
| 9 | Huddersfield | 46 | 18 | 13 | 15 | 74:64 | 10 | 67 |
| 10 | Mansfield | 46 | 16 | 17 | 13 | 62:50 | 12 | 65 |
| 11 | Wycombe | 46 | 17 | 12 | 17 | 69:58 | 11 | 63 |
| 12 | Reading | 46 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 64:60 | 4 | 63 |
| 13 | Blackpool | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 54:65 | -11 | 60 |
| 14 | Doncaster | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 50:69 | -19 | 60 |
| 15 | Barnsley | 46 | 15 | 14 | 17 | 68:73 | -5 | 59 |
| 16 | Wigan | 46 | 14 | 14 | 18 | 49:58 | -9 | 56 |
| 17 | Burton | 46 | 13 | 15 | 18 | 50:60 | -10 | 54 |
| 18 | Peterborough | 46 | 15 | 8 | 23 | 64:68 | -4 | 53 |
| 19 | AFC Wimbledon | 46 | 15 | 8 | 23 | 51:72 | -21 | 53 |
| 20 | Leyton Orient | 46 | 14 | 10 | 22 | 59:71 | -12 | 52 |
| 21 | Exeter | 46 | 12 | 13 | 21 | 52:61 | -9 | 49 |
| 22 | Port Vale ✔ | 46 | 10 | 12 | 24 | 36:61 | -25 | 42 |
| 23 | Rotherham ✔ | 46 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 41:71 | -30 | 41 |
| 24 | Northampton ✔ | 46 | 9 | 8 | 29 | 39:74 | -35 | 35 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two
Clinched Spots for Teams
Lincoln is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Championship
Cardiff is Qualified for Championship
Bolton is Qualified for League One (Play Offs )
Port Vale is Relegated to League Two
Rotherham is Relegated to League Two
Northampton is Relegated to League Two
