Cardiff Draconians vs Cwmbran Celtic – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Welsh Cymru South Cardiff Draconians - Cwmbran Celtic
Result
2:1
04/10/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Cymru South - Round 9

Match Stats

Red Cards
01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 14', 0 - 1, Gibson J. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 58', 1 - 1, Roberts S. ,
  • 78', 2 - 1, Roberts S. ,
  • 83', Larcombe A. 🟥,

Chances of winning


Cardiff Draconians
61.6%
Draw
21.6%
Cwmbran Celtic
16.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
68.1% 18.2% 13.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.6% 17.1% 12.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cardiff Draconians has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cardiff Draconians's form might have worsened.
  • Cwmbran Celtic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cardiff Draconians than the current prediction. (+11%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cardiff Draconians, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cwmbran Celtic than the current prediction. (-3.9%)
  • Cardiff Draconians - Cwmbran Celtic Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.59
    (1.33)
    4.54
    (4.98)
    5.84
    (6.61)
    1.9%
    (10.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 8 and 16 in the zone Relegation).
    • Cardiff Draconians is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Cwmbran Celtic's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Cwmbran Celtic may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Cardiff Draconians has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Cardiff Draconians is the undisputed favorite.
    • We predict that Cardiff Draconians will win today's game, with odds of 1.33.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
    Latest results of Cardiff Draconians
    Latest results of Cwmbran Celtic
    Welsh Cymru South Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cambrian United1181227:72025
    2Caerau Ely1072123:91423
    3Trefelin1063122:81421
    4Cardiff Draconians1162316:8820
    5Carmarthen Town1155112:6620
    6Ammanford1155112:9320
    7Newport City1154218:13519
    8Aberystwyth1052311:9217
    9Llantwit Major1134413:14-113
    10Trethomas Bluebirds1125415:21-611
    11Baglan Dragons1116414:15-19
    12Treowen1123617:28-119
    13Pontypridd1122715:23-88
    14Afan Lido1122710:20-108
    15Ynyshir Albions101368:22-146
    16Cwmbran Celtic110388:29-213

          Promotion ~ Cymru Premier
          Relegation