Result
04/03/2026 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Trefelin
65.5% | Draw
20.6% | Cardiff Draconians
13.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Trefelin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+36.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Trefelin's performance.Cardiff Draconians has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-32.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cardiff Draconians might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Trefelin than the current prediction. (-38.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Trefelin that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cardiff Draconians than the current prediction. (+35.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cardiff Draconians could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Trefelin - Cardiff Draconians Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.42 ↓
(3.24) |
4.52 ↑
(3.74) |
6.75 ↑
(2) |
7.2%
(7.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Cymru Premier and 7).
- Trefelin has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Cardiff Draconians's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Trefelin may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Trefelin is considered a favorite.
- We predict that Trefelin will win today's game, with odds of 1.64.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Trefelin won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3.
- Including home match between the teams, Trefelin won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3.
How many head-to-head matches has Trefelin won against Cardiff Draconians?
Trefelin has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cardiff Draconians won against Trefelin?
Cardiff Draconians has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Trefelin - Cardiff Draconians were as follows:
29.11.2025
Trefelin
-
Cardiff Draconians
4:3
Latest results of Trefelin
Latest results of Cardiff Draconians
Welsh Cymru South Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Trefelin | 22 | 18 | 3 | 1 | 50:10 | 40 | 57 |
| 2 | Cambrian United | 22 | 18 | 2 | 2 | 56:16 | 40 | 56 |
| 3 | Ammanford | 23 | 11 | 8 | 4 | 32:21 | 11 | 41 |
| 4 | Caerau Ely | 23 | 12 | 4 | 7 | 48:32 | 16 | 40 |
| 5 | Aberystwyth | 23 | 12 | 3 | 8 | 29:26 | 3 | 39 |
| 6 | Carmarthen Town | 24 | 8 | 11 | 5 | 29:27 | 2 | 35 |
| 7 | Newport City | 23 | 8 | 10 | 5 | 32:29 | 3 | 34 |
| 8 | Cardiff Draconians | 21 | 10 | 2 | 9 | 32:27 | 5 | 32 |
| 9 | Llantwit Major | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 27:28 | -1 | 27 |
| 10 | Treowen | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 33:37 | -4 | 26 |
| 11 | Pontypridd | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 33:34 | -1 | 25 |
| 12 | Baglan Dragons | 22 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 22:31 | -9 | 20 |
| 13 | Trethomas Bluebirds | 23 | 4 | 8 | 11 | 29:45 | -16 | 20 |
| 14 | Afan Lido | 23 | 5 | 3 | 15 | 20:43 | -23 | 18 |
| 15 | Ynyshir Albions | 23 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 17:47 | -30 | 14 |
| 16 | Cwmbran Celtic | 20 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 14:50 | -36 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Cymru Premier
Relegation
