Cardiff Draconians vs Trefelin – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:4
21/03/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Cymru South - Round 27

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 22', 0 - 1, Jones J. ,
  • 28', 0 - 2, Bowen L. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 63', 0 - 3, Bowen L. ,
  • 73', 0 - 4, Bowen L. (Penalty Awarded),

Chances of winning


Cardiff Draconians
17.4%
Draw
22.9%
Trefelin
59.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
14.1% 18.3% 67.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.6% 17.6% 70.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cardiff Draconians has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)
  • Trefelin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Trefelin might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cardiff Draconians than the current prediction. (-3.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Trefelin than the current prediction. (+10.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Trefelin could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Cardiff Draconians - Trefelin Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    5.17
    (6.58)
    3.94
    (5.06)
    1.51
    (1.37)
    11.1%
    (8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 10 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Cymru Premier).
    • Trefelin is Qualified for Cymru Premier
    • Cardiff Draconians has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Trefelin is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Trefelin may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Trefelin has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Trefelin is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Cardiff Draconians won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 2:3.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cardiff Draconians - Trefelin were as follows:
    04.03.2026 Trefelin - Cardiff Draconians 3:1
    29.11.2025 Trefelin - Cardiff Draconians 4:3
    Latest results of Cardiff Draconians
    Latest results of Trefelin
    Welsh Cymru South Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cambrian United ✔ 26213268:185066
    2Trefelin ✔ 26213261:154666
    3Caerau Ely27155760:332750
    4Ammanford26148438:241450
    5Carmarthen Town271012537:33442
    6Aberystwyth261331032:32042
    7Llantwit Major2799940:38236
    8Treowen26971046:50-434
    9Newport City27810935:39-434
    10Cardiff Draconians251021336:39-332
    11Pontypridd26851342:46-429
    12Trethomas Bluebirds27681338:55-1726
    13Baglan Dragons26581325:42-1723
    14Ynyshir Albions26561524:48-2421
    15Afan Lido26631725:52-2721
    16Cwmbran Celtic ✔ 24061818:61-436

          Promotion ~ Cymru Premier
          Relegation

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Cambrian United is Qualified for Cymru Premier
    Trefelin is Qualified for Cymru Premier
    Cwmbran Celtic is Relegated to