Cardiff Rugby vs Lions – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
33:20
27/09/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • United Rugby Championship - Round 1
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomBBC iPlayer, FloSports app, Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player, Premier Sports Rugby, S4C Digital, URC

Match Stats

Tries
00
Conversion Goals
00
Conversion Goal Attempts
00
Penalty Goals
00
Penalty Goal Attempts
00
Goals %
00
Dropped Goals
00
Total Runs
00
Metres Run With Ball
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (14 - 13)
  • 2nd Half (19 - 7)

Chances of winning


Cardiff Rugby
75.8%
Draw
3.8%
Lions
20.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
70.3% 4.4% 25.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cardiff Rugby has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cardiff Rugby's performance.
  • Lions has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)
  • Cardiff Rugby - Lions Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.23
    (1.31)
    25.99
    (21)
    4.79
    (3.63)
    6.2%
    (8.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 46.50
    • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-9)
    What is the prediction for Cardiff Rugby - Lions?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 51.5 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • AH -6.5 - Cardiff (1.63) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • AH -8.5 - Cardiff (1.80) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Cardiff (votes: 4 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 28:19.
  • Preview Facts
    • Lions's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Cardiff may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Lions has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Cardiff is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Cardiff won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 71:119. (average 17.8:29.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Cardiff won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 38:48. (average 19:24).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cardiff Rugby - Lions were as follows:
    21.03.2025 Cardiff Rugby - Lions 20:17
    11.05.2024 Lions - Cardiff Rugby 34:13
    30.09.2022 Cardiff Rugby - Lions 18:31
    Latest results of Cardiff Rugby
    16.05.2025 Stormers - Cardiff Rugby 34:24
    10.05.2025 Blue Bulls - Cardiff Rugby 45:21
    25.04.2025 Cardiff Rugby - Munster 26:21
    19.04.2025 Ospreys - Cardiff Rugby 19:36
    05.04.2025 Connacht - Cardiff Rugby 35:20
    Latest results of Lions
    20.09.2025 Lions - Griquas 25:27
    13.09.2025 Lions - Boland Cavaliers 67:19
    06.09.2025 Lions - Griquas 37:7
    30.08.2025 Lions - Blue Bulls 44:5
    23.08.2025 Cheetahs - Lions 47:31
    United Rugby Championship Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLPts
    1Glasgow Warriors12903320:17045
    2Leinster12804308:24241
    3Cardiff Rugby12804240:21040
    4Munster12804248:22539
    5Stormers11803284:18536
    6Ulster11704312:22936
    7Lions12615325:34233
    8Bulls11605304:27030
    9Ospreys12525260:27329
    10Connacht11407258:27925
    11Sharks12417256:33324
    12Edinburgh11407219:21323
    13Benetton12426216:28123
    14Dragons12237227:28620
    15Scarlets11317192:26316
    16Zebre122010197:36512

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