Cardiff Rugby vs Lions – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Rugby union United Rugby Championship Cardiff Rugby - Lions
Result
20:17
21/03/2025 at 15:35 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • WORLD: United Rugby Championship - Round 13
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaSuperSport Rugby
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay, V Sport 1
icelandIcelandViaplay
mexicoMexicoDisney+
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
nigeriaNigeriaSuperSport Rugby
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
polandPolandViaplay
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport Rugby
swedenSwedenViaplay
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomBBC iPlayer, BBC Sport, BBC Two, FloSports app, Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player, URC
uruguayUruguayDisney+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Tries
21
Conversion Goals
23
Conversion Goal Attempts
00
Penalty Goals
22
Penalty Goal Attempts
00
Goals %
00
Dropped Goals
00
Total Runs
00
Metres Run With Ball
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (10 - 7)
  • 11', Ntlabakanye A. (Try),
  • 12', Lombard G. (Conversion Goal),
  • 20', Donnell B. (Try),
  • 21', Sheedy C. (Conversion Goal),
  • 31', Sheedy C. (Penalty Goal),
  • 2nd Half (10 - 10)
  • 45', Lombard G. (Penalty Goal),
  • 49', Sheedy C. (Penalty Goal),
  • 58', Lombard G. (Conversion Goal),
  • 59', (Penalty Goal),
  • 63', Millard H. (Try),
  • 64', Sheedy C. (Conversion Goal),
  • 66', (Conversion Goal),

Chances of winning


Cardiff Rugby
51.3%
Draw
4.1%
Lions
44.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
62.1% 4.5% 33.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cardiff Rugby has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cardiff Rugby's form might have worsened.
  • Lions has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lions's recent form is better than expected.
  • Cardiff Rugby - Lions Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.79
    (1.49)
    22.5
    (20.8)
    2.08
    (2.77)
    8.4%
    (7.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 44.50
  • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-1)
  • Preview Facts
    • Recent matches Lions is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Cardiff could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
    • Last 3 head-to-head matches Cardiff won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 51:102 (average 17:34).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Cardiff won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 18:31
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cardiff Rugby - Lions were as follows:
    11.05.2024 Lions - Cardiff Rugby 34:13
    30.09.2022 Cardiff Rugby - Lions 18:31
    Latest results of Cardiff Rugby
    01.03.2025 Leinster - Cardiff Rugby 42:24
    15.02.2025 Connacht - Cardiff Rugby 24:19
    25.01.2025 Cardiff Rugby - Sharks 22:42
    17.01.2025 Cardiff Rugby - Connacht 19:28
    11.01.2025 Perpignan - Cardiff Rugby 23:20
    Latest results of Lions
    08.03.2025 Sharks - Lions 25:22
    01.03.2025 Lions - Sharks 38:14
    22.02.2025 Blue Bulls - Lions 31:19
    15.02.2025 Lions - Stormers 30:23
    25.01.2025 Lions - Blue Bulls 22:37
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Leinster (1)Scarlets (8)33 : 21
    2Glasgow Warriors (4)Stormers (5)36 : 18
    3Bulls (2)Edinburgh (7)42 : 33
    4Sharks (3)Munster (6)25 : 24

    Semi-finals
    1Leinster (1)Glasgow Warriors (4)37 : 19
    2Bulls (2)Sharks (3)25 : 13

    Final
    1Leinster (1)Bulls (2)32 : 7