Result
33:22
01/01/2026 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- United Rugby Championship - Round 9
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | SuperSport Rugby |
 Asia | Premier Sports Rugby Asia |
 Nigeria | SuperSport Rugby |
 South-africa | SuperSport Rugby |
 United-kingdom | BBC iPlayer, BBC Sport app, BBC Sport, BBC Two, FloSports app, Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player, URC |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Tries |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Conversion Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Conversion Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Penalty Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Penalty Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goals % |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Dropped Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Total Runs |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Metres Run With Ball |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (12 - 7)
- 2nd Half (21 - 15)
Chances of winning
Ospreys
60.9% | Draw
3.8% | Cardiff Rugby
35.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ospreys has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)Cardiff Rugby has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ospreys than the current prediction. (-7.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ospreys that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cardiff Rugby than the current prediction. (+5.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cardiff Rugby could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Ospreys - Cardiff Rugby Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.52 ↓
(1.61) |
24.32 ↑
(20.08) |
2.62 ↑
(2.48) |
8.1%
(7.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 45.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)
What is the prediction for Ospreys - Cardiff Rugby?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -4.5 - Ospreys (1.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Ospreys (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 25:21.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ospreys won 2.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Ospreys will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- We predict that Ospreys will win today's game, with odds of 1.55.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ospreys won 14 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 494:421. (average 24.7:21.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ospreys won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 232:205. (average 25.8:22.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Ospreys won against Cardiff Rugby?
Ospreys has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cardiff Rugby won against Ospreys?
Cardiff Rugby has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ospreys - Cardiff Rugby were as follows:
19.04.2025
Ospreys
-
Cardiff Rugby
19:36
01.01.2025
Cardiff Rugby
-
Ospreys
13:13
01.06.2024
Cardiff Rugby
-
Ospreys
22:33
01.01.2024
Ospreys
-
Cardiff Rugby
27:21
22.04.2023
Ospreys
-
Cardiff Rugby
21:38
Latest results of Ospreys
Latest results of Cardiff Rugby
United Rugby Championship Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Glasgow Warriors | 12 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 320:170 | 45 |
| 2 | Leinster | 12 | 8 | 0 | 4 | 308:242 | 41 |
| 3 | Cardiff Rugby | 12 | 8 | 0 | 4 | 240:210 | 40 |
| 4 | Munster | 12 | 8 | 0 | 4 | 248:225 | 39 |
| 5 | Stormers | 11 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 284:185 | 36 |
| 6 | Ulster | 11 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 312:229 | 36 |
| 7 | Lions | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 325:342 | 33 |
| 8 | Bulls | 11 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 304:270 | 30 |
| 9 | Ospreys | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 260:273 | 29 |
| 10 | Connacht | 11 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 258:279 | 25 |
| 11 | Sharks | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 256:333 | 24 |
| 12 | Edinburgh | 11 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 219:213 | 23 |
| 13 | Benetton | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 216:281 | 23 |
| 14 | Dragons | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 227:286 | 20 |
| 15 | Scarlets | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 192:263 | 16 |
| 16 | Zebre | 12 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 197:365 | 12 |
Promotion ~ United Rugby Championship (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
