Ospreys vs Cardiff Rugby – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

01/01/2026 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • United Rugby Championship - Round 9
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaSuperSport Rugby
asiaAsiaPremier Sports Rugby Asia
nigeriaNigeriaSuperSport Rugby
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport Rugby
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomBBC iPlayer, BBC Sport app, BBC Sport, BBC Two, FloSports app, Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player, URC

Chances of winning


Ospreys
59.6%
Draw
4.5%
Cardiff Rugby
35.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57.8% 4.6% 37.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.2% 5% 40.7%

Ospreys - Cardiff Rugby Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.55
(1.61)
20.21
(20.08)
2.56
(2.48)
8.4%
(7.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 47.50
  • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)
Preview Facts
  • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ospreys won 2.
  • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
  • Ospreys could have a small edge in this match.
  • We predict that Ospreys will win today's game, with odds of 1.54.
  • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ospreys won 14 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 494:421. (average 24.7:21.1).
  • Including home matches between the teams, Ospreys won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 232:205. (average 25.8:22.8).
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ospreys - Cardiff Rugby were as follows:
19.04.2025 Ospreys - Cardiff Rugby 19:36
01.01.2025 Cardiff Rugby - Ospreys 13:13
01.06.2024 Cardiff Rugby - Ospreys 22:33
01.01.2024 Ospreys - Cardiff Rugby 27:21
22.04.2023 Ospreys - Cardiff Rugby 21:38
Latest results of Ospreys
26.12.2025 Llanelli Scarlets - Ospreys 19:26
20.12.2025 Ospreys - Munster 10:26
13.12.2025 Montauban - Ospreys 22:33
07.12.2025 Ospreys - Connacht 24:21
29.11.2025 Edinburgh - Ospreys 19:17
Latest results of Cardiff Rugby
United Rugby Championship Table
2025/26
PlWDLPts
1Stormers7700218:8732
2Munster8602180:13930
3Cardiff Rugby8602179:14130
4Glasgow Warriors8602206:10229
5Ulster7502231:16427
6Leinster8503187:17425
7Benetton8404159:21418
8Lions7304203:21217
9Connacht7205172:16816
10Bulls7304184:21115
11Edinburgh7205143:13313
12Ospreys8215163:20413
13Sharks7214134:19212
14Zebre8206144:24011
15Dragons8125151:22511
16Scarlets7205121:1699

      Promotion ~ United Rugby Championship (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)