Result
01/01/2026 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- United Rugby Championship - Round 9
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | SuperSport Rugby |
 Asia | Premier Sports Rugby Asia |
 Nigeria | SuperSport Rugby |
 South-africa | SuperSport Rugby |
 United-kingdom | BBC iPlayer, BBC Sport app, BBC Sport, BBC Two, FloSports app, Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player, URC |
Chances of winning
Ospreys
59.6% | Draw
4.5% | Cardiff Rugby
35.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Ospreys - Cardiff Rugby Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.55 ↓
(1.61) |
20.21 ↑
(20.08) |
2.56 ↑
(2.48) |
8.4%
(7.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 47.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ospreys won 2.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Ospreys could have a small edge in this match.
- We predict that Ospreys will win today's game, with odds of 1.54.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ospreys won 14 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 494:421. (average 24.7:21.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ospreys won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 232:205. (average 25.8:22.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Ospreys won against Cardiff Rugby?
Ospreys has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cardiff Rugby won against Ospreys?
Cardiff Rugby has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ospreys - Cardiff Rugby were as follows:
19.04.2025
Ospreys
-
Cardiff Rugby
19:36
01.01.2025
Cardiff Rugby
-
Ospreys
13:13
01.06.2024
Cardiff Rugby
-
Ospreys
22:33
01.01.2024
Ospreys
-
Cardiff Rugby
27:21
22.04.2023
Ospreys
-
Cardiff Rugby
21:38
Latest results of Ospreys
Latest results of Cardiff Rugby
United Rugby Championship Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Stormers | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 218:87 | 32 |
| 2 | Munster | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 180:139 | 30 |
| 3 | Cardiff Rugby | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 179:141 | 30 |
| 4 | Glasgow Warriors | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 206:102 | 29 |
| 5 | Ulster | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 231:164 | 27 |
| 6 | Leinster | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 187:174 | 25 |
| 7 | Benetton | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 159:214 | 18 |
| 8 | Lions | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 203:212 | 17 |
| 9 | Connacht | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 172:168 | 16 |
| 10 | Bulls | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 184:211 | 15 |
| 11 | Edinburgh | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 143:133 | 13 |
| 12 | Ospreys | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 163:204 | 13 |
| 13 | Sharks | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 134:192 | 12 |
| 14 | Zebre | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 144:240 | 11 |
| 15 | Dragons | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 151:225 | 11 |
| 16 | Scarlets | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 121:169 | 9 |
Promotion ~ United Rugby Championship (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
