Result
21:14
31/01/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- United Rugby Championship - Round 11
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | FloSports app, Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player, URC |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Tries |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Conversion goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Conversion goal attempts |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Penalty goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Penalty goal attempts |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goals % |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Dropped goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Total runs |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Metres run with ball |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (14 - 0)
- 2nd Half (7 - 14)
Chances of winning
Ulster
75.7% | Draw
3.4% | Cardiff Rugby
20.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ulster has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ulster's form might have worsened.Cardiff Rugby has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Cardiff Rugby's recent form is better than expected.
Ulster - Cardiff Rugby Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.22 ↑
(1.14) |
26.45 ↓
(29.2) |
4.44 ↓
(6.08) |
8.3%
(7.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 49.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-11)
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ulster won 3.
- Ulster is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Cardiff has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, Ulster is the team to beat.
- In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Ulster won 13 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 526:360. (average 27.7:18.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ulster won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 266:147. (average 29.6:16.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Ulster won against Cardiff Rugby?
Ulster has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cardiff Rugby won against Ulster?
Cardiff Rugby has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ulster - Cardiff Rugby were as follows:
13.12.2025
Cardiff Rugby
-
Ulster
29:26
26.10.2024
Cardiff Rugby
-
Ulster
21:19
19.04.2024
Ulster
-
Cardiff Rugby
19:17
04.03.2023
Cardiff Rugby
-
Ulster
20:42
Latest results of Cardiff Rugby
United Rugby Championship Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Glasgow Warriors | 14 | 11 | 0 | 3 | 389:197 | 55 |
| 2 | Stormers | 14 | 11 | 0 | 3 | 378:239 | 51 |
| 3 | Leinster | 15 | 10 | 0 | 5 | 390:320 | 50 |
| 4 | Ulster | 15 | 9 | 0 | 6 | 420:315 | 47 |
| 5 | Bulls | 15 | 9 | 0 | 6 | 444:347 | 44 |
| 6 | Lions | 14 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 421:385 | 43 |
| 7 | Cardiff Rugby | 14 | 8 | 0 | 6 | 262:271 | 41 |
| 8 | Munster | 14 | 8 | 0 | 6 | 279:304 | 41 |
| 9 | Connacht | 14 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 336:326 | 39 |
| 10 | Sharks | 14 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 322:348 | 33 |
| 11 | Ospreys | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 293:325 | 30 |
| 12 | Benetton | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 257:331 | 28 |
| 13 | Edinburgh | 15 | 5 | 0 | 10 | 300:370 | 27 |
| 14 | Scarlets | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 261:347 | 21 |
| 15 | Dragons | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 281:404 | 21 |
| 16 | Zebre | 15 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 256:460 | 13 |
Promotion ~ United Rugby Championship (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
