Exeter Chiefs vs Cardiff Rugby – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
31:0
18/01/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Challenge Cup - Round 4
  • Where to Watch on TV:
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomFloSports app, Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player, Premier Sports Rugby
worldWorldEPCR Rugby TV

Match Stats

Tries
50
Conversion goals
30
Conversion goal attempts
00
Penalty goals
00
Penalty goal attempts
00
Goals %
00
Dropped goals
00
Total runs
00
Metres run with ball
00
Yellow cards
01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (19 - 0)
  • 6', Tchumbadze B. (Try),
  • 7', Slade H. (Conversion Goal),
  • 19', Thornton R. 🟨,
  • 21', Tchumbadze B. (Try),
  • 21', Slade H. (Conversion Goal),
  • 24', Dweba J. (Try),
  • 2nd Half (12 - 0)
  • 66', Heaven J. (Try),
  • 67', Slade H. (Conversion Goal),
  • 77', Brown-Bampoe P. (Try),

Chances of winning


Exeter Chiefs
86.1%
Draw
2.5%
Cardiff Rugby
11.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
82.6% 2.9% 14.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Exeter Chiefs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)
  • Cardiff Rugby has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
  • Exeter Chiefs - Cardiff Rugby Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.07
    (1.12)
    36.06
    (32.13)
    8.1
    (6.35)
    8.9%
    (8.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 54.50
    • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-15)
    What is the prediction for Exeter Chiefs - Cardiff Rugby?
  • Users Predictions: 1 users predict this event. Exeter will win (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 35:20.
  • Preview Facts
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Recently, Exeter has had a series of away games.
    • Recently, Cardiff has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Exeter is the undisputed favorite.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Exeter won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 63:42. (average 31.5:21).
    • Including home match between the teams, Exeter won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 44:29.
    Latest results of Exeter Chiefs
    03.01.2026 Bath - Exeter Chiefs 33:26
    20.12.2025 Saracens - Exeter Chiefs 24:30
    14.12.2025 Racing Métro - Exeter Chiefs 31:31
    Latest results of Cardiff Rugby
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1UlsterOspreys28 : 24
    2Newcastle Red BullsStade Rochelais18 : 26
    3BenettonCardiff Rugby38 : 35
    4Exeter ChiefsMunster31 : 21
    5MontpellierUSA Perpignan53 : 13
    6ConnachtSharks29 : 12
    7ZebreSection Paloise31 : 15
    8Stade Francais ParisDragons31 : 36

    Quarter-finals
    1UlsterStade Rochelais41 : 24
    2BenettonExeter Chiefs41 : 44
    3MontpellierConnacht45 : 22
    4ZebreDragons32 : 35

    Semi-finals
    1UlsterExeter Chiefs
    2MontpellierDragons

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2