Cariari Pococí vs Carmelita – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
12/03/2026 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga de Ascenso - Clausura - Round 12

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 33', 0 - 1, ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 47', 1 - 1, ,
  • 50', 2 - 1, ,

Chances of winning


Cariari Pococí
46.5%
Draw
26.6%
Carmelita
26.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.7% 26.2% 21.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.8% 25.2% 21.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cariari Pococí has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cariari Pococí's form might have worsened.
  • Carmelita has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Carmelita's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cariari Pococí than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carmelita than the current prediction. (-5%)
  • Cariari Pococí - Carmelita Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.97
    (1.73)
    3.44
    (3.48)
    3.4
    (4.3)
    9.2%
    (10%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Cariari Pococí - Carmelita?
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Cariari (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 5 and 6).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cariari won 0.
    • Cariari has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Carmelita is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Cariari may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Carmelita has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Cariari is the team to beat.
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Cariari won 0 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 0.7:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Cariari won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3. (average 0.3:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cariari Pococí - Carmelita were as follows:
    23.01.2026 Carmelita - Cariari Pococí 1:1
    11.10.2025 Carmelita - Cariari Pococí 1:1
    01.10.2025 Cariari Pococí - Carmelita 0:2
    24.09.2025 Carmelita - Cariari Pococí 1:1
    31.08.2025 Cariari Pococí - Carmelita 1:1
    Latest results of Cariari Pococí
    Latest results of Carmelita
    Draw
    Clausura - Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1CS UruguayQuepos Cambute0 : 0, 2 : 5
    2Consultants DesamparadosADR Jicaral0 : 2, 1 : 1
    3PitbullsInter San Carlos0 : 2, 1 : 2
    4Santa CruzEscorpiones1 : 4, 1 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Quepos CambuteADR Jicaral1 : 0
    2Inter San CarlosEscorpiones

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2