Forest Green Rovers vs Carlisle United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:3
14/02/2026 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • National League - Round 33
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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Match Stats

Ball possession
51%49%
Total shots
117
Shots on target
44
Corner kicks
81
Yellow cards
23
Total shots
117
Shots on target
44
Shots off target
73
Corner kicks
81

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 3)
  • 6', Haughton N. 🟨,
  • 11', 0 - 1, Wearne S. , Armstrong L. (A),
  • 22', 0 - 2, Feeney M. , Ajiboye D. (A),
  • 26', Haughton N. , Osude J. ,
  • 29', 0 - 3, Ajiboye D. ,
  • 39', Williams J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Clarke J. , Kircough G. ,
  • 46', Kanu A. , Mingi J. J. ,
  • 52', 1 - 3, Mingi J. J. ,
  • 57', Ahmed A. , Knowles T. ,
  • 65', Embleton E. , Thomas T. ,
  • 66', Feeney M. 🟨,
  • 78', Wearne S. , Ellis J. ,
  • 86', Williams J. , Harper C. ,
  • 86', Ajiboye D. , Parker H. ,
  • 89', Kircough G. 🟨,
  • 90', Ellis J. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Forest Green Rovers
50.1%
Draw
25.1%
Carlisle United
24.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50% 25.4% 24.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.8% 24.5% 23.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Forest Green Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
  • Carlisle United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Forest Green Rovers than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carlisle United than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
  • Forest Green Rovers - Carlisle United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.85
    (1.84)
    3.71
    (3.61)
    3.73
    (3.73)
    7.8%
    (9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Forest Green won 4.
    • Forest Green has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Carlisle has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Forest Green may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Forest Green is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Forest Green won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 16:16. (average 1.2:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Forest Green won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:8. (average 1.3:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Forest Green Rovers - Carlisle United were as follows:
    18.10.2025 Carlisle United - Forest Green Rovers 4:2
    Latest results of Forest Green Rovers
    Latest results of Carlisle United
    English National League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1York City34248291:325980
    2Rochdale33254463:234079
    3Carlisle34215862:412168
    4Boreham Wood33197763:392464
    5Scunthorpe33179757:461160
    6Forest Green351611858:421659
    7Southend31157952:292352
    8FC Halifax351571353:51252
    9Hartlepool341312942:37551
    10Boston Utd3511101446:51-543
    11Solihull Moors331191355:51442
    12Aldershot331261560:61-142
    13Tamworth331191342:52-1042
    14Wealdstone321091338:51-1339
    15Eastleigh341091543:58-1539
    16Woking311081341:38338
    17Yeovil331151735:47-1238
    18Altrincham341141939:54-1537
    19Brackley Town32991428:42-1436
    20Sutton338111446:54-835
    21Braintree34791824:49-2530
    22Morecambe34691946:74-2827
    23Gateshead32752039:74-3526
    24Truro33662131:58-2724

          Promotion ~ League Two
          Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Relegation