Forest Green Rovers vs Carlisle United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:3
14/02/2026 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • National League - Round 33
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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Match Stats

Ball possession
51%49%
Total shots
117
Shots on target
44
Corner kicks
81
Yellow cards
23
Total shots
117
Shots on target
44
Shots off target
73
Corner kicks
81

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 3)
  • 6', Haughton N. 🟨,
  • 11', 0 - 1, Wearne S. , Armstrong L. (A),
  • 22', 0 - 2, Feeney M. , Ajiboye D. (A),
  • 26', Haughton N. , Osude J. ,
  • 29', 0 - 3, Ajiboye D. ,
  • 39', Williams J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Clarke J. , Kircough G. ,
  • 46', Kanu A. , Mingi J. J. ,
  • 52', 1 - 3, Mingi J. J. ,
  • 57', Ahmed A. , Knowles T. ,
  • 65', Embleton E. , Thomas T. ,
  • 66', Feeney M. 🟨,
  • 78', Wearne S. , Ellis J. ,
  • 86', Williams J. , Harper C. ,
  • 86', Ajiboye D. , Parker H. ,
  • 89', Kircough G. 🟨,
  • 90', Ellis J. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Forest Green Rovers
50.1%
Draw
25.1%
Carlisle United
24.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50% 25.4% 24.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.8% 24.5% 23.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Forest Green Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
  • Carlisle United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Forest Green Rovers than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carlisle United than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
  • Forest Green Rovers - Carlisle United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.85
    (1.84)
    3.71
    (3.61)
    3.73
    (3.73)
    7.8%
    (9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Forest Green won 4.
    • Forest Green has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Carlisle has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Forest Green may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Forest Green is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Forest Green won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 16:16. (average 1.2:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Forest Green won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:8. (average 1.3:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Forest Green Rovers - Carlisle United were as follows:
    18.10.2025 Carlisle United - Forest Green Rovers 4:2
    Latest results of Forest Green Rovers
    Latest results of Carlisle United
    English National League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1York City433184109:4069101
    2Rochdale43316683:384599
    3Carlisle43268980:512986
    4Boreham Wood432491088:583081
    5Scunthorpe432212975:601578
    6Forest Green4321121073:492475
    7Southend4120111070:403071
    8FC Halifax431991566:60666
    9Hartlepool4216141247:49-262
    10Tamworth4316101757:68-1158
    11Woking4214141461:52956
    12Wealdstone421591863:68-554
    13Solihull Moors4213121767:68-151
    14Yeovil431552347:61-1450
    15Boston Utd4212131755:65-1049
    16Altrincham431462349:63-1448
    17Sutton4311141858:73-1547
    18Gateshead431382252:84-3247
    19Aldershot421372268:80-1246
    20Eastleigh4312102155:78-2346
    21Brackley Town439122238:70-3239
    22Morecambe439112365:90-2538
    23Braintree ✔ 438122335:66-3136
    24Truro ✔ 437102640:70-3031

          Promotion ~ League Two
          Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Relegation

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Braintree is Relegated to
    Truro is Relegated to