Forest Green Rovers vs Carlisle United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:3
14/02/2026 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • National League - Round 33
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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Match Stats

Ball possession
51%49%
Total shots
117
Shots on target
44
Corner kicks
81
Yellow cards
23
Total shots
117
Shots on target
44
Shots off target
73
Corner kicks
81

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 3)
  • 6', Haughton N. 🟨,
  • 11', 0 - 1, Wearne S. , Armstrong L. (A),
  • 22', 0 - 2, Feeney M. , Ajiboye D. (A),
  • 26', Haughton N. , Osude J. ,
  • 29', 0 - 3, Ajiboye D. ,
  • 39', Williams J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Clarke J. , Kircough G. ,
  • 46', Kanu A. , Mingi J. J. ,
  • 52', 1 - 3, Mingi J. J. ,
  • 57', Ahmed A. , Knowles T. ,
  • 65', Embleton E. , Thomas T. ,
  • 66', Feeney M. 🟨,
  • 78', Wearne S. , Ellis J. ,
  • 86', Williams J. , Harper C. ,
  • 86', Ajiboye D. , Parker H. ,
  • 89', Kircough G. 🟨,
  • 90', Ellis J. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Forest Green Rovers
50.1%
Draw
25.1%
Carlisle United
24.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50% 25.4% 24.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.8% 24.5% 23.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Forest Green Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
  • Carlisle United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Forest Green Rovers than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carlisle United than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
  • Forest Green Rovers - Carlisle United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.85
    (1.84)
    3.71
    (3.61)
    3.73
    (3.73)
    7.8%
    (9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Forest Green won 4.
    • Forest Green has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Carlisle has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Forest Green may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Forest Green is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Forest Green won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 16:16. (average 1.2:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Forest Green won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:8. (average 1.3:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Forest Green Rovers - Carlisle United were as follows:
    18.10.2025 Carlisle United - Forest Green Rovers 4:2
    Latest results of Forest Green Rovers
    Latest results of Carlisle United
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Rochdale (2)Bye
    2Scunthorpe (5)Southend (6)1 : 0
    3Carlisle (3)Bye
    4Boreham Wood (4)Forest Green (7)1 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Rochdale (2)Scunthorpe (5)
    2Carlisle (3)Boreham Wood (4)

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2