Sutton United vs Carlisle United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English National League Sutton United - Carlisle United
Result
2:1
30/08/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • National League - Round 6
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDAZN
austriaAustriaDAZN
boliviaBoliviaDAZN
brazilBrazilDAZN Brasil
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
ecuadorEcuadorDAZN
franceFranceDAZN France
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
italyItalyDAZN Italia
japanJapanDAZN Japan
new-zealandNew-zealandDAZN New Zealand
paraguayParaguayDAZN
portugalPortugalDAZN / App
spainSpainDAZN Espana
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
taiwanTaiwanDAZN
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDAZN, DAZN UK
uruguayUruguayDAZN
usaUsaDAZN USA
venezuelaVenezuelaDAZN

Match Stats

Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
814
Shots on target
68
Corner Kicks
64
Yellow Cards
11
Total shots
814
Shots on target
68
Shots off target
26
Corner Kicks
64
Goalkeeper Saves
74

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 24', 🟨,
  • 24', Wearne S. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 49', 1 - 0, Pruti E. ,
  • 55', Whelan C. , Kelly G. ,
  • 64', Wadham J. , Odelusi S. ,
  • 64', Dabre M. , Simper L. ,
  • 69', Macadam H. , Grant J. ,
  • 69', Armstrong L. , Ajiboye D. ,
  • 78', Njoku B. , Ogbonna D. ,
  • 82', 2 - 0, Ogbonna D. ,
  • 90+5', 2 - 1, Kelly G. ,

Chances of winning


Sutton United
22.1%
Draw
24.8%
Carlisle United
53.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
25.5% 26.7% 47.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.9% 26% 48.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sutton United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)
  • Carlisle United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Carlisle United's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sutton United than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carlisle United than the current prediction. (-4.3%)
  • Sutton United - Carlisle United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.17
    (3.63)
    3.74
    (3.47)
    1.75
    (1.94)
    7.8%
    (7.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Sutton United - Carlisle United?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Carlisle will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Sutton is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Carlisle is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Carlisle might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Sutton won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:2. (average 2:0.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Sutton won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 2.5:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sutton United - Carlisle United were as follows:
    08.05.2023 Sutton United - Carlisle United 1:1
    03.12.2022 Carlisle United - Sutton United 1:1
    Latest results of Sutton United
    Latest results of Carlisle United
    English National League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Rochdale870116:41221
    2Forest Green963016:51121
    3Carlisle962119:61320
    4Southend953115:6918
    5Boreham Wood852117:11617
    6York City743015:6915
    7Scunthorpe743011:7415
    8Hartlepool93519:3614
    9Wealdstone941413:12113
    10Tamworth941411:14-313
    11Altrincham940513:14-112
    12Gateshead932413:23-1011
    13Brackley Town82428:8010
    14Eastleigh83149:10-110
    15Yeovil931510:14-410
    16Aldershot923422:1939
    17FC Halifax923410:16-69
    18Woking922511:13-28
    19Boston Utd82248:13-58
    20Solihull Moors914411:18-77
    21Braintree92168:16-87
    22Sutton912612:20-85
    23Truro91176:15-94
    24Morecambe61147:17-104

          Promotion ~ League Two
          Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Relegation