Sutton United vs Carlisle United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
30/08/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • National League - Round 6
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDAZN
austriaAustriaDAZN
boliviaBoliviaDAZN
brazilBrazilDAZN Brasil
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
ecuadorEcuadorDAZN
franceFranceDAZN France
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
italyItalyDAZN Italia
japanJapanDAZN Japan
new-zealandNew-zealandDAZN New Zealand
paraguayParaguayDAZN
portugalPortugalDAZN / App
spainSpainDAZN Espana
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
taiwanTaiwanDAZN
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDAZN, DAZN UK
uruguayUruguayDAZN
usaUsaDAZN USA
venezuelaVenezuelaDAZN

Match Stats

Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
814
Shots on target
68
Corner Kicks
64
Yellow Cards
11
Total shots
814
Shots on target
68
Shots off target
26
Corner Kicks
64
Goalkeeper Saves
74

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 24', 🟨,
  • 24', Wearne S. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 49', 1 - 0, Pruti E. ,
  • 55', Whelan C. , Kelly G. ,
  • 64', Wadham J. , Odelusi S. ,
  • 64', Dabre M. , Simper L. ,
  • 69', Macadam H. , Grant J. ,
  • 69', Armstrong L. , Ajiboye D. ,
  • 78', Njoku B. , Ogbonna D. ,
  • 82', 2 - 0, Ogbonna D. ,
  • 90+5', 2 - 1, Kelly G. ,

Chances of winning


Sutton United
22.1%
Draw
24.8%
Carlisle United
53.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
25.5% 26.7% 47.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.9% 26% 48.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sutton United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)
  • Carlisle United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Carlisle United's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sutton United than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carlisle United than the current prediction. (-4.3%)
  • Sutton United - Carlisle United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.17
    (3.63)
    3.74
    (3.47)
    1.75
    (1.94)
    7.8%
    (7.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Sutton United - Carlisle United?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Carlisle will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH 0 - Carlisle (1.52) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Carlisle (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Sutton is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Carlisle is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Carlisle might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Sutton won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:2. (average 2:0.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Sutton won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 2.5:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sutton United - Carlisle United were as follows:
    08.05.2023 Sutton United - Carlisle United 1:1
    03.12.2022 Carlisle United - Sutton United 1:1
    Latest results of Sutton United
    Latest results of Carlisle United
    English National League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1York City34248291:325980
    2Rochdale33254463:234079
    3Carlisle34215862:412168
    4Boreham Wood33197763:392464
    5Scunthorpe33179757:461160
    6Forest Green351611858:421659
    7Southend31157952:292352
    8FC Halifax351571353:51252
    9Hartlepool341312942:37551
    10Boston Utd3511101446:51-543
    11Solihull Moors331191355:51442
    12Aldershot331261560:61-142
    13Tamworth331191342:52-1042
    14Wealdstone321091338:51-1339
    15Eastleigh341091543:58-1539
    16Woking311081341:38338
    17Yeovil331151735:47-1238
    18Altrincham341141939:54-1537
    19Brackley Town32991428:42-1436
    20Sutton338111446:54-835
    21Braintree34791824:49-2530
    22Morecambe34691946:74-2827
    23Gateshead32752039:74-3526
    24Truro33662131:58-2724

          Promotion ~ League Two
          Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Relegation