Carlisle United vs Sutton United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

11/04/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Carlisle United
59.2%
Draw
22.5%
Sutton United
18.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.3% 23.4% 21.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.4% 22.2% 20.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Carlisle United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)
  • Sutton United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carlisle United than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sutton United than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
  • Carlisle United - Sutton United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.55
    (1.68)
    4.11
    (3.97)
    5.05
    (4.37)
    8.5%
    (7.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    Preview Facts
    • Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 17).
    • Carlisle is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Sutton has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, Carlisle is seen as the favorite.
    • We predict that Carlisle will win today's game, with odds of 1.56.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Carlisle won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:10. (average 0.6:2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Carlisle won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Carlisle United - Sutton United were as follows:
    30.08.2025 Sutton United - Carlisle United 2:1
    08.05.2023 Sutton United - Carlisle United 1:1
    03.12.2022 Carlisle United - Sutton United 1:1
    Latest results of Carlisle United
    Latest results of Sutton United
    English National League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1York City433184109:4069101
    2Rochdale43316683:384599
    3Carlisle43268980:512986
    4Boreham Wood432491088:583081
    5Scunthorpe432212975:601578
    6Forest Green4321121073:492475
    7Southend4120111070:403071
    8FC Halifax431991566:60666
    9Hartlepool4216141247:49-262
    10Tamworth4316101757:68-1158
    11Woking4214141461:52956
    12Wealdstone421591863:68-554
    13Solihull Moors4213121767:68-151
    14Yeovil431552347:61-1450
    15Boston Utd4212131755:65-1049
    16Altrincham431462349:63-1448
    17Sutton4311141858:73-1547
    18Gateshead431382252:84-3247
    19Aldershot421372268:80-1246
    20Eastleigh4312102155:78-2346
    21Brackley Town439122238:70-3239
    22Morecambe439112365:90-2538
    23Braintree ✔ 438122335:66-3136
    24Truro ✔ 437102640:70-3031

          Promotion ~ League Two
          Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Relegation

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Braintree is Relegated to
    Truro is Relegated to