Result
1:1
08/05/2023 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ENGLAND: LEAGUE TWO - ROUND 46
- Referee: Drysdale D. (Eng)
Chances of winning
Sutton United
28.3% | Draw
28.3% | Carlisle United
43.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sutton United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sutton United's form might have worsened.Carlisle United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Carlisle United's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sutton United than the current prediction. (+6.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sutton United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carlisle United than the current prediction. (-8.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Carlisle United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Sutton United - Carlisle United Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.32 ↑
(2.6) |
3.3 ↑
(3) |
2.16 ↓
(2.6) |
6.8%
(10.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Sutton United - Carlisle United?
Users Predictions:
Carlisle United will win
(29 of 34 users predict this - 85.29%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.38% – 97.2%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 14 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
- Sutton has the most likely position - 14 (42.03%), project points - 58, currently - 57, not chance of relegated, not chance of prom. playoffs.
- Carlisle has the most likely position - 5 (52.7%), project points - 77, currently - 75, not chance of relegated, a very good chance of prom. playoffs (>99%), a chance of promoted (21%), not chance of win league.
- Sutton has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Recent matches Carlisle is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Carlisle will have a small advantage in this match.
- Our prediction for today's Carlisle to win the game is with odds 2.16.
- Last 3 head-to-head matches Sutton won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-1.
- Including matches at home between the teams Sutton won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-0.
How many head-to-head matches has Sutton United won against Carlisle United?
Sutton United has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Carlisle United won against Sutton United?
Carlisle United has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sutton United - Carlisle United were as follows:
03.12.2022
Carlisle United
-
Sutton United
1:1
Latest results of Sutton United
Latest results of Carlisle United
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Grimsby | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 3 |
| 2 | Crewe | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 3 |
| 3 | Fleetwood | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
| 4 | Walsall | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Chesterfield | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Cambridge Utd | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Harrogate | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Colchester | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 9 | Gillingham | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | Tranmere | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | Accrington | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 12 | Notts Co | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 13 | Newport | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 14 | Oldham | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 15 | MK Dons | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 16 | Shrewsbury | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 17 | Bromley | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 18 | Swindon | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
| 19 | Bristol Rovers | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 20 | Cheltenham | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 21 | Barrow | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 22 | Salford | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
| 23 | Barnet | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
| 24 | Crawley | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
Promotion ~ League Two
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
