Sutton United vs Carlisle United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
30/08/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • National League - Round 6
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDAZN
austriaAustriaDAZN
boliviaBoliviaDAZN
brazilBrazilDAZN Brasil
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
ecuadorEcuadorDAZN
franceFranceDAZN France
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
italyItalyDAZN Italia
japanJapanDAZN Japan
new-zealandNew-zealandDAZN New Zealand
paraguayParaguayDAZN
portugalPortugalDAZN / App
spainSpainDAZN Espana
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
taiwanTaiwanDAZN
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDAZN, DAZN UK
uruguayUruguayDAZN
usaUsaDAZN USA
venezuelaVenezuelaDAZN

Match Stats

Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
814
Shots on target
68
Corner Kicks
64
Yellow Cards
11
Total shots
814
Shots on target
68
Shots off target
26
Corner Kicks
64
Goalkeeper Saves
74

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 24', 🟨,
  • 24', Wearne S. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 49', 1 - 0, Pruti E. ,
  • 55', Whelan C. , Kelly G. ,
  • 64', Wadham J. , Odelusi S. ,
  • 64', Dabre M. , Simper L. ,
  • 69', Macadam H. , Grant J. ,
  • 69', Armstrong L. , Ajiboye D. ,
  • 78', Njoku B. , Ogbonna D. ,
  • 82', 2 - 0, Ogbonna D. ,
  • 90+5', 2 - 1, Kelly G. ,

Chances of winning


Sutton United
22.1%
Draw
24.8%
Carlisle United
53.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
25.5% 26.7% 47.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.9% 26% 48.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sutton United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)
  • Carlisle United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Carlisle United's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sutton United than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carlisle United than the current prediction. (-4.3%)
  • Sutton United - Carlisle United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.17
    (3.63)
    3.74
    (3.47)
    1.75
    (1.94)
    7.8%
    (7.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Sutton United - Carlisle United?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Carlisle will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH 0 - Carlisle (1.52) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Carlisle (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Sutton is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Carlisle is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Carlisle might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Sutton won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:2. (average 2:0.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Sutton won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 2.5:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sutton United - Carlisle United were as follows:
    08.05.2023 Sutton United - Carlisle United 1:1
    03.12.2022 Carlisle United - Sutton United 1:1
    Latest results of Sutton United
    Latest results of Carlisle United
    English National League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Rochdale38294574:294591
    2York City382783100:366489
    3Carlisle38236969:462375
    4Boreham Wood38218977:522571
    5Scunthorpe382010868:531570
    6Forest Green381811962:451765
    7Southend361710961:352661
    8FC Halifax381781359:55459
    9Hartlepool3714121143:40354
    10Woking3613101353:44949
    11Wealdstone371391552:59-748
    12Tamworth381391650:63-1348
    13Boston Utd3812111550:55-547
    14Solihull Moors3711111561:62-144
    15Sutton3810131553:63-1043
    16Altrincham371342044:56-1243
    17Aldershot371261961:70-942
    18Eastleigh381191848:67-1942
    19Yeovil371252038:53-1541
    20Brackley Town389101936:59-2337
    21Gateshead381072145:79-3437
    22Morecambe388102055:78-2334
    23Braintree388102029:57-2834
    24Truro38672535:67-3225

          Promotion ~ League Two
          Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Relegation