Sutton United vs Carlisle United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English National League Sutton United - Carlisle United
Result
2:1
30/08/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • National League - Round 6
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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austriaAustriaDAZN
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brazilBrazilDAZN Brasil
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
ecuadorEcuadorDAZN
franceFranceDAZN France
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
italyItalyDAZN Italia
japanJapanDAZN Japan
new-zealandNew-zealandDAZN New Zealand
paraguayParaguayDAZN
portugalPortugalDAZN / App
spainSpainDAZN Espana
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
taiwanTaiwanDAZN
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDAZN, DAZN UK
uruguayUruguayDAZN
usaUsaDAZN USA
venezuelaVenezuelaDAZN

Match Stats

Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
814
Shots on target
68
Corner Kicks
64
Yellow Cards
11
Total shots
814
Shots on target
68
Shots off target
26
Corner Kicks
64
Goalkeeper Saves
74

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 24', 🟨,
  • 24', Wearne S. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 49', 1 - 0, Pruti E. ,
  • 55', Whelan C. , Kelly G. ,
  • 64', Wadham J. , Odelusi S. ,
  • 64', Dabre M. , Simper L. ,
  • 69', Macadam H. , Grant J. ,
  • 69', Armstrong L. , Ajiboye D. ,
  • 78', Njoku B. , Ogbonna D. ,
  • 82', 2 - 0, Ogbonna D. ,
  • 90+5', 2 - 1, Kelly G. ,

Chances of winning


Sutton United
22.1%
Draw
24.8%
Carlisle United
53.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
25.5% 26.7% 47.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.9% 26% 48.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sutton United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)
  • Carlisle United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Carlisle United's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sutton United than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carlisle United than the current prediction. (-4.3%)
  • Sutton United - Carlisle United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.17
    (3.63)
    3.74
    (3.47)
    1.75
    (1.94)
    7.8%
    (7.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Sutton United - Carlisle United?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Carlisle will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Sutton is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Carlisle is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Carlisle might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Sutton won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:2. (average 2:0.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Sutton won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 2.5:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sutton United - Carlisle United were as follows:
    08.05.2023 Sutton United - Carlisle United 1:1
    03.12.2022 Carlisle United - Sutton United 1:1
    Latest results of Sutton United
    Latest results of Carlisle United
    English National League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Rochdale12100224:71730
    2Forest Green1485121:81329
    3Carlisle1492325:151029
    4Scunthorpe1384124:111328
    5Boreham Wood1384125:131228
    6FC Halifax1473422:21124
    7York City1264224:121222
    8Southend1364320:11922
    9Tamworth1464417:18-122
    10Wealdstone1454520:18219
    11Yeovil1461717:20-319
    12Hartlepool1446413:10318
    13Eastleigh1353515:15018
    14Gateshead1452722:32-1017
    15Boston Utd1344514:17-316
    16Brackley Town1344510:13-316
    17Solihull Moors1435615:26-1114
    18Woking1434717:19-213
    19Aldershot1434727:31-413
    20Altrincham1441917:22-513
    21Braintree1433813:22-912
    22Sutton1415815:25-108
    23Truro14221013:24-118
    24Morecambe1222816:36-208

          Promotion ~ League Two
          Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Relegation