Carlisle United vs Sutton United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:0
11/04/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • National League - Round 44
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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Match Stats

Ball possession
56%44%
Total shots
137
Shots on target
72
Corner kicks
63
Yellow cards
25
Total shots
137
Shots on target
72
Shots off target
65
Corner kicks
63

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 0)
  • 8', Simper L. 🟨,
  • 10', 1 - 0, Macadam H. , Kelly G. (A),
  • 23', 2 - 0, Macadam H. , Whelan C. (A),
  • 28', Taylor J. 🟨,
  • 41', 3 - 0, Galvin R. , Linney R. (A),
  • 44', Ruiz R. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 60', Whelan C. 🟨,
  • 61', Francis J. , Ogbonna D. ,
  • 63', Ajiboye D. 🟨,
  • 63', Donkor K. , Urpens D. ,
  • 65', Urpens D. 🟨,
  • 74', Harris J. J. 🟨,
  • 77', Ajiboye D. , Yeboah E. ,
  • 77', Whelan C. , Williams J. ,
  • 78', Kelly G. , Wyke Ch. ,
  • 83', Topalloj B. , Byron T. ,
  • 85', Linney R. , Davies A. ,
  • 85', Galvin R. , Harper C. ,

Chances of winning


Carlisle United
58.3%
Draw
22.5%
Sutton United
19.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.3% 23.4% 21.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.4% 22.2% 20.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Carlisle United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
  • Sutton United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carlisle United than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sutton United than the current prediction. (+1%)
  • Carlisle United - Sutton United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.6
    (1.68)
    4.15
    (3.97)
    4.82
    (4.37)
    7.4%
    (7.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 17).
    • Carlisle is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Sutton is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, Carlisle is seen as the favorite.
    • We predict that Carlisle will win today's game, with odds of 1.57.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Carlisle won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:10. (average 0.6:2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Carlisle won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Carlisle United - Sutton United were as follows:
    30.08.2025 Sutton United - Carlisle United 2:1
    08.05.2023 Sutton United - Carlisle United 1:1
    03.12.2022 Carlisle United - Sutton United 1:1
    Latest results of Carlisle United
    Latest results of Sutton United
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Rochdale (2)Bye
    2Scunthorpe (5)Southend (6)1 : 0
    3Carlisle (3)Bye
    4Boreham Wood (4)Forest Green (7)1 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Rochdale (2)Scunthorpe (5)
    2Carlisle (3)Boreham Wood (4)

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2