Carlisle United vs Tamworth – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
29/11/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • National League - Round 21
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
58%42%
Total shots
224
Shots on target
143
Corner Kicks
135
Yellow Cards
23
Total shots
224
Shots on target
143
Shots off target
81
Corner Kicks
135

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 7', Feeney M. 🟨,
  • 21', Roberts T. 🟨,
  • 25', 1 - 0, Kelly G. ,
  • 31', Digie K. 🟨,
  • 39', 1 - 1, Ponticelli J. , Maher R. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Cockerill-Mollett C. , Curley M. ,
  • 52', Milnes B. (Pen),
  • 64', Luamba J. , Ajiboye D. ,
  • 71', Creaney D. , Lynch O. ,
  • 71', Milnes B. , Tonks T. ,
  • 75', Gilliead A. , Armstrong L. ,
  • 79', 2 - 1, Kelly G. , Linney R. (A),
  • 83', Rye J. , Hollis H. ,
  • 85', Ajiboye D. 🟨,
  • 87', Roberts T. , Duku I. ,
  • 90+1', Conn-Clarke C. , Ellis J. ,
  • 90+4', Donkor K. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Carlisle United
62.6%
Draw
21.1%
Tamworth
16.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
60.8% 22% 17.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63% 21.2% 16.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Carlisle United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
  • Tamworth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carlisle United than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tamworth than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
  • Carlisle United - Tamworth Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.49
    (1.53)
    4.43
    (4.22)
    5.72
    (5.42)
    7.1%
    (7.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Carlisle United - Tamworth?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 11).
    • Carlisle has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • In recent matches, Tamworth has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Tamworth may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Carlisle is the undisputed favorite.
    • We predict that Carlisle will win today's game, with odds of 1.45.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
    Latest results of Carlisle United
    Latest results of Tamworth
    22.11.2025 Tamworth - Rochdale 1:2
    15.11.2025 Boreham Wood - Tamworth 1:2
    08.11.2025 Tamworth - Woking 0:1
    English National League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Rochdale35274468:254385
    2York City36258394:355983
    3Carlisle35225864:422271
    4Boreham Wood35207868:442467
    5Forest Green361711860:421862
    6Scunthorpe341710760:491161
    7Southend32158953:302353
    8FC Halifax361581355:53253
    9Hartlepool3513121042:39351
    10Tamworth351291445:56-1145
    11Boston Utd3611111448:53-544
    12Solihull Moors3411101358:54443
    13Aldershot341261660:63-342
    14Yeovil341251737:47-1041
    15Altrincham351241941:54-1340
    16Woking321091343:40339
    17Sutton359121450:56-639
    18Wealdstone331091440:54-1439
    19Eastleigh351091644:60-1639
    20Brackley Town34991630:47-1736
    21Braintree35891827:51-2433
    22Morecambe36792049:77-2830
    23Gateshead33752139:76-3726
    24Truro35672234:62-2825

          Promotion ~ League Two
          Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Relegation