Tamworth vs Carlisle United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
14/03/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • National League - Round 38
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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Match Stats

Ball possession
51%49%
Total shots
104
Shots on target
43
Corner kicks
113
Yellow cards
10
Total shots
104
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
61
Corner kicks
113

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Bates A. , Kurtaran T. ,
  • 46', Conn-Clarke C. , Ajiboye D. ,
  • 52', 0 - 1, Wearne S. , Ajiboye D. (A),
  • 64', 1 - 1, Lynch O. , Creaney D. (A),
  • 75', Acquaye B. 🟨,
  • 76', 2 - 1, Lynch O. ,
  • 77', Rye J. , Curley M. ,
  • 78', Acquaye B. , Reindorf M. ,
  • 80', Gilliead A. , Parker H. ,
  • 84', Atkinson H. , Ellis J. ,
  • 90+2', Milnes B. , Tonks T. ,
  • 90+2', Mugabi B. , Thomas T. ,
  • 90+3', Milnes B. , Tonks T. ,

Chances of winning


Tamworth
29%
Draw
26.9%
Carlisle United
44.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
24% 25.9% 50.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.5% 25.4% 51.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tamworth has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)
  • Carlisle United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Carlisle United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tamworth than the current prediction. (-5.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tamworth that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carlisle United than the current prediction. (+7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Carlisle United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Tamworth - Carlisle United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.21
    (3.83)
    3.46
    (3.56)
    2.11
    (1.84)
    7.4%
    (8.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 11 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
    • In recent matches, Tamworth has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Carlisle is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Tamworth may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Carlisle is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Tamworth won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Tamworth - Carlisle United were as follows:
    29.11.2025 Carlisle United - Tamworth 2:1
    Latest results of Tamworth
    10.03.2026 Wealdstone - Tamworth 3:2
    07.03.2026 Woking - Tamworth 3:1
    03.03.2026 Yeovil Town - Tamworth 2:0
    28.02.2026 Tamworth - Boreham Wood 3:2
    24.02.2026 Tamworth - Altrincham 5:1
    Latest results of Carlisle United
    English National League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Rochdale39304577:314694
    2York City392883104:366892
    3Carlisle39246975:482778
    4Boreham Wood39228980:522874
    5Scunthorpe392110871:551673
    6Forest Green391911964:451968
    7FC Halifax391881362:55762
    8Southend3717101061:362561
    9Hartlepool3815121144:40457
    10Woking3714101356:461052
    11Wealdstone381391652:61-948
    12Tamworth391391752:66-1448
    13Boston Utd3912111652:61-947
    14Altrincham381442045:56-1146
    15Solihull Moors3811111661:65-444
    16Yeovil381352041:55-1444
    17Sutton3910131653:66-1343
    18Aldershot381262063:73-1042
    19Eastleigh391191948:68-2042
    20Brackley Town399102036:63-2737
    21Gateshead391072245:82-3737
    22Morecambe398102157:81-2434
    23Braintree398102131:60-2934
    24Truro39772538:67-2928

          Promotion ~ League Two
          Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Relegation