Tamworth vs Carlisle United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
14/03/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • National League - Round 38
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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Match Stats

Ball possession
51%49%
Total shots
104
Shots on target
43
Corner kicks
113
Yellow cards
10
Total shots
104
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
61
Corner kicks
113

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Bates A. , Kurtaran T. ,
  • 46', Conn-Clarke C. , Ajiboye D. ,
  • 52', 0 - 1, Wearne S. , Ajiboye D. (A),
  • 64', 1 - 1, Lynch O. , Creaney D. (A),
  • 75', Acquaye B. 🟨,
  • 76', 2 - 1, Lynch O. ,
  • 77', Rye J. , Curley M. ,
  • 78', Acquaye B. , Reindorf M. ,
  • 80', Gilliead A. , Parker H. ,
  • 84', Atkinson H. , Ellis J. ,
  • 90+2', Milnes B. , Tonks T. ,
  • 90+2', Mugabi B. , Thomas T. ,
  • 90+3', Milnes B. , Tonks T. ,

Chances of winning


Tamworth
29%
Draw
26.9%
Carlisle United
44.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
24% 25.9% 50.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.5% 25.4% 51.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tamworth has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)
  • Carlisle United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Carlisle United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tamworth than the current prediction. (-5.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tamworth that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carlisle United than the current prediction. (+7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Carlisle United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Tamworth - Carlisle United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.21
    (3.83)
    3.46
    (3.56)
    2.11
    (1.84)
    7.4%
    (8.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 11 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
    • In recent matches, Tamworth has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Carlisle is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Tamworth may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Carlisle is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Tamworth won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Tamworth - Carlisle United were as follows:
    29.11.2025 Carlisle United - Tamworth 2:1
    Latest results of Tamworth
    10.03.2026 Wealdstone - Tamworth 3:2
    07.03.2026 Woking - Tamworth 3:1
    03.03.2026 Yeovil Town - Tamworth 2:0
    28.02.2026 Tamworth - Boreham Wood 3:2
    24.02.2026 Tamworth - Altrincham 5:1
    Latest results of Carlisle United
    English National League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1York City443284110:4070104
    2Rochdale44326685:3946102
    3Carlisle44278983:513289
    4Boreham Wood442591091:583384
    5Scunthorpe442312976:601681
    6Forest Green4422121076:502678
    7Southend4220121070:403072
    8FC Halifax4419101566:60667
    9Hartlepool4316141347:52-562
    10Woking4315141466:531359
    11Tamworth4416101857:69-1258
    12Wealdstone431591964:70-654
    13Solihull Moors4313131767:68-152
    14Boston Utd4313131756:65-952
    15Altrincham441562350:63-1351
    16Yeovil441562347:61-1451
    17Gateshead441482253:84-3150
    18Sutton4411141958:76-1847
    19Aldershot431372368:81-1346
    20Eastleigh4412102255:79-2446
    21Brackley Town ✔ 449122338:71-3339
    22Morecambe ✔ 449112466:95-2938
    23Braintree ✔ 448122436:69-3336
    24Truro ✔ 447102740:71-3131

          Promotion ~ League Two
          Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Relegation

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Brackley Town is Relegated to
    Morecambe is Relegated to
    Braintree is Relegated to
    Truro is Relegated to