Eastleigh vs Carlisle United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
28/02/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • National League - Round 36
  • Where to Watch on TV:
albaniaAlbaniaDAZN
argentinaArgentinaDAZN
australiaAustraliaDAZN
austriaAustriaDAZN
belarusBelarusDAZN
boliviaBoliviaDAZN
brazilBrazilDAZN Brasil
bulgariaBulgariaDAZN
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
colombiaColombiaDAZN
croatiaCroatiaDAZN
cyprusCyprusDAZN
czech-republicCzech-republicDAZN
denmarkDenmarkDAZN
ecuadorEcuadorDAZN
finlandFinlandDAZN
franceFranceDAZN France
germanyGermanyDAZN Deutsch
greeceGreeceDAZN
hong-kongHong-kongDAZN
hungaryHungaryDAZN
indiaIndiaDAZN
indonesiaIndonesiaDAZN
italyItalyDAZN Italia
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kazakhstanKazakhstanDAZN
latviaLatviaDAZN
lithuaniaLithuaniaDAZN
malaysiaMalaysiaDAZN
mexicoMexicoDAZN
new-zealandNew-zealandDAZN New Zealand
nigeriaNigeriaDAZN
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaDAZN
norwayNorwayDAZN
paraguayParaguayDAZN
philippinesPhilippinesDAZN
polandPolandDAZN
portugalPortugalDAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaDAZN
russiaRussiaDAZN
serbiaSerbiaDAZN
sloveniaSloveniaDAZN
south-africaSouth-africaDAZN
south-koreaSouth-koreaDAZN
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenDAZN
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
taiwanTaiwanDAZN
thailandThailandDAZN
ukraineUkraineDAZN
united-arab-emiratesUnited-arab-emiratesDAZN
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDAZN
uruguayUruguayDAZN
usaUsaDAZN USA
uzbekistanUzbekistanDAZN
venezuelaVenezuelaDAZN
vietnamVietnamDAZN

Match Stats

Ball possession
50%50%
Total shots
78
Shots on target
34
Corner kicks
76
Yellow cards
11
Total shots
78
Shots on target
34
Shots off target
44
Corner kicks
76

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 54', 0 - 1, Kelly G. ,
  • 68', Wariuh A. , Evans K. ,
  • 69', 0 - 2, Wearne S. , Gilliead A. (A),
  • 73', Thomas T. , Mugabi B. ,
  • 73', Armstrong L. , Parker H. ,
  • 74', Blair A. 🟨,
  • 83', Wearne S. 🟨,
  • 87', Ellis J. , Harper C. ,
  • 90+4', 1 - 2, Eweka T. ,

Chances of winning


Eastleigh
22.8%
Draw
25.6%
Carlisle United
51.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
22% 24.5% 53.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.5% 24% 54.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Eastleigh has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
  • Carlisle United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Eastleigh than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carlisle United than the current prediction. (+3%)
  • Eastleigh - Carlisle United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.04
    (4.16)
    3.64
    (3.73)
    1.78
    (1.71)
    8.3%
    (9.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 15 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • In this match, Carlisle is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Eastleigh won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Eastleigh - Carlisle United were as follows:
    15.11.2025 Carlisle United - Eastleigh 1:1
    Latest results of Eastleigh
    25.02.2026 Eastleigh - Truro City 2:1
    21.02.2026 Morecambe - Eastleigh 4:0
    14.02.2026 Eastleigh - Boreham Wood 2:2
    10.02.2026 Solihull Moors - Eastleigh 2:3
    07.02.2026 Eastleigh - Wealdstone 2:2
    Latest results of Carlisle United
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Rochdale (2)Bye
    2Scunthorpe (5)Southend (6)1 : 0
    3Carlisle (3)Bye
    4Boreham Wood (4)Forest Green (7)1 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Rochdale (2)Scunthorpe (5)2 : 1
    2Carlisle (3)Boreham Wood (4)1 : 2

    Final
    1Rochdale (2)Boreham Wood (4)