Carlisle United vs Walsall – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
04/03/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ENGLAND: League Two - Round 35
  • Referee: Marsden P. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.541.12
Ball Possession
51%49%
Goal Attempts
718
Shots on Goal
35
Shots off Goal
210
Blocked Shots
23
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
46
Shots inside the Box
69
Shots outside the Box
19
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
10
Goalkeeper Saves
42
Free Kicks
1110
Offsides
13
Fouls
1011
Yellow Cards
30
Throw-ins
2337
Touches in the Opposition Box
1620
Passes
64% (253/393)68% (242/357)
Passes in the final third
44% (42/96)51% (76/148)
Crosses
14% (2/14)23% (7/30)
Tackles
69% (9/13)53% (8/15)
Clearances Total
3136
Interceptions
73

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 7', 0 - 1, Allen T. , Stirk R. (A),
  • 22', 1 - 1, Hayden A. , Embleton E. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 60', Embleton E. 🟨,
  • 67', Embleton E. , Jones J. ,
  • 67', Whelan C. , Vela J. ,
  • 74', Adomah A. , Amantchi L. ,
  • 80', Guy C. , Patching W. ,
  • 80', Dennis M. , Wearne S. ,
  • 85', Hayden A. 🟨,
  • 90', Matt J. , Johnson D. ,
  • 90+1', Davies A. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Carlisle United
28.6%
Draw
28.7%
Walsall
42.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
28.2% 28.1% 43.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.9% 27.8% 44.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Carlisle United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
  • Walsall has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carlisle United than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Walsall than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
  • Carlisle United - Walsall Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.3
    (3.33)
    3.29
    (3.34)
    2.21
    (2.15)
    5.9%
    (6.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Carlisle United - Walsall?
  • Users Predictions: Walsall will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 55.21%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation ~ National League and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ League One).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Carlisle won 0.
    • The game of competitors is shaky now.
    • Carlisle could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Walsall will have a poor advantage in this game.
    • There will not play in Carlisle: Dummett P. (Inactive) Kelly G. (Inactive) McGeouch D. (Inactive) Williams J. (Injury) Wyke Ch. (Broken ankle)
    • There will not play in Walsall: Daniels D. (Calf Injury) Earing J. (Ankle Injury) Farquharson P. (Thigh Injury) Gordon J. (Hamstring Injury) Hall G. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There are questionable in Carlisle: Barclay B. (Inactive) Jones J. (Inactive) McArthur C. (Inactive)
    • Last 15 head-to-head matches Carlisle won 6 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 12:15 (average 0.8:1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Carlisle won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:5 (average 0.6:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Carlisle United - Walsall were as follows:
    22.10.2024 Walsall - Carlisle United 3:1
    10.04.2023 Walsall - Carlisle United 0:0
    26.11.2022 Walsall - Carlisle United 2:1
    12.11.2022 Carlisle United - Walsall 0:0
    Latest results of Carlisle United
    Latest results of Walsall
    01.03.2025 Walsall - Swindon Town 0:1
    25.02.2025 Cheltenham Town - Walsall 2:2
    22.02.2025 Morecambe - Walsall 0:2
    15.02.2025 Walsall - Chesterfield 3:1
    11.02.2025 Walsall - Gillingham 1:1
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bromley392213462:362679
    2MK Dons392111776:403674
    3Cambridge Utd382012656:282872
    4Notts Co382171065:392670
    5Swindon392161263:451869
    6Salford392141454:48667
    7Grimsby3817111056:401662
    8Chesterfield391614961:52962
    9Crewe391791358:471160
    10Walsall391791348:41760
    11Oldham371513944:311358
    12Barnet3915121249:43657
    13Fleetwood3914121348:46254
    14Colchester3814111350:41953
    15Accrington381391638:42-448
    16Gillingham3811121544:56-1245
    17Bristol Rovers391342240:60-2043
    18Cheltenham381191843:65-2242
    19Shrewsbury391182037:63-2641
    20Tranmere39992148:69-2136
    21Crawley396132036:60-2431
    22Newport39872439:67-2831
    23Harrogate39792329:58-2930
    24Barrow38782336:63-2729

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League