Carlisle United vs Walsall – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
04/03/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ENGLAND: League Two - Round 35
  • Referee: Marsden P. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.541.12
Ball Possession
51%49%
Goal Attempts
718
Shots on Goal
35
Shots off Goal
210
Blocked Shots
23
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
46
Shots inside the Box
69
Shots outside the Box
19
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
10
Goalkeeper Saves
42
Free Kicks
1110
Offsides
13
Fouls
1011
Yellow Cards
30
Throw-ins
2337
Touches in the Opposition Box
1620
Passes
64% (253/393)68% (242/357)
Passes in the final third
44% (42/96)51% (76/148)
Crosses
14% (2/14)23% (7/30)
Tackles
69% (9/13)53% (8/15)
Clearances Total
3136
Interceptions
73

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 7', 0 - 1, Allen T. , Stirk R. (A),
  • 22', 1 - 1, Hayden A. , Embleton E. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 60', Embleton E. 🟨,
  • 67', Embleton E. , Jones J. ,
  • 67', Whelan C. , Vela J. ,
  • 74', Adomah A. , Amantchi L. ,
  • 80', Guy C. , Patching W. ,
  • 80', Dennis M. , Wearne S. ,
  • 85', Hayden A. 🟨,
  • 90', Matt J. , Johnson D. ,
  • 90+1', Davies A. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Carlisle United
28.6%
Draw
28.7%
Walsall
42.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
28.2% 28.1% 43.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.9% 27.8% 44.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Carlisle United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
  • Walsall has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carlisle United than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Walsall than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
  • Carlisle United - Walsall Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.3
    (3.33)
    3.29
    (3.34)
    2.21
    (2.15)
    5.9%
    (6.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Carlisle United - Walsall?
  • Users Predictions: Walsall will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 55.21%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation ~ National League and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ League One).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Carlisle won 0.
    • The game of competitors is shaky now.
    • Carlisle could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Walsall will have a poor advantage in this game.
    • There will not play in Carlisle: Dummett P. (Inactive) Kelly G. (Inactive) McGeouch D. (Inactive) Williams J. (Injury) Wyke Ch. (Broken ankle)
    • There will not play in Walsall: Daniels D. (Calf Injury) Earing J. (Ankle Injury) Farquharson P. (Thigh Injury) Gordon J. (Hamstring Injury) Hall G. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There are questionable in Carlisle: Barclay B. (Inactive) Jones J. (Inactive) McArthur C. (Inactive)
    • Last 15 head-to-head matches Carlisle won 6 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 12:15 (average 0.8:1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Carlisle won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:5 (average 0.6:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Carlisle United - Walsall were as follows:
    22.10.2024 Walsall - Carlisle United 3:1
    10.04.2023 Walsall - Carlisle United 0:0
    26.11.2022 Walsall - Carlisle United 2:1
    12.11.2022 Carlisle United - Walsall 0:0
    Latest results of Carlisle United
    Latest results of Walsall
    01.03.2025 Walsall - Swindon Town 0:1
    25.02.2025 Cheltenham Town - Walsall 2:2
    22.02.2025 Morecambe - Walsall 0:2
    15.02.2025 Walsall - Chesterfield 3:1
    11.02.2025 Walsall - Gillingham 1:1
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bromley432314668:432583
    2MK Dons432213879:433679
    3Cambridge Utd422114762:313177
    4Notts Co432371371:492276
    5Swindon432281367:511674
    6Salford432351557:50774
    7Chesterfield421815964:531169
    8Grimsby4119111162:451768
    9Barnet4318131260:491167
    10Crewe431991563:531066
    11Oldham4217141152:361665
    12Walsall4317111552:50262
    13Colchester4216121456:451160
    14Fleetwood4315131553:54-158
    15Bristol Rovers431742249:63-1455
    16Accrington421491941:48-751
    17Gillingham4212141648:60-1250
    18Shrewsbury431382240:66-2647
    19Cheltenham4112101948:67-1946
    20Tranmere429102349:72-2337
    21Crawley438132241:65-2437
    22Newport431072643:73-3037
    23Barrow42892540:68-2833
    24Harrogate43892635:66-3133

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League