Walsall vs Gillingham – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:2
03/04/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • League Two - Round 41
  • Referee: Davis W. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
2.202.19
Ball possession
59%41%
Total shots
1112
Shots on target
54
Big chances
43
Corner kicks
53
Passes
69% (257/375)58% (154/265)
Yellow cards
02
Expected goals (xG)
2.202.19
xG on target (xGOT)
2.152.64
Total shots
1112
Shots on target
54
Shots off target
46
Blocked shots
22
Shots inside the box
78
Shots outside the box
44
Hit the woodwork
00
Headed goals
10
Big chances
43
Corner kicks
53
Touches in opposition box
1816
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
21
Free kicks
176
Passes
69% (257/375)58% (154/265)
Long passes
33% (31/95)24% (21/88)
Passes in final third
59% (70/119)42% (42/99)
Crosses
17% (4/24)23% (3/13)
Expected assists (xA)
1.220.55
Throw ins
3130
Fouls
617
Tackles
70% (7/10)62% (13/21)
Duels won
6157
Clearances
3335
Interceptions
513
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper saves
22
xGOT faced
2.642.15
Goals prevented
0.640.15

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 21', 1 - 0, Loupalo-Bi A. , Clarke C. (A),
  • 38', Pattison A. , Lakin C. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 50', 1 - 1, Hale R. , McCleary G. (A),
  • 52', Dack B. 🟨,
  • 63', 1 - 2, Palmer-Houlden S. ,
  • 64', Jellis J. , Kanu D. ,
  • 66', 2 - 2, Kanu D. ,
  • 69', Palmer-Houlden S. , Andrews J. ,
  • 74', Loupalo-Bi A. , Adomah A. ,
  • 82', Waldock H. , Williams J. ,
  • 90+4', Gale S. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Walsall
54.4%
Draw
25.9%
Gillingham
19.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.2% 28.5% 27.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.6% 28.2% 27%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Walsall has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Walsall's performance.
  • Gillingham has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gillingham might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Walsall than the current prediction. (-9.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Walsall that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gillingham than the current prediction. (+7.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gillingham could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Walsall - Gillingham Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.73
    (2.1)
    3.6
    (3.26)
    4.68
    (3.41)
    7.1%
    (7.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Walsall - Gillingham?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH -0.75 - Walsall (1.87) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Walsall will win (12 of 12 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Walsall will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Walsall (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 11 and 17).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Walsall won 1.
    • Walsall has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Gillingham is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • In this match, Walsall is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Walsall: Hollman J. (Inactive) Williams H. (Achilles Tendon Injury)
    • There will not play in Gillingham: Antwi C. (Injury) Masterson C. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Gillingham: Coleman E. (Inactive) McKenzie R. (Inactive) Smith J. (Leg Injury)
    • In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Walsall won 6 matches, drew 10 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 24:16. (average 1.3:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Walsall won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:10. (average 1.7:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Walsall - Gillingham were as follows:
    09.08.2025 Gillingham - Walsall 1:0
    22.03.2025 Gillingham - Walsall 0:0
    11.02.2025 Walsall - Gillingham 1:1
    03.02.2024 Gillingham - Walsall 1:1
    14.10.2023 Walsall - Gillingham 4:1
    Latest results of Walsall
    21.03.2026 Walsall - Newport County 2:1
    17.03.2026 Walsall - Cambridge United 0:0
    14.03.2026 Crewe Alexandra - Walsall 0:3
    10.03.2026 Salford City - Walsall 1:0
    Latest results of Gillingham
    English League Two Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bromley ✔ 462415771:462587
    2MK Dons ✔ 462414886:454186
    3Cambridge Utd462216866:333382
    4Salford462561561:511081
    5Notts Co462481474:522280
    6Chesterfield462116971:561579
    7Grimsby4622121274:502478
    8Barnet4621131270:531776
    9Swindon462291570:591175
    10Oldham4618141460:441668
    11Crewe4619101764:58667
    12Colchester4618121662:491366
    13Walsall4618111756:56065
    14Bristol Rovers461952256:65-962
    15Fleetwood4615161557:58-161
    16Accrington4614112147:58-1153
    17Gillingham4613141953:72-1953
    18Cheltenham4614102253:79-2652
    19Shrewsbury4613102342:69-2749
    20Newport461272748:77-2943
    21Tranmere4610112554:79-2541
    22Crawley468162244:68-2440
    23Harrogate461092739:68-2939
    24Barrow46992845:78-3336

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Bromley is Qualified for League One
    MK Dons is Qualified for League One