Carlisle United vs Walsall – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
04/03/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ENGLAND: League Two - Round 35
  • Referee: Marsden P. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.541.12
Ball Possession
51%49%
Goal Attempts
718
Shots on Goal
35
Shots off Goal
210
Blocked Shots
23
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
46
Shots inside the Box
69
Shots outside the Box
19
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
10
Goalkeeper Saves
42
Free Kicks
1110
Offsides
13
Fouls
1011
Yellow Cards
30
Throw-ins
2337
Touches in the Opposition Box
1620
Passes
64% (253/393)68% (242/357)
Passes in the final third
44% (42/96)51% (76/148)
Crosses
14% (2/14)23% (7/30)
Tackles
69% (9/13)53% (8/15)
Clearances Total
3136
Interceptions
73

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 7', 0 - 1, Allen T. , Stirk R. (A),
  • 22', 1 - 1, Hayden A. , Embleton E. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 60', Embleton E. 🟨,
  • 67', Embleton E. , Jones J. ,
  • 67', Whelan C. , Vela J. ,
  • 74', Adomah A. , Amantchi L. ,
  • 80', Guy C. , Patching W. ,
  • 80', Dennis M. , Wearne S. ,
  • 85', Hayden A. 🟨,
  • 90', Matt J. , Johnson D. ,
  • 90+1', Davies A. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Carlisle United
28.6%
Draw
28.7%
Walsall
42.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
28.2% 28.1% 43.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.9% 27.8% 44.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Carlisle United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
  • Walsall has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carlisle United than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Walsall than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
  • Carlisle United - Walsall Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.3
    (3.33)
    3.29
    (3.34)
    2.21
    (2.15)
    5.9%
    (6.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Carlisle United - Walsall?
  • Users Predictions: Walsall will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 55.21%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation ~ National League and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ League One).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Carlisle won 0.
    • The game of competitors is shaky now.
    • Carlisle could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Walsall will have a poor advantage in this game.
    • There will not play in Carlisle: Dummett P. (Inactive) Kelly G. (Inactive) McGeouch D. (Inactive) Williams J. (Injury) Wyke Ch. (Broken ankle)
    • There will not play in Walsall: Daniels D. (Calf Injury) Earing J. (Ankle Injury) Farquharson P. (Thigh Injury) Gordon J. (Hamstring Injury) Hall G. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There are questionable in Carlisle: Barclay B. (Inactive) Jones J. (Inactive) McArthur C. (Inactive)
    • Last 15 head-to-head matches Carlisle won 6 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 12:15 (average 0.8:1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Carlisle won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:5 (average 0.6:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Carlisle United - Walsall were as follows:
    22.10.2024 Walsall - Carlisle United 3:1
    10.04.2023 Walsall - Carlisle United 0:0
    26.11.2022 Walsall - Carlisle United 2:1
    12.11.2022 Carlisle United - Walsall 0:0
    Latest results of Carlisle United
    Latest results of Walsall
    01.03.2025 Walsall - Swindon Town 0:1
    25.02.2025 Cheltenham Town - Walsall 2:2
    22.02.2025 Morecambe - Walsall 0:2
    15.02.2025 Walsall - Chesterfield 3:1
    11.02.2025 Walsall - Gillingham 1:1
    English League Two Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bromley ✔ 462415771:462587
    2MK Dons ✔ 462414886:454186
    3Cambridge Utd462216866:333382
    4Salford462561561:511081
    5Notts Co462481474:522280
    6Chesterfield462116971:561579
    7Grimsby4622121274:502478
    8Barnet4621131270:531776
    9Swindon462291570:591175
    10Oldham4618141460:441668
    11Crewe4619101764:58667
    12Colchester4618121662:491366
    13Walsall4618111756:56065
    14Bristol Rovers461952256:65-962
    15Fleetwood4615161557:58-161
    16Accrington4614112147:58-1153
    17Gillingham4613141953:72-1953
    18Cheltenham4614102253:79-2652
    19Shrewsbury4613102342:69-2749
    20Newport461272748:77-2943
    21Tranmere4610112554:79-2541
    22Crawley468162244:68-2440
    23Harrogate461092739:68-2939
    24Barrow46992845:78-3336

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Bromley is Qualified for League One
    MK Dons is Qualified for League One