Francisco Cerundolo vs Carlos Alcaraz Garfia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

09/04/2025 at 08:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

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ATP - SINGLES: Monte Carlo, clay - 1/16-finals

Match Stats


Aces
2	1
Double Faults
5	3
1st Serve Percentage
60%	54%
1st Serve Points Won
52% (17/33)	68% (28/41)
2nd Serve Points Won
41% (9/22)	54% (19/35)
Break Points Saved
25% (2/8)	71% (5/7)
1st Return Points Won
32% (13/41)	48% (16/33)
2nd Return Points Won
46% (16/35)	59% (13/22)
Break Points Converted
29% (2/7)	75% (6/8)
Winners
11	19
Unforced Errors
31	31
Net Points Won
14% (1/7)	73% (8/11)
Service Points Won
47% (26/55)	62% (47/76)
Return Points Won
38% (29/76)	53% (29/55)
Total Points Won
42% (55/131)	58% (76/131)
Last 10 Balls
3	7
Match Points Saved
2	0
Service Games Won
45% (5/11)	82% (9/11)
Return Games Won
18% (2/11)	55% (6/11)
Total Games Won
32% (7/22)	68% (15/22)

Chances of winning

Francisco Cerundolo
27.9%

Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
72.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.6%

80.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Francisco Cerundolo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Francisco Cerundolo's performance.

Carlos Alcaraz Garfia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Carlos Alcaraz Garfia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Francisco Cerundolo - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.44 ↓ (4.81)		1.31 ↑ (1.17)	5.5% (6.3%)

What is the prediction for Francisco Cerundolo - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia?

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Cerundolo will win (votes: 7 - 43.8%). Alcaraz Garfia will win (votes: 9 - 56.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Alcaraz Garfia: 32% – 80.6%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Cerundolo (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Alcaraz Garfia (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.

Preview Facts

Cerundolo is ranked ATP: 22. Alcaraz Garfia is ranked ATP: 3.
Cerundolo is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Recent matches Alcaraz Garfia is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Cerundolo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Alcaraz Garfia is a favorite.
Last 3 head-to-head matches Cerundolo won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2:4 (average 0.7:1.3).

How many head-to-head matches has Francisco Cerundolo won against Carlos Alcaraz Garfia?

Francisco Cerundolo has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Carlos Alcaraz Garfia won against Francisco Cerundolo?

Carlos Alcaraz Garfia has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Francisco Cerundolo - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia were as follows:

13.03.2025 Francisco Cerundolo - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia 0:2

18.06.2024 Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Francisco Cerundolo 2:0

Latest results of Francisco Cerundolo

07.04.2025 Fabio Fognini - Francisco Cerundolo 0:2 ✺

26.03.2025 Francisco Cerundolo - Grigor Dimitrov 1:2 ✺

25.03.2025 Casper Ruud - Francisco Cerundolo 0:2 ✺

23.03.2025 Francisco Cerundolo - Tommy Paul 2:0 ✺

21.03.2025 Francisco Cerundolo - Alexandre Muller 2:0 ✺

Latest results of Carlos Alcaraz Garfia

21.03.2025 David Goffin - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia 2:1 ✺

15.03.2025 Jack Draper - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia 2:1 ✺

13.03.2025 Francisco Cerundolo - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia 0:2 ✺

12.03.2025 Grigor Dimitrov - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia 0:2 ✺

10.03.2025 Denis Shapovalov - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia 0:2 ✺

Draw

Singles - Main

1/32-finals

1	Zverev A. (1)	Bye
2	Navone M. (Q)	Berrettini M.	0 : 2
3	Lehecka J.	Korda S.	2 : 0
4	Bu Y. (Q)	Musetti L. (13)	1 : 2
5	Rune H. (RET.) (10)	Borges N.	0 : 1
6	Sonego L.	Martinez P.	1 : 2
7	Thompson J.	Mpetshi Perricard G.	2 : 0
8	Bye	Tsitsipas S. (6)
9	Djokovic N. (3)	Bye
10	Wawrinka S. (WC)	Tabilo A.	1 : 2
11	Struff J-L.	Vacherot V. (WC)	0 : 2
12	Jarry N.	Dimitrov G. (15)	0 : 2
13	Medvedev D. (9)	Khachanov K.	2 : 1
14	Muller A.	Ugo Carabelli C. (Q)	2 : 0
15	Machac T.	Baez S.	2 : 1
16	Bye	De Minaur A. (8)
17	Draper J. (5)	Bye
18	Giron M.	Shapovalov D.	2 : 0
19	Etcheverry T. M.	Moutet C. (Q)	2 : 1
20	Davidovich Fokina A.	Shelton B. (11)	2 : 1
21	Tiafoe F. (14)	Kecmanovic M.	2 : 1
22	Popyrin A.	Humbert U.	2 : 1
23	Bautista-Agut R.	Nakashima B.	2 : 0
24	Bye	Ruud C. (4)
25	Rublev A. (7)	Bye
26	Monfils G.	Marozsan F. (Q)	2 : 1
27	Lajovic D. (Q)	Cobolli F.	0 : 2
28	Griekspoor T.	Fils A. (12)	1 : 2
29	Auger-Aliassime F. (16)	Altmaier D. (Q)	0 : 2
30	Arnaldi M.	Gasquet R. (WC)	1 : 2
31	Fognini F. (WC)	Cerundolo F.	0 : 2
32	Bye	Alcaraz C. (2)

1/16-finals

1	Zverev A. (1)	Berrettini M.	1 : 2
2	Lehecka J.	Musetti L. (13)	1 : 2
3	Borges N.	Martinez P.	2 : 1
4	Thompson J.	Tsitsipas S. (6)	1 : 2
5	Djokovic N. (3)	Tabilo A.	0 : 2
6	Vacherot V.	Dimitrov G. (15)	1 : 2
7	Medvedev D. (9)	Muller A.	2 : 1
8	Machac T.	De Minaur A. (8)	1 : 2
9	Draper J. (5)	Giron M.	2 : 0
10	Etcheverry T. M.	Davidovich Fokina A.	0 : 2
11	Tiafoe F. (14)	Popyrin A.	1 : 2
12	Bautista-Agut R.	Ruud C. (4)	0 : 2
13	Rublev A. (7)	Monfils G.	2 : 0
14	Cobolli F.	Fils A. (12)	0 : 2
15	Altmaier D.	Gasquet R.	2 : 1
16	Cerundolo F.	Alcaraz C. (2)	1 : 2

1/8-finals

1	Berrettini M.	Musetti L. (13)	0 : 2
2	Borges N.	Tsitsipas S. (6)	0 : 2
3	Tabilo A.	Dimitrov G. (15)	1 : 2
4	Medvedev D. (9)	De Minaur A. (8)	0 : 2
5	Draper J. (5)	Davidovich Fokina A.	1 : 2
6	Popyrin A.	Ruud C. (4)	2 : 1
7	Rublev A. (7)	Fils A. (12)	0 : 2
8	Altmaier D.	Alcaraz C. (2)	0 : 2

Quarter-finals

1	Musetti L. (13)	Tsitsipas S. (6)	2 : 1
2	Dimitrov G. (15)	De Minaur A. (8)	0 : 2
3	Davidovich Fokina A.	Popyrin A.	2 : 0
4	Fils A. (12)	Alcaraz C. (2)	1 : 2

Semi-finals

1	Musetti L. (13)	De Minaur A. (8)	2 : 1
2	Davidovich Fokina A.	Alcaraz C. (2)	0 : 2

Final

1

Musetti L. (13)

Alcaraz C. (2)

1 : 2