Result
3:1
13/07/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ATP - SINGLES: Wimbledon, grass - Final
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 8 | 15 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| 1st Serve Percentage |
|---|
| 62% | 53% |
| 1st Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 74% (54/73) | 75% (48/64) |
| 2nd Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 61% (27/44) | 51% (29/57) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 67% (4/6) | 56% (5/9) |
| 1st Return Points Won |
|---|
| 25% (16/64) | 26% (19/73) |
| 2nd Return Points Won |
|---|
| 49% (28/57) | 39% (17/44) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 44% (4/9) | 33% (2/6) |
| Winners |
|---|
| 40 | 38 |
| Unforced Errors |
|---|
| 40 | 36 |
| Net Points Won |
|---|
| 75% (30/40) | 74% (17/23) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 69% (81/117) | 64% (77/121) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 36% (44/121) | 31% (36/117) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 53% (125/238) | 47% (113/238) |
| Last 10 Balls |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Match Points Saved |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Service Games Won |
|---|
| 90% (18/20) | 80% (16/20) |
| Return Games Won |
|---|
| 20% (4/20) | 10% (2/20) |
| Total Games Won |
|---|
| 55% (22/40) | 45% (18/40) |
| Distance Covered (metres) |
|---|
| 8041 | 8282 |
Chances of winning
Jannik Sinner
50.4% | Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
49.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Jannik Sinner has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)Carlos Alcaraz Garfia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jannik Sinner than the current prediction. (-6.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jannik Sinner that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carlos Alcaraz Garfia than the current prediction. (+6.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Carlos Alcaraz Garfia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Jannik Sinner - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.91 ↓
(2.06) |
|
1.95 ↑
(1.76) |
3.7%
(5.3%) | |
What is the prediction for Jannik Sinner - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia?
Users Predictions:
99 users predict this event. Sinner will win (votes: 63 - 63.6%). Alcaraz Garfia will win (votes: 36 - 36.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sinner: 54.1% – 73.1%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 30 high ROI users predict this event. Sinner (votes: 19 - 63.3%). Alcaraz Garfia (votes: 11 - 36.7%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 3.5 Sets - over (votes: 4 - 100%).
- H/A, 1st Set - Alcaraz Garfia (votes: 4 - 100%).
- AH +1 Games - Alcaraz Garfia (votes: 3 - 100%).
- AH 0 Games - Alcaraz Garfia (votes: 4 - 100%).
- AH -0.5 Games - Alcaraz Garfia (votes: 4 - 100%).
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:1.
Preview Facts
- Sinner is ranked ATP: 1. Alcaraz Garfia is ranked ATP: 2.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sinner won 1.
- In recent matches, both players have secured multiple victories.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Sinner won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 20:25. (average 1.4:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Jannik Sinner won against Carlos Alcaraz Garfia?
Jannik Sinner has won 3 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Carlos Alcaraz Garfia won against Jannik Sinner?
Carlos Alcaraz Garfia has won 7 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Jannik Sinner - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia were as follows:
08.06.2025
Jannik Sinner
-
Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
2:3
18.05.2025
Jannik Sinner
-
Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
0:2
19.10.2024
Jannik Sinner
-
Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
2:1
02.10.2024
Jannik Sinner
-
Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
1:2
07.06.2024
Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
-
Jannik Sinner
3:2
Latest results of Jannik Sinner
Latest results of Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
Draw
Singles - Main1/64-finals| 1 | Sinner J. (1) | Nardi L. | 3 : 0 |
| 2 | Tseng C. H. | Vukic A. | 1 : 3 |
| 3 | Martinez P. | Loffhagen G. (WC) | 3 : 1 |
| 4 | Navone M. | Shapovalov D. (27) | 3 : 1 |
| 5 | Dimitrov G. (19) | Nishioka Y. | 3 : 0 |
| 6 | Comesana F. | Moutet C. | 0 : 3 |
| 7 | Ofner S. | Medjedovic H. (RET.) | 1 : 0 |
| 8 | Monday J. (WC) | Paul T. (13) | 0 : 3 |
| 9 | Shelton B. (10) | Bolt A. (Q) | 3 : 0 |
| 10 | Hijikata R. | Goffin D. | 3 : 0 |
| 11 | Kovacevic A. | Fucsovics M. (LL) | 2 : 3 |
| 12 | Monfils G. | Humbert U. (18) | 3 : 2 |
| 13 | Nakashima B. (29) | Bu Y. | 3 : 1 |
| 14 | Shevchenko A. | Opelka R. | 0 : 3 |
| 15 | Faria J. (Q) | Sonego L. | 0 : 3 |
| 16 | Basilashvili N. (Q) | Musetti L. (7) | 3 : 1 |
| 17 | Draper J. (4) | Baez S. (RET.) | 2 : 0 |
| 18 | Collignon R. | Cilic M. | 0 : 3 |
| 19 | McCabe J. (Q) | Marozsan F. | 0 : 3 |
| 20 | Munar J. | Bublik A. (28) | 3 : 2 |
| 21 | Cobolli F. (22) | Zhukayev B. (Q) | 3 : 0 |
| 22 | Etcheverry T. M. | Pinnington Jones J. (WC) | 0 : 3 |
| 23 | Giron M. | Ugo Carabelli C. | 3 : 0 |
| 24 | Gaston H. | Mensik J. (15) | 1 : 3 |
| 25 | De Minaur A. (11) | Carballes Baena R. | 3 : 0 |
| 26 | Cazaux A. (Q) | Walton A. | 3 : 2 |
| 27 | Halys Q. | Holmgren A. (Q) | 0 : 3 |
| 28 | Dzumhur D. | Machac T. (21) | 0 : 3 |
| 29 | Michelsen A. (30) | Kecmanovic M. | 2 : 3 |
| 30 | De Jong J. | Eubanks C. | 3 : 2 |
| 31 | Evans D. (WC) | Clarke J. (WC) | 3 : 0 |
| 32 | Muller A. | Djokovic N. (6) | 1 : 3 |
| 33 | Fritz T. (5) | Mpetshi Perricard G. | 3 : 2 |
| 34 | Diallo G. | Altmaier D. | 3 : 0 |
| 35 | Arnaldi M. | Van De Zandschulp B. | 0 : 3 |
| 36 | Holt B. | Davidovich Fokina A. (26) | 0 : 3 |
| 37 | Popyrin A. (20) | Fery A. (WC) | 1 : 3 |
| 38 | Darderi L. | Safiullin R. | 3 : 2 |
| 39 | Kopriva V. | Thompson J. | 2 : 3 |
| 40 | Bonzi B. | Medvedev D. (9) | 3 : 1 |
| 41 | Cerundolo F. (16) | Borges N. | 1 : 3 |
| 42 | Harris B. | Lajovic D. (LL) | 3 : 0 |
| 43 | Mochizuki S. (Q) | Zeppieri G. (Q) | 3 : 2 |
| 44 | McDonald M. | Khachanov K. (17) | 0 : 3 |
| 45 | Berrettini M. (32) | Majchrzak K. | 2 : 3 |
| 46 | Quinn E. | Searle H. (WC) | 3 : 1 |
| 47 | Garin C. (LL) | Rodesch C. (Q) | 3 : 0 |
| 48 | Rinderknech A. | Zverev A. (3) | 3 : 2 |
| 49 | Rune H. (8) | Jarry N. (Q) | 2 : 3 |
| 50 | Tien L. | Basavareddy N. | 3 : 0 |
| 51 | Fearnley J. | Fonseca J. | 0 : 3 |
| 52 | Brooksby J. | Griekspoor T. (31) | 3 : 0 |
| 53 | Lehecka J. (23) | Dellien H. | 3 : 1 |
| 54 | Bellucci M. | Crawford O. (WC) | 3 : 1 |
| 55 | Norrie C. | Bautista-Agut R. | 3 : 1 |
| 56 | Moller E. | Tiafoe F. (12) | 0 : 3 |
| 57 | Rublev A. (14) | Djere L. | 3 : 1 |
| 58 | Bergs Z. | Harris L. | 1 : 3 |
| 59 | Mannarino A. (Q) | O'Connell C. | 3 : 0 |
| 60 | Royer V. (Q) | Tsitsipas S. (RET.) (24) | 2 : 0 |
| 61 | Auger-Aliassime F. (25) | Duckworth J. | 3 : 2 |
| 62 | Struff J-L. | Misolic F. (Q) | 3 : 1 |
| 63 | Tarvet O. (Q) | Riedi L. (Q) | 3 : 0 |
| 64 | Fognini F. | Alcaraz C. (2) | 2 : 3 |
1/32-finals| 1 | Sinner J. (1) | Vukic A. | 3 : 0 |
| 2 | Martinez P. | Navone M. | 3 : 0 |
| 3 | Dimitrov G. (19) | Moutet C. | 3 : 1 |
| 4 | Ofner S. | Paul T. (13) | 3 : 1 |
| 5 | Shelton B. (10) | Hijikata R. | 3 : 0 |
| 6 | Fucsovics M. | Monfils G. | 3 : 2 |
| 7 | Nakashima B. (29) | Opelka R. | 3 : 1 |
| 8 | Sonego L. | Basilashvili N. | 3 : 1 |
| 9 | Draper J. (4) | Cilic M. | 1 : 3 |
| 10 | Marozsan F. | Munar J. | 0 : 3 |
| 11 | Cobolli F. (22) | Pinnington Jones J. | 3 : 0 |
| 12 | Giron M. | Mensik J. (15) | 1 : 3 |
| 13 | De Minaur A. (11) | Cazaux A. | 3 : 1 |
| 14 | Holmgren A. | Machac T. (21) | 3 : 2 |
| 15 | Kecmanovic M. | De Jong J. | 3 : 1 |
| 16 | Evans D. | Djokovic N. (6) | 0 : 3 |
| 17 | Fritz T. (5) | Diallo G. | 3 : 2 |
| 18 | Van De Zandschulp B. | Davidovich Fokina A. (26) | 1 : 3 |
| 19 | Fery A. | Darderi L. | 0 : 3 |
| 20 | Thompson J. | Bonzi B. | 3 : 2 |
| 21 | Borges N. | Harris B. | 3 : 0 |
| 22 | Mochizuki S. | Khachanov K. (17) | 2 : 3 |
| 23 | Majchrzak K. | Quinn E. | 3 : 0 |
| 24 | Garin C. | Rinderknech A. | 2 : 3 |
| 25 | Jarry N. | Tien L. | 3 : 0 |
| 26 | Fonseca J. | Brooksby J. | 3 : 1 |
| 27 | Lehecka J. (23) | Bellucci M. | 0 : 3 |
| 28 | Norrie C. | Tiafoe F. (12) | 3 : 1 |
| 29 | Rublev A. (14) | Harris L. | 3 : 1 |
| 30 | Mannarino A. | Royer V. | 3 : 1 |
| 31 | Auger-Aliassime F. (25) | Struff J-L. | 1 : 3 |
| 32 | Tarvet O. | Alcaraz C. (2) | 0 : 3 |
1/16-finals| 1 | Sinner J. (1) | Martinez P. | 3 : 0 |
| 2 | Dimitrov G. (19) | Ofner S. | 3 : 0 |
| 3 | Shelton B. (10) | Fucsovics M. | 3 : 0 |
| 4 | Nakashima B. (29) | Sonego L. | 2 : 3 |
| 5 | Cilic M. | Munar J. | 3 : 1 |
| 6 | Cobolli F. (22) | Mensik J. (15) | 3 : 0 |
| 7 | De Minaur A. (11) | Holmgren A. | 3 : 0 |
| 8 | Kecmanovic M. | Djokovic N. (6) | 0 : 3 |
| 9 | Fritz T. (5) | Davidovich Fokina A. (26) | 3 : 1 |
| 10 | Darderi L. | Thompson J. | 1 : 3 |
| 11 | Borges N. | Khachanov K. (17) | 2 : 3 |
| 12 | Majchrzak K. | Rinderknech A. | 3 : 0 |
| 13 | Jarry N. | Fonseca J. | 3 : 1 |
| 14 | Bellucci M. | Norrie C. | 0 : 3 |
| 15 | Rublev A. (14) | Mannarino A. | 3 : 0 |
| 16 | Struff J-L. | Alcaraz C. (2) | 1 : 3 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Sinner J. (1) | Dimitrov G. (RET.) (19) | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Shelton B. (10) | Sonego L. | 3 : 1 |
| 3 | Cilic M. | Cobolli F. (22) | 1 : 3 |
| 4 | De Minaur A. (11) | Djokovic N. (6) | 1 : 3 |
| 5 | Fritz T. (5) | Thompson J. (RET.) | 1 : 0 |
| 6 | Khachanov K. (17) | Majchrzak K. | 3 : 0 |
| 7 | Jarry N. | Norrie C. | 2 : 3 |
| 8 | Rublev A. (14) | Alcaraz C. (2) | 1 : 3 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Sinner J. (1) | Shelton B. (10) | 3 : 0 |
| 2 | Cobolli F. (22) | Djokovic N. (6) | 1 : 3 |
| 3 | Fritz T. (5) | Khachanov K. (17) | 3 : 1 |
| 4 | Norrie C. | Alcaraz C. (2) | 0 : 3 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Sinner J. (1) | Djokovic N. (6) | 3 : 0 |
| 2 | Fritz T. (5) | Alcaraz C. (2) | 1 : 3 |
Final| 1 | Sinner J. (1) | Alcaraz C. (2) | 3 : 1 |
