Result
0:2
18/10/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- EXHIBITION - MEN: Six Kings Slam, hard - Final
- Referee: Ramos C. (Por)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| 1st Serve Percentage |
|---|
| 61% | 61% |
| 1st Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 61% (22/36) | 81% (22/27) |
| 2nd Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 52% (12/23) | 82% (14/17) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 70% (7/10) | 0% (0/0) |
| 1st Return Points Won |
|---|
| 19% (5/27) | 39% (14/36) |
| 2nd Return Points Won |
|---|
| 18% (3/17) | 48% (11/23) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 0% (0/0) | 30% (3/10) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 57% (35/61) | 82% (36/44) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 18% (8/44) | 43% (26/61) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 41% (43/105) | 59% (62/105) |
| Last 10 Balls |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Match Points Saved |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Service Games Won |
|---|
| 67% (6/9) | 100% (9/9) |
| Return Games Won |
|---|
| 0% (0/9) | 33% (3/9) |
| Total Games Won |
|---|
| 33% (6/18) | 67% (12/18) |
Chances of winning
Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
41.1% | Jannik Sinner
58.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Carlos Alcaraz Garfia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Carlos Alcaraz Garfia's form might have worsened.Jannik Sinner has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Jannik Sinner's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carlos Alcaraz Garfia than the current prediction. (+4.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jannik Sinner than the current prediction. (-4.6%)
Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Jannik Sinner Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.48 ↑
(2.03) |
|
1.73 ↓
(1.82) |
-1.7%
(4.3%) | |
What is the prediction for Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Jannik Sinner?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Alcaraz Garfia (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Sinner (votes: 4 - 66.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- Alcaraz Garfia is ranked ATP: 1. Sinner is ranked ATP: 2.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alcaraz Garfia won 3.
- Alcaraz Garfia is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Sinner is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Alcaraz Garfia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Alcaraz Garfia won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 29:24. (average 1.7:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Carlos Alcaraz Garfia won against Jannik Sinner?
Carlos Alcaraz Garfia has won 8 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Jannik Sinner won against Carlos Alcaraz Garfia?
Jannik Sinner has won 5 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Jannik Sinner were as follows:
07.09.2025
Jannik Sinner
-
Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
1:3
18.08.2025
Jannik Sinner
-
Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
Sinner J. retired
13.07.2025
Jannik Sinner
-
Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
3:1
08.06.2025
Jannik Sinner
-
Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
2:3
18.05.2025
Jannik Sinner
-
Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
0:2
Latest results of Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
Latest results of Jannik Sinner
Draw
2025Quarter-finals| 1 | Alcaraz C. | Bye | |
| 2 | Fritz T. | Zverev A. | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Tsitsipas S. | Sinner J. | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Bye | Djokovic N. | |
Semi-finals| 1 | Alcaraz C. | Fritz T. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Sinner J. | Djokovic N. | 2 : 0 |
Final| 1 | Alcaraz C. | Sinner J. | 0 : 2 |
3rd place| 2 | Fritz T. | Djokovic N. (RET.) | 1 : 0 |
