Result
0:2
16/11/2025 at 12:10 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- ATP - SINGLES: Finals - Turin - Play Offs, hard - Final
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | beIN Sports 1 |
 Brazil | ESPN 2, ESPN 3 |
 Bulgaria | Max Sport 1 |
 Czech-republic | Oneplay, Premier Sport 1 |
 Denmark | TV2 Play |
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1 |
 France | Eurosport 1 |
 Germany | Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top Event |
 Hungary | Match 4 |
 Netherlands | Ziggo Sport 4 |
 Poland | Polsat Sport 3 |
 Portugal | Sport TV6 |
 Romania | Digi Sport 2, Prima Sport 3 |
 Sweden | TV4 Tennis |
 Ukraine | Setanta Sports Premium |
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports Tennis |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| 1st Serve Percentage |
|---|
| 68% | 55% |
| 1st Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 73% (36/49) | 84% (36/43) |
| 2nd Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 57% (13/23) | 54% (19/35) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 0% (0/2) | 67% (2/3) |
| Average 1st Serve Speed |
|---|
| 201 km/h | 204 km/h |
| Average 2nd Serve Speed |
|---|
| 173 km/h | 164 km/h |
| 1st Return Points Won |
|---|
| 16% (7/43) | 27% (13/49) |
| 2nd Return Points Won |
|---|
| 46% (16/35) | 43% (10/23) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 33% (1/3) | 100% (2/2) |
| Winners |
|---|
| 28 | 26 |
| Unforced Errors |
|---|
| 25 | 24 |
| Net Points Won |
|---|
| 50% (10/20) | 80% (12/15) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 68% (49/72) | 71% (55/78) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 29% (23/78) | 32% (23/72) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 48% (72/150) | 52% (78/150) |
| Last 10 Balls |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Match Points Saved |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Service Games Won |
|---|
| 83% (10/12) | 92% (11/12) |
| Return Games Won |
|---|
| 8% (1/12) | 17% (2/12) |
| Total Games Won |
|---|
| 46% (11/24) | 54% (13/24) |
Chances of winning
Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
38.1% | Jannik Sinner
61.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Jannik Sinner Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.53 ↑
(2.5) |
|
1.55 ↑
(1.53) |
4%
(5.4%) | |
What is the prediction for Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Jannik Sinner?
Users Predictions:
40 users predict this event. Alcaraz Garfia will win (votes: 16 - 40%). Sinner will win (votes: 24 - 60%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sinner: 44.8% – 75.2%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 12 high ROI users predict this event. Alcaraz Garfia (votes: 4 - 33.3%). Sinner (votes: 8 - 66.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- Alcaraz Garfia is ranked ATP: 1. Sinner is ranked ATP: 2.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alcaraz Garfia won 2.
- In recent matches, both players have secured multiple victories.
- Sinner may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Sinner might have a minor edge in this game.
- We predict that Sinner will win today's game, with odds of 1.58.
- In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Alcaraz Garfia won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 29:26. (average 1.6:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Carlos Alcaraz Garfia won against Jannik Sinner?
Carlos Alcaraz Garfia has won 8 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Jannik Sinner won against Carlos Alcaraz Garfia?
Jannik Sinner has won 6 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Jannik Sinner were as follows:
18.10.2025
Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
-
Jannik Sinner
0:2
07.09.2025
Jannik Sinner
-
Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
1:3
18.08.2025
Jannik Sinner
-
Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
Sinner J. retired
13.07.2025
Jannik Sinner
-
Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
3:1
08.06.2025
Jannik Sinner
-
Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
2:3
Latest results of Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
Latest results of Jannik Sinner
Draw
Singles - Play OffsSemi-finals| 1 | Alcaraz C. (1) | Auger-Aliassime F. (8) | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Sinner J. (2) | De Minaur A. (7) | 2 : 0 |
Final| 1 | Alcaraz C. (1) | Sinner J. (2) | 0 : 2 |
