Result
Sinner J. retired
18/08/2025 at 15:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ATP - SINGLES: Cincinnati, hard - Final
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
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 Germany | Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top Event |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 6 |
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 Slovakia | Voyo |
 Sweden | TV4 Play, TV4 Tennis |
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports Tennis |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| 1st Serve Percentage |
|---|
| 53% | 46% |
| 1st Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 44% (4/9) | 83% (5/6) |
| 2nd Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 0% (0/8) | 57% (4/7) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 50% (3/6) | 0% (0/0) |
| Average 1st Serve Speed |
|---|
| 201 km/h | 197 km/h |
| Average 2nd Serve Speed |
|---|
| 169 km/h | 159 km/h |
| 1st Return Points Won |
|---|
| 50% (3/6) | 78% (7/9) |
| 2nd Return Points Won |
|---|
| 43% (3/7) | 100% (8/8) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 0% (0/0) | 50% (3/6) |
| Winners |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Unforced Errors |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Net Points Won |
|---|
| 0% (0/1) | 0% (0/0) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 25% (4/16) | 69% (9/13) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 31% (4/13) | 75% (12/16) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 28% (8/29) | 72% (21/29) |
| Last 10 Balls |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Match Points Saved |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Service Games Won |
|---|
| 0% (0/3) | 100% (2/2) |
| Return Games Won |
|---|
| 0% (0/2) | 100% (3/3) |
| Total Games Won |
|---|
| 0% (0/5) | 100% (5/5) |
Chances of winning
Jannik Sinner
62.9% | Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
37.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Jannik Sinner has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)Carlos Alcaraz Garfia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jannik Sinner than the current prediction. (+2.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carlos Alcaraz Garfia than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
Jannik Sinner - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.53 ↓
(1.58) |
|
2.57 ↑
(2.39) |
4.2%
(5.4%) | |
What is the prediction for Jannik Sinner - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia?
Users Predictions:
53 users predict this event. Sinner will win (votes: 36 - 67.9%). Alcaraz Garfia will win (votes: 17 - 32.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sinner: 55.3% – 80.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Jannik Sinner will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Sinner is ranked ATP: 1. Alcaraz Garfia is ranked ATP: 2.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sinner won 2.
- In recent matches, both players have secured multiple victories.
- Sinner may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Sinner will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- We predict that Sinner will win today's game, with odds of 1.55.
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Sinner won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 23:26. (average 1.5:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Jannik Sinner won against Carlos Alcaraz Garfia?
Jannik Sinner has won 4 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Carlos Alcaraz Garfia won against Jannik Sinner?
Carlos Alcaraz Garfia has won 7 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Jannik Sinner - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia were as follows:
13.07.2025
Jannik Sinner
-
Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
3:1
08.06.2025
Jannik Sinner
-
Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
2:3
18.05.2025
Jannik Sinner
-
Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
0:2
19.10.2024
Jannik Sinner
-
Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
2:1
02.10.2024
Jannik Sinner
-
Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
1:2
Latest results of Jannik Sinner
Latest results of Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
Draw
Singles - Main1/64-finals| 1 | Sinner J. (1) | Bye | |
| 2 | Galan D. E. (Q) | Kopriva V. | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Baez S. | Goffin D. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Bye | Diallo G. (30) | |
| 5 | Machac T. (19) | Bye | |
| 6 | Thompson J. | Mannarino A. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Martinez P. | Jarry N. (WC) | 2 : 1 |
| 8 | Bye | Paul T. (13) | |
| 9 | Ruud C. (11) | Bye | |
| 10 | Rinderknech A. | Borges N. | 2 : 0 |
| 11 | Etcheverry T. M. | Shang J. | 2 : 1 |
| 12 | Bye | Auger-Aliassime F. (23) | |
| 13 | Tsitsipas S. (25) | Bye | |
| 14 | Smith C. (Q) | Marozsan F. | 1 : 2 |
| 15 | Bonzi B. | Arnaldi M. | 2 : 1 |
| 16 | Bye | Musetti L. (8) | |
| 17 | Fritz T. (4) | Bye | |
| 18 | Coric B. | Nava E. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 19 | Bergs Z. | Fearnley J. | 2 : 0 |
| 20 | Bye | Sonego L. (31) | |
| 21 | Davidovich Fokina A. (17) | Bye | |
| 22 | Fonseca J. | Bu Y. | 2 : 1 |
| 23 | Atmane T. (Q) | Nishioka Y. | 2 : 0 |
| 24 | Bye | Cobolli F. (15) | |
| 25 | Tiafoe F. (10) | Bye | |
| 26 | Carballes Baena R. | Gaston H. | 2 : 1 |
| 27 | Mpetshi Perricard G. | Wong C. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 28 | Bye | Humbert U. (20) | |
| 29 | Michelsen A. (28) | Bye | |
| 30 | Moutet C. | McDonald M. | 2 : 0 |
| 31 | Safiullin R. | Tabilo A. | 2 : 0 |
| 32 | Bye | Rune H. (7) | |
| 33 | Shelton B. (5) | Bye | |
| 34 | Ugo Carabelli C. | Nishikori K. | 2 : 0 |
| 35 | Altmaier D. | Bautista-Agut R. | 0 : 2 |
| 36 | Bye | Norrie C. (32) | |
| 37 | Lehecka J. (22) | Bye | |
| 38 | Boyer T. (WC) | Holt B. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 39 | Walton A. | Navone M. (LL) | 2 : 1 |
| 40 | Bye | Medvedev D. (12) | |
| 41 | Khachanov K. (14) | Bye | |
| 42 | Ofner S. (PR) | Royer V. (Q) | 1 : 2 |
| 43 | Brooksby J. (WC) | Muller A. | 2 : 1 |
| 44 | Bye | Cazaux A. (LL) | |
| 45 | Nakashima B. (27) | Bye | |
| 46 | Giron M. | Blockx A. (Q) | 1 : 2 |
| 47 | Vukic A. (LL) | Basavareddy N. (WC) | 0 : 2 |
| 48 | Bye | Zverev A. (3) | |
| 49 | De Minaur A. (6) | Bye | |
| 50 | Dellien H. | Opelka R. | 0 : 2 |
| 51 | Comesana F. | Munar J. | 2 : 0 |
| 52 | Bye | Darderi L. (29) | |
| 53 | Popyrin A. (21) | Bye | |
| 54 | Landaluce M. (Q) | Kypson P. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 55 | Tien L. | Riedi L. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 56 | Bye | Rublev A. (9) | |
| 57 | Mensik J. (16) | Bye | |
| 58 | Kecmanovic M. | Quinn E. | 0 : 2 |
| 59 | Nardi L. (LL) | Tirante T. A. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 60 | Bye | Shapovalov D. (24) | |
| 61 | Griekspoor T. (26) | Bye | |
| 62 | Medjedovic H. | Kovacevic A. | 2 : 0 |
| 63 | Bellucci M. | Dzumhur D. | 0 : 2 |
| 64 | Bye | Alcaraz C. (2) | |
1/32-finals| 1 | Sinner J. (1) | Galan D. E. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Baez S. | Diallo G. (30) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Machac T. (19) | Mannarino A. | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Martinez P. | Paul T. (13) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Ruud C. (11) | Rinderknech A. | 1 : 2 |
| 6 | Etcheverry T. M. | Auger-Aliassime F. (23) | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Tsitsipas S. (25) | Marozsan F. | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Bonzi B. | Musetti L. (8) | 2 : 1 |
| 9 | Fritz T. (4) | Nava E. | 2 : 0 |
| 10 | Bergs Z. | Sonego L. (31) | 0 : 2 |
| 11 | Davidovich Fokina A. (RET.) (17) | Fonseca J. | 1 : 0 |
| 12 | Atmane T. | Cobolli F. (15) | 2 : 1 |
| 13 | Tiafoe F. (10) | Carballes Baena R. | 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Wong C. | Humbert U. (20) | 0 : 2 |
| 15 | Michelsen A. (28) | Moutet C. | 2 : 1 |
| 16 | Safiullin R. | Rune H. (7) | 0 : 2 |
| 17 | Shelton B. (5) | Ugo Carabelli C. (RET.) | 1 : 0 |
| 18 | Bautista-Agut R. | Norrie C. (32) | 2 : 0 |
| 19 | Lehecka J. (22) | Boyer T. | 2 : 1 |
| 20 | Walton A. | Medvedev D. (12) | 2 : 1 |
| 21 | Khachanov K. (14) | Royer V. | 2 : 0 |
| 22 | Brooksby J. | Cazaux A. | 2 : 0 |
| 23 | Nakashima B. (27) | Blockx A. | 2 : 1 |
| 24 | Basavareddy N. | Zverev A. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 25 | De Minaur A. (6) | Opelka R. | 0 : 2 |
| 26 | Comesana F. | Darderi L. (RET.) (29) | 1 : 0 |
| 27 | Popyrin A. (21) | Landaluce M. | 2 : 0 |
| 28 | Tien L. | Rublev A. (9) | 0 : 2 |
| 29 | Mensik J. (16) | Quinn E. | 2 : 0 |
| 30 | Nardi L. | Shapovalov D. (24) | 2 : 1 |
| 31 | Griekspoor T. (26) | Medjedovic H. | 0 : 2 |
| 32 | Dzumhur D. | Alcaraz C. (2) | 1 : 2 |
1/16-finals| 1 | Sinner J. (1) | Diallo G. (30) | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Mannarino A. | Paul T. (13) | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Rinderknech A. (RET.) | Auger-Aliassime F. (23) | 0 : 1 |
| 4 | Tsitsipas S. (25) | Bonzi B. | 1 : 2 |
| 5 | Fritz T. (4) | Sonego L. (31) | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Fonseca J. | Atmane T. | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Tiafoe F. (10) | Humbert U. (20) | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Michelsen A. (28) | Rune H. (7) | 0 : 2 |
| 9 | Shelton B. (5) | Bautista-Agut R. | 2 : 0 |
| 10 | Lehecka J. (22) | Walton A. | 2 : 0 |
| 11 | Khachanov K. (14) | Brooksby J. | 2 : 0 |
| 12 | Nakashima B. (27) | Zverev A. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 13 | Opelka R. | Comesana F. | 1 : 2 |
| 14 | Popyrin A. (21) | Rublev A. (9) | 1 : 2 |
| 15 | Mensik J. (RET.) (16) | Nardi L. | 0 : 1 |
| 16 | Medjedovic H. | Alcaraz C. (2) | 0 : 2 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Sinner J. (1) | Mannarino A. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Auger-Aliassime F. (23) | Bonzi B. | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Fritz T. (4) | Atmane T. | 1 : 2 |
| 4 | Tiafoe F. (RET.) (10) | Rune H. (7) | 0 : 1 |
| 5 | Shelton B. (5) | Lehecka J. (22) | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Khachanov K. (RET.) (14) | Zverev A. (3) | 0 : 1 |
| 7 | Comesana F. | Rublev A. (9) | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Nardi L. | Alcaraz C. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Sinner J. (1) | Auger-Aliassime F. (23) | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Atmane T. | Rune H. (7) | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Shelton B. (5) | Zverev A. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Rublev A. (9) | Alcaraz C. (2) | 1 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Sinner J. (1) | Atmane T. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Zverev A. (3) | Alcaraz C. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Final| 1 | Sinner J. (RET.) (1) | Alcaraz C. (2) | 0 : 0 |
