Carlos Alcaraz Garfia vs Jannik Sinner – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Exhibition Six Kings Slam Men Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Jannik Sinner
Result
0:2
18/10/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • EXHIBITION - MEN: Six Kings Slam, hard - Final
  • Referee: Ramos C. (Por)

Match Stats

Aces
43
Double Faults
30
1st Serve Percentage
61%61%
1st Serve Points Won
61% (22/36)81% (22/27)
2nd Serve Points Won
52% (12/23)82% (14/17)
Break Points Saved
70% (7/10)0% (0/0)
1st Return Points Won
19% (5/27)39% (14/36)
2nd Return Points Won
18% (3/17)48% (11/23)
Break Points Converted
0% (0/0)30% (3/10)
Service Points Won
57% (35/61)82% (36/44)
Return Points Won
18% (8/44)43% (26/61)
Total Points Won
41% (43/105)59% (62/105)
Last 10 Balls
46
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
67% (6/9)100% (9/9)
Return Games Won
0% (0/9)33% (3/9)
Total Games Won
33% (6/18)67% (12/18)

Chances of winning


Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
41.1%
Jannik Sinner
58.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47.3% 52.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.7% 54.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Carlos Alcaraz Garfia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Carlos Alcaraz Garfia's form might have worsened.
  • Jannik Sinner has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Jannik Sinner's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carlos Alcaraz Garfia than the current prediction. (+4.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jannik Sinner than the current prediction. (-4.6%)
  • Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Jannik Sinner Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.48
    (2.03)

    1.73
    (1.82)
    -1.7%
    (4.3%)
    What is the prediction for Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Jannik Sinner?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Alcaraz Garfia (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Sinner (votes: 4 - 66.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Alcaraz Garfia is ranked ATP: 1. Sinner is ranked ATP: 2.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alcaraz Garfia won 3.
    • Alcaraz Garfia is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Sinner is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Alcaraz Garfia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Alcaraz Garfia won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 29:24. (average 1.7:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Jannik Sinner were as follows:
    07.09.2025 Jannik Sinner - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia 1:3
    18.08.2025 Jannik Sinner - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia Sinner J. retired
    13.07.2025 Jannik Sinner - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia 3:1
    08.06.2025 Jannik Sinner - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia 2:3
    18.05.2025 Jannik Sinner - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia 0:2
    Latest results of Jannik Sinner
    Draw
    2025

    Quarter-finals
    1Alcaraz C.Bye
    2Fritz T.Zverev A.2 : 0
    3Tsitsipas S.Sinner J.0 : 2
    4ByeDjokovic N.

    Semi-finals
    1Alcaraz C.Fritz T.2 : 0
    2Sinner J.Djokovic N.2 : 0

    Final
    1Alcaraz C.Sinner J.0 : 2

    3rd place
    2Fritz T.Djokovic N. (RET.)1 : 0