Result
2:0
30/09/2025 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ATP - SINGLES: Tokyo, hard - Final
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bulgaria | Max Sport 3 |
 Germany | Sky Sport Tennis |
 Netherlands | Ziggo Sport 4 |
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports Tennis |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| 1st Serve Percentage |
|---|
| 63% | 59% |
| 1st Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 78% (31/40) | 69% (27/39) |
| 2nd Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 43% (10/23) | 41% (11/27) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 67% (2/3) | 67% (6/9) |
| 1st Return Points Won |
|---|
| 31% (12/39) | 28% (11/40) |
| 2nd Return Points Won |
|---|
| 59% (16/27) | 57% (13/23) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 33% (3/9) | 33% (1/3) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 65% (41/63) | 58% (38/66) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 42% (28/66) | 35% (22/63) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 53% (69/129) | 47% (60/129) |
| Last 10 Balls |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Match Points Saved |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Service Games Won |
|---|
| 90% (9/10) | 70% (7/10) |
| Return Games Won |
|---|
| 30% (3/10) | 10% (1/10) |
| Total Games Won |
|---|
| 60% (12/20) | 40% (8/20) |
Chances of winning
Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
76.2% | Taylor Harry Fritz
23.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Carlos Alcaraz Garfia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)Taylor Harry Fritz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)
Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Taylor Harry Fritz Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.26 ↑
(1.16) |
|
4.12 ↓
(4.37) |
3.8%
(9.1%) | |
What is the prediction for Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Taylor Harry Fritz?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Alcaraz Garfia will win (votes: 7 - 53.8%). Fritz will win (votes: 6 - 46.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Alcaraz Garfia: 26.7% – 80.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Fritz (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Alcaraz Garfia is ranked ATP: 1. Fritz is ranked ATP: 5.
- Both players have recently enjoyed a winning streak.
- Fritz may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Alcaraz Garfia is the team to beat.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Alcaraz Garfia won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:3. (average 1.8:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Carlos Alcaraz Garfia won against Taylor Harry Fritz?
Carlos Alcaraz Garfia has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Taylor Harry Fritz won against Carlos Alcaraz Garfia?
Taylor Harry Fritz has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Taylor Harry Fritz were as follows:
20.09.2025
Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
-
Taylor Harry Fritz
0:2
11.07.2025
Taylor Harry Fritz
-
Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
1:3
22.09.2024
Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
-
Taylor Harry Fritz
2:0
30.03.2023
Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
-
Taylor Harry Fritz
2:0
Latest results of Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
Latest results of Taylor Harry Fritz
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Alcaraz C. (1) | Baez S. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Bergs Z. | Tabilo A. | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Thompson J. | Nakashima B. | 1 : 2 |
| 4 | Fucsovics M. (Q) | Tiafoe F. (8) | 2 : 1 |
| 5 | Ruud C. (4) | Mochizuki S. (WC) | 2 : 1 |
| 6 | Munar J. | Berrettini M. | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Dzumhur D. | Vukic A. (Q) | 1 : 2 |
| 8 | Altmaier D. | Shapovalov D. (7) | 2 : 0 |
| 9 | Humbert U. (6) | Brooksby J. (PR) | 0 : 2 |
| 10 | Nishioka Y. (WC) | Darderi L. | 0 : 2 |
| 11 | Michelsen A. | Quinn E. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 12 | Medjedovic H. | Rune H. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 13 | Machac T. (5) | Shimabukuro S. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 14 | Giron M. | Korda S. | 1 : 2 |
| 15 | Watanuki Y. (WC) | Borges N. | 1 : 2 |
| 16 | Diallo G. | Fritz T. (2) | 1 : 2 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Alcaraz C. (1) | Bergs Z. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Nakashima B. | Fucsovics M. | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Ruud C. (4) | Berrettini M. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Vukic A. | Altmaier D. | 2 : 0 |
| 5 | Brooksby J. | Darderi L. | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Quinn E. | Rune H. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Shimabukuro S. | Korda S. | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Borges N. | Fritz T. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Alcaraz C. (1) | Nakashima B. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Ruud C. (4) | Vukic A. | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Brooksby J. | Rune H. (3) | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Korda S. | Fritz T. (2) | 1 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Alcaraz C. (1) | Ruud C. (4) | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Brooksby J. | Fritz T. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Final| 1 | Alcaraz C. (1) | Fritz T. (2) | 2 : 0 |
