Carlton Blues vs Gold Coast Suns – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
74:93
09/08/2025 at 05:35 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • AFL - Round 22
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliaAFL, Fox Footy
new-zealandNew-zealandSky Sport 4
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomTNT Sports 5

Match Stats

Goals
1113
Behinds
815
Kicks
175194
Handballs
146130
Disposals
321324
Frees For
2428
Frees Against
2824
Clearances Completed
3536
Marks
6089
Tackles
7767
Hitouts
3149

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Quarter (19 - 34)
  • 04:19, King B. (G),
  • 07:56, McKay H. (G),
  • 09:57, Cripps P. (Behind),
  • 11:26, Read E. (Behind),
  • 13:03, Evans F. (G),
  • 15:04, (Behind Rushed),
  • 15:55, Evans F. (G),
  • 20:16, Read E. (Behind),
  • 21:46, Witts J. (G),
  • 23:06, Long B. (G),
  • 25:34, Humphrey B. (Behind),
  • 29:15, King B. (G),
  • 31:04, King B. (G),
  • 2nd Quarter (12 - 21)
  • 05:42, Ainsworth B. (G),
  • 07:48, (Behind Rushed),
  • 10:09, Fogarty L. (G),
  • 12:25, Miller T. (Behind),
  • 15:12, Long B. (G),
  • 17:15, O'Keeffe H. (G),
  • 22:41, King B. (G),
  • 25:39, Ainsworth B. (Behind),
  • 3rd Quarter (8 - 29)
  • 00:40, Fiorini B. (G),
  • 04:44, Farrar J. (Behind),
  • 06:41, Fogarty L. (Behind),
  • 07:52, King B. (G),
  • 09:26, Long B. (G),
  • 12:11, Fiorini B. (G),
  • 14:26, Evans F. (G),
  • 15:39, Ainsworth B. (Behind),
  • 17:44, Budarick C. (Behind),
  • 19:15, (Behind Rushed),
  • 23:48, O'Keeffe H. (Behind),
  • 26:14, Long B. (Behind),
  • 4th Quarter (35 - 9)
  • 03:23, Durdin C. (Behind),
  • 04:04, McKay H. (G),
  • 05:50, Evans F. (G),
  • 07:11, Motlop J. (G),
  • 08:48, Moir A. (Behind),
  • 12:35, Moir A. (G),
  • 14:34, Fogarty L. (Behind),
  • 16:34, Motlop J. (Behind),
  • 19:40, Rosas Jnr. M. (Behind),
  • 21:12, (Behind Rushed),
  • 24:12, McKay H. (G),
  • 27:57, King B. (G),
  • 30:18, (Behind Rushed),
  • 31:53, (Behind Rushed),

Chances of winning


Carlton Blues
23.5%
Gold Coast Suns
76.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
30.4% 69.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.6% 75.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Carlton Blues has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Carlton Blues's form might have worsened.
  • Gold Coast Suns has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gold Coast Suns's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carlton Blues than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gold Coast Suns than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
  • Carlton Blues - Gold Coast Suns Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.95
    (3.09)

    1.22
    (1.35)
    7.5%
    (6.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 171.50
    • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-25)
    What is the prediction for Carlton Blues - Gold Coast Suns?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Carlton will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Gold Coast will win (votes: 3 - 60%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • DC - Gold Coast (1.17) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -3.5 Points, OT - Gold Coast (1.15) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -4.5 Points, OT - Gold Coast (1.14) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -5.5 Points, OT - Gold Coast (1.13) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -6.5 Points, OT - Gold Coast (1.12) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -7.5 Points, OT - Gold Coast (1.11) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -8.5 Points, OT - Gold Coast (1.10) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -9.5 Points, OT - Gold Coast (1.10) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -10.5 Points, OT - Gold Coast (1.09) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -11.5 Points, OT - Gold Coast (1.08) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -12.5 Points, OT - Gold Coast (1.08) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -13.5 Points, OT - Gold Coast (1.07) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -14.5 Points, OT - Gold Coast (1.06) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -15.5 Points, OT - Gold Coast (1.06) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -17.5 Points, OT - Gold Coast (1.06) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.5 Points, OT - Gold Coast (1.20) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.5 Points, OT - Gold Coast (1.19) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1.5 Points, OT - Gold Coast (1.17) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -2.5 Points, OT - Gold Coast (1.16) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Gold Coast Suns will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 21 Selected Experts predict this event. Gold Coast (votes: 21 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 74:99.
  • Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 13 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Carlton won 3.
    • Carlton is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Gold Coast is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Carlton may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Gold Coast is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Carlton won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 1476:1332. (average 82:74).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Carlton won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 727:621. (average 90.9:77.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Carlton Blues - Gold Coast Suns were as follows:
    24.05.2024 Carlton Blues - Gold Coast Suns 102:73
    19.08.2023 Gold Coast Suns - Carlton Blues 87:91
    17.06.2023 Carlton Blues - Gold Coast Suns 120:61
    Latest results of Carlton Blues
    Latest results of Gold Coast Suns
    AFL Table
    2026
    PlWDL%%Pts
    1Sydney Swans5401581:331175.5316
    2Fremantle Dockers5401444:338131.3616
    3Hawthorn Hawks5401535:442121.0416
    4Western Bulldogs5401502:416120.6716
    5Gold Coast Suns5302541:410131.9512
    6Brisbane Lions5302490:426115.0212
    7North Melbourne5302450:425105.8812
    8Geelong Cats5302460:453101.5512
    9Melbourne Demons5302467:50492.6612
    10Port Adelaide Power5203447:404110.648
    11Adelaide Crows5203431:405106.428
    12GWS Giants5203434:46992.548
    13Collingwood Magpies5203348:37792.318
    14St Kilda Saints5203412:45291.158
    15West Coast Eagles5203386:60064.338
    16Carlton Blues5104393:51376.614
    17Essendon Bombers5104400:52676.054
    18Richmond Tigers5005297:52756.360

          Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: )