Result
1:1
01/01/2026 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 6', 0 - 1, Cummings L. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 52', 1 - 1, Smith C. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Aberystwyth Town
43.2% | Draw
26.9% | Carmarthen Town
29.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Aberystwyth Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)Carmarthen Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aberystwyth Town than the current prediction. (-5.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Aberystwyth Town that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carmarthen Town than the current prediction. (+6.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Carmarthen Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Aberystwyth Town - Carmarthen Town Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.1 ↓
(2.3) |
3.37 ↓
(3.54) |
3.04 ↑
(2.61) |
10.2%
(10%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 7 and 8).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aberystwyth won 2.
- Recent performances by Aberystwyth have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Carmarthen Town is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Aberystwyth may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Aberystwyth won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 33:32. (average 1.7:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Aberystwyth won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:17. (average 1.3:1.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Aberystwyth Town won against Carmarthen Town?
Aberystwyth Town has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Carmarthen Town won against Aberystwyth Town?
Carmarthen Town has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Aberystwyth Town - Carmarthen Town were as follows:
22.08.2025
Carmarthen Town
-
Aberystwyth Town
1:0
Latest results of Aberystwyth Town
Latest results of Carmarthen Town
Welsh Cymru South Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cambrian United ✔ | 26 | 21 | 3 | 2 | 68:18 | 50 | 66 |
| 2 | Trefelin ✔ | 26 | 21 | 3 | 2 | 61:15 | 46 | 66 |
| 3 | Caerau Ely | 27 | 15 | 5 | 7 | 60:33 | 27 | 50 |
| 4 | Ammanford | 26 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 38:24 | 14 | 50 |
| 5 | Carmarthen Town | 27 | 10 | 12 | 5 | 37:33 | 4 | 42 |
| 6 | Aberystwyth | 26 | 13 | 3 | 10 | 32:32 | 0 | 42 |
| 7 | Llantwit Major | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 40:38 | 2 | 36 |
| 8 | Treowen | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 46:50 | -4 | 34 |
| 9 | Newport City | 27 | 8 | 10 | 9 | 35:39 | -4 | 34 |
| 10 | Cardiff Draconians | 25 | 10 | 2 | 13 | 36:39 | -3 | 32 |
| 11 | Pontypridd | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 42:46 | -4 | 29 |
| 12 | Trethomas Bluebirds | 27 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 38:55 | -17 | 26 |
| 13 | Baglan Dragons | 26 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 25:42 | -17 | 23 |
| 14 | Ynyshir Albions | 26 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 24:48 | -24 | 21 |
| 15 | Afan Lido | 26 | 6 | 3 | 17 | 25:52 | -27 | 21 |
| 16 | Cwmbran Celtic ✔ | 24 | 0 | 6 | 18 | 18:61 | -43 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Cymru Premier
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Cambrian United is Qualified for Cymru Premier
Trefelin is Qualified for Cymru Premier
Cwmbran Celtic is Relegated to
