Baglan Dragons vs Carmarthen Town – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Welsh Cymru South Baglan Dragons - Carmarthen Town
Result
1:1
05/04/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Cymru South - Round 29

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 11', 0 - 1, Jones T. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 65', 1 - 1, Legavec A. ,

Chances of winning


Baglan Dragons
40.9%
Draw
27%
Carmarthen Town
32.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.4% 24.5% 33.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.5% 23.9% 32.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Baglan Dragons has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
  • Carmarthen Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Baglan Dragons than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carmarthen Town than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
  • Baglan Dragons - Carmarthen Town Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.25
    (2.16)
    3.42
    (3.74)
    2.88
    (2.77)
    8.4%
    (9.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 8 and 7).
    • Baglan Dragons is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Recent matches Carmarthen Town is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Carmarthen Town could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
    • Last 3 head-to-head matches Baglan Dragons won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:5 (average 1.3:1.7).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Baglan Dragons won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:2
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Baglan Dragons - Carmarthen Town were as follows:
    09.08.2024 Carmarthen Town - Baglan Dragons 3:2
    01.04.2024 Baglan Dragons - Carmarthen Town 2:2
    08.08.2023 Carmarthen Town - Baglan Dragons 0:0
    Latest results of Baglan Dragons
    Latest results of Carmarthen Town
    Welsh Cymru South Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Carmarthen Town11004:043
    2Cambrian United11004:043
    3Caerau Ely11004:133
    4Baglan Dragons11003:033
    5Aberystwyth11002:113
    6Trefelin11002:113
    7Ammanford11001:013
    8Newport City11001:013
    9Llantwit Major10011:2-10
    10Trethomas Bluebirds10011:2-10
    11Afan Lido10010:1-10
    12Cardiff Draconians10010:1-10
    13Ynyshir Albions10011:4-30
    14Pontypridd10010:3-30
    15Cwmbran Celtic10010:4-40
    16Treowen10010:4-40

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