Result
0:7
28/03/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 22', 0 - 1, Jones T. ⚽,
- 35', 0 - 2, Reed L. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 5)
- 49', 0 - 3, Thomas L. ⚽,
- 51', 0 - 4, Thomas L. ⚽,
- 77', 0 - 5, Reed L. ⚽,
- 84', 0 - 6, Joda J. ⚽,
- 90', 0 - 7, Jones-Thomas M. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Baglan Dragons
24.5% | Draw
25.1% | Carmarthen Town
50.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The chances for Baglan Dragons have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.Carmarthen Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Baglan Dragons than the current prediction. (-0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carmarthen Town than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
Baglan Dragons - Carmarthen Town Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.7 ↓
(3.71) |
3.61 ↑
(3.56) |
1.8 ↓
(1.82) |
10.1%
(10%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 13 and 5).
- Recent form of Baglan Dragons has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Carmarthen Town is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Carmarthen Town may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Carmarthen Town has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Carmarthen Town is a strong favorite.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Baglan Dragons won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:6. (average 1:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Baglan Dragons won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Baglan Dragons won against Carmarthen Town?
Baglan Dragons has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Carmarthen Town won against Baglan Dragons?
Carmarthen Town has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Baglan Dragons - Carmarthen Town were as follows:
25.08.2025
Carmarthen Town
-
Baglan Dragons
0:0
05.04.2025
Baglan Dragons
-
Carmarthen Town
1:1
09.08.2024
Carmarthen Town
-
Baglan Dragons
3:2
01.04.2024
Baglan Dragons
-
Carmarthen Town
2:2
08.08.2023
Carmarthen Town
-
Baglan Dragons
0:0
Latest results of Baglan Dragons
Latest results of Carmarthen Town
Welsh Cymru South Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Trefelin ✔ | 29 | 24 | 3 | 2 | 78:17 | 61 | 75 |
| 2 | Cambrian United ✔ | 29 | 23 | 4 | 2 | 72:19 | 53 | 73 |
| 3 | Ammanford | 29 | 16 | 9 | 4 | 47:25 | 22 | 57 |
| 4 | Caerau Ely | 29 | 17 | 5 | 7 | 66:34 | 32 | 56 |
| 5 | Carmarthen Town | 29 | 11 | 12 | 6 | 44:34 | 10 | 45 |
| 6 | Aberystwyth | 29 | 13 | 4 | 12 | 35:38 | -3 | 43 |
| 7 | Cardiff Draconians | 29 | 11 | 4 | 14 | 46:47 | -1 | 37 |
| 8 | Llantwit Major | 29 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 43:44 | -1 | 37 |
| 9 | Newport City | 29 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 36:43 | -7 | 37 |
| 10 | Treowen | 29 | 9 | 7 | 13 | 47:62 | -15 | 34 |
| 11 | Pontypridd | 29 | 9 | 6 | 14 | 46:51 | -5 | 33 |
| 12 | Afan Lido | 29 | 9 | 3 | 17 | 31:53 | -22 | 30 |
| 13 | Trethomas Bluebirds | 29 | 6 | 10 | 13 | 44:61 | -17 | 28 |
| 14 | Baglan Dragons | 29 | 5 | 9 | 15 | 25:51 | -26 | 24 |
| 15 | Ynyshir Albions | 29 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 27:56 | -29 | 22 |
| 16 | Cwmbran Celtic | 29 | 1 | 7 | 21 | 24:76 | -52 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Cymru Premier
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Trefelin is Qualified for Cymru Premier
Cambrian United is Qualified for Cymru Premier
